際際滷shows by User: MeltemAranPhD / http://www.slideshare.net/images/logo.gif 際際滷shows by User: MeltemAranPhD / Fri, 08 Feb 2019 10:54:23 GMT 際際滷Share feed for 際際滷shows by User: MeltemAranPhD Building an Ex-Ante Simulation Model for Estimating Capacity Impact, Benefit Incidence and Cost Effectiveness of Child Care Subsidies /slideshow/building-an-exante-simulation-model-for-estimating-capacity-impact-benefit-incidence-and-cost-effectiveness-of-child-care-subsidies/131002024 turkeychildcaregrantssimulationpresentationnov32016harvardresearchgate-190208105423
Public financing and subsidization of child care can allow for more equitable access to child care in places where public provision and capacity are low. The mechanisms of the delivery of the subsidy matter, however, in terms of who gets the benefits of the subsidy and overall cost effectiveness, given the initial conditions in the child care market. This paper sets out an ex ante simulation model using a supply side provider level and demand side household model and combining the two models for estimating the benefit incidence of expanded capacity and enrolments as a result of the child care subsidies, looking at different mechanisms of the delivery including investment grants to providers, operational monthly grants to child care providers, combinations of the investment and operational grants and demand side vouchers to households. The model is applied to empirical data from child care centres and households in Turkey and results reveal that the choice of the subsidy delivery model is not trivial, and has a strong bearing on both the benefit incidence and cost effectiveness of the subsidy. In the case of Turkey, where significant supply side constraints exist in the market, a demand side voucher system is shown to be the least cost effectiveness measure of delivery of the subsidy, and while a demand-side voucher can be pro-poor targeted, it is not necessarily the option that reveals the most pro-poor results both in terms of newly generated capacity and the impact of the subsidy on household welfare. The simulation model developed here can be applied in other country contexts, with the only data requirements being micro data on costs and pricing structure of child care providers as well as household data with variables on household welfare and child care utilization. ]]>
Public financing and subsidization of child care can allow for more equitable access to child care in places where public provision and capacity are low. The mechanisms of the delivery of the subsidy matter, however, in terms of who gets the benefits of the subsidy and overall cost effectiveness, given the initial conditions in the child care market. This paper sets out an ex ante simulation model using a supply side provider level and demand side household model and combining the two models for estimating the benefit incidence of expanded capacity and enrolments as a result of the child care subsidies, looking at different mechanisms of the delivery including investment grants to providers, operational monthly grants to child care providers, combinations of the investment and operational grants and demand side vouchers to households. The model is applied to empirical data from child care centres and households in Turkey and results reveal that the choice of the subsidy delivery model is not trivial, and has a strong bearing on both the benefit incidence and cost effectiveness of the subsidy. In the case of Turkey, where significant supply side constraints exist in the market, a demand side voucher system is shown to be the least cost effectiveness measure of delivery of the subsidy, and while a demand-side voucher can be pro-poor targeted, it is not necessarily the option that reveals the most pro-poor results both in terms of newly generated capacity and the impact of the subsidy on household welfare. The simulation model developed here can be applied in other country contexts, with the only data requirements being micro data on costs and pricing structure of child care providers as well as household data with variables on household welfare and child care utilization. ]]> Fri, 08 Feb 2019 10:54:23 GMT /slideshow/building-an-exante-simulation-model-for-estimating-capacity-impact-benefit-incidence-and-cost-effectiveness-of-child-care-subsidies/131002024 MeltemAranPhD@slideshare.net(MeltemAranPhD) Building an Ex-Ante Simulation Model for Estimating Capacity Impact, Benefit Incidence and Cost Effectiveness of Child Care Subsidies MeltemAranPhD Public financing and subsidization of child care can allow for more equitable access to child care in places where public provision and capacity are low. The mechanisms of the delivery of the subsidy matter, however, in terms of who gets the benefits of the subsidy and overall cost effectiveness, given the initial conditions in the child care market. This paper sets out an ex ante simulation model using a supply side provider level and demand side household model and combining the two models for estimating the benefit incidence of expanded capacity and enrolments as a result of the child care subsidies, looking