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cyprus economy financial crisis optimization risk management sovereign debt cyprus politics contingent debt eurozone securities pricing finance debt restructuring cyprus crisis competitiveness banking crisis debt overhang greek haircut 蟺慰位喂蟿喂魏萎 慰喂魏慰谓慰渭委伪 trust tedxnicosia people and society banking project finance natural gas 伪蟺慰胃苇渭伪蟿伪 "螒蠁蟻慰未委蟿畏" 蠁蠀蟽喂魏蠈 伪苇蟻喂慰 巍喂味慰魏维蚁蟺伪蟽慰 螝蠋蟽蟿伪蟼 螠蠈谓蟿畏蟼 伪尉委蔚蟼 蟺蚁蠈蟽蠁蠀纬蔚蟼 蠀蟺蔚蠀胃蠀谓蠈蟿畏蟿伪 蠁喂位慰蟺伪蟿蚁委伪 shadow economy government cooperative bank leadership market love economy 喂未蔚慰位慰纬委伪 political risk 蟻喂味慰蟽蟺伪蟽蟿喂魏蠈 魏苇谓蟿蟻慰 hedging 螝蠀蟺蟻喂伪魏萎 螖畏渭慰魏蟻伪蟿委伪 social capital sustailability innovation cvar optimization unfunded plans income guarantees portfolio financial engineering pension plans options pricing "sovereign debt sustainability debt financins scenario analysis bail-in stochastic programming imf conditional value-at-risk covid-19 collapse trap jarred diamond fiscal policy eurogroup monetary policy europe productivity education irish crisis privatizations spanish crisis savings inference