at different mechanisms of the delivery including investment grants to providers, operational monthly grants to child care providers, combinations of the investment and operational grants and demand side vouchers to households. The model is applied to empirical data from child care centres and households in Turkey and results reveal that the choice of the subsidy delivery model is not trivial, and has a strong bearing on both the benefit incidence and cost effectiveness of the subsidy. In the case of Turkey, where significant supply side constraints exist in the market, a demand side voucher system is shown to be the least cost effectiveness measure of delivery of the subsidy, and while a demand-side voucher can be pro-poor targeted, it is not necessarily the option that reveals the most pro-poor results both in terms of newly generated capacity and the impact of the subsidy on household welfare. The simulation model developed here can be applied in other country contexts, with the only data requirements being micro data on costs and pricing structure of child care providers as well as household data with variables on household welfare and child care utilization. <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/turkeychildcaregrantssimulationpresentationnov32016harvardresearchgate-190208105423-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Public financing and subsidization of child care can allow for more equitable access to child care in places where public provision and capacity are low. The mechanisms of the delivery of the subsidy matter, however, in terms of who gets the benefits of the subsidy and overall cost effectiveness, given the initial conditions in the child care market. This paper sets out an ex ante simulation model using a supply side provider level and demand side household model and combining the two models for estimating the benefit incidence of expanded capacity and enrolments as a result of the child care subsidies, looking at different mechanisms of the delivery including investment grants to providers, operational monthly grants to child care providers, combinations of the investment and operational grants and demand side vouchers to households. The model is applied to empirical data from child care centres and households in Turkey and results reveal that the choice of the subsidy delivery model is not trivial, and has a strong bearing on both the benefit incidence and cost effectiveness of the subsidy. In the case of Turkey, where significant supply side constraints exist in the market, a demand side voucher system is shown to be the least cost effectiveness measure of delivery of the subsidy, and while a demand-side voucher can be pro-poor targeted, it is not necessarily the option that reveals the most pro-poor results both in terms of newly generated capacity and the impact of the subsidy on household welfare. The simulation model developed here can be applied in other country contexts, with the only data requirements being micro data on costs and pricing structure of child care providers as well as household data with variables on household welfare and child care utilization.
Building an Ex-Ante Simulation Model for Estimating Capacity Impact, Benefit Incidence and Cost Effectiveness of Child Care Subsidies from Meltem Aran, Ph.D.
]]> 102 2 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/turkeychildcaregrantssimulationpresentationnov32016harvardresearchgate-190208105423-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation Black http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 0 Ex-ante Simulation for Fuel Subsidy Reallocation and the Expansion of a Universal Child Grant in Madagascar /slideshow/exante-simulation-for-fuel-subsidy-reallocation-and-the-expansion-of-a-universal-child-grant-in-madagascar/130996361 presentationmeltemaranmadagascarfuelsubsidies-190208095352
Fuel subsidies lead to environmental damage through inefficiencies in energy use, they are a burden for public budget and moreover they are regressive, usually benefiting the already better off households. Despite, these negative qualities, energy subsidies are still implemented throughout the World. Post-tax energy subsidies in the World are estimated to be 5.3 trillion USD while fuel subsidies alone, are estimated to be 1.5 trillion USD, making up 1.8 percent of the global GDP in 2015. Reallocation of fuel subsidies can be an important tool for creating fiscal space for child grants in many of these countries. This paper specifically focuses on the case of Madagascars fuel subsidy reform. In Madagascar, the size of the fuel subsidies as of 2014 are estimated in this paper to be around 80 million. In June 2014, the government decided to eliminate fuel subsidies gradually in and the analysis in this paper was prepared to provide timely input to the policy discussion around fuel subsidy reform in Madagascar. The paper builds an ex-ante simulation model using Madagascars ENSOMD 2012 data set and looks at (i) different scenarios of price hikes and the impact on the poor and (ii) models the targeting and benefit incidence of universal cash transfer for children with the budget reallocated from regressive fuel subsidy spending. The benefit incidence analysis shows that in Madagascar, fuel subsidies are highly regressive. Gasoline and diesel consumption is very rare in the households in the bottom 60 percent while kerosene is commonly consumed by households from all income groups. We find that poor households are affected the least if kerosene price remain unchanged. Nevertheless, different price increase scenarios including a change in the price of kerosene do not increase poverty by more than 1 percentage points. Reallocating the gains from the fuel subsidy reform to a universal child grant (for children ages 0-4 or 0-14) is estimated to decrease poverty rates between 2.4 to 4.6 percentage points. ]]>
Fuel subsidies lead to environmental damage through inefficiencies in energy use, they are a burden for public budget and moreover they are regressive, usually benefiting the already better off households. Despite, these negative qualities, energy subsidies are still implemented throughout the World. Post-tax energy subsidies in the World are estimated to be 5.3 trillion USD while fuel subsidies alone, are estimated to be 1.5 trillion USD, making up 1.8 percent of the global GDP in 2015. Reallocation of fuel subsidies can be an important tool for creating fiscal space for child grants in many of these countries. This paper specifically focuses on the case of Madagascars fuel subsidy reform. In Madagascar, the size of the fuel subsidies as of 2014 are estimated in this paper to be around 80 million. In June 2014, the government decided to eliminate fuel subsidies gradually in and the analysis in this paper was prepared to provide timely input to the policy discussion around fuel subsidy reform in Madagascar. The paper builds an ex-ante simulation model using Madagascars ENSOMD 2012 data set and looks at (i) different scenarios of price hikes and the impact on the poor and (ii) models the targeting and benefit incidence of universal cash transfer for children with the budget reallocated from regressive fuel subsidy spending. The benefit incidence analysis shows that in Madagascar, fuel subsidies are highly regressive. Gasoline and diesel consumption is very rare in the households in the bottom 60 percent while kerosene is commonly consumed by households from all income groups. We find that poor households are affected the least if kerosene price remain unchanged. Nevertheless, different price increase scenarios including a change in the price of kerosene do not increase poverty by more than 1 percentage points. Reallocating the gains from the fuel subsidy reform to a universal child grant (for children ages 0-4 or 0-14) is estimated to decrease poverty rates between 2.4 to 4.6 percentage points. ]]> Fri, 08 Feb 2019 09:53:52 GMT /slideshow/exante-simulation-for-fuel-subsidy-reallocation-and-the-expansion-of-a-universal-child-grant-in-madagascar/130996361 MeltemAranPhD@slideshare.net(MeltemAranPhD) Ex-ante Simulation for Fuel Subsidy Reallocation and the Expansion of a Universal Child Grant in Madagascar MeltemAranPhD Fuel subsidies lead to environmental damage through inefficiencies in energy use, they are a burden for public budget and moreover they are regressive, usually benefiting the already better off households. Despite, these negative qualities, energy subsidies are still implemented throughout the World. Post-tax energy subsidies in the World are estimated to be 5.3 trillion USD while fuel subsidies alone, are estimated to be 1.5 trillion USD, making up 1.8 percent of the global GDP in 2015. Reallocation of fuel subsidies can be an important tool for creating fiscal space for child grants in many of these countries. This paper specifically focuses on the case of Madagascars fuel subsidy reform. In Madagascar, the size of the fuel subsidies as of 2014 are estimated in this paper to be around 80 million. In June 2014, the government decided to eliminate fuel subsidies gradually in and the analysis in this paper was prepared to provide timely input to the policy discussion around fuel subsidy reform in Madagascar. The paper builds an ex-ante simulation model using Madagascars ENSOMD 2012 data set and looks at (i) different scenarios of price hikes and the impact on the poor and (ii) models the targeting and benefit incidence of universal cash transfer for children with the budget reallocated from regressive fuel subsidy spending. The benefit incidence analysis shows that in Madagascar, fuel subsidies are highly regressive. Gasoline and diesel consumption is very rare in the households in the bottom 60 percent while kerosene is commonly consumed by households from all income groups. We find that poor households are affected the least if kerosene price remain unchanged. Nevertheless, different price increase scenarios including a change in the price of kerosene do not increase poverty by more than 1 percentage points. Reallocating the gains from the fuel subsidy reform to a universal child grant (for children ages 0-4 or 0-14) is estimated to decrease poverty rates between 2.4 to 4.6 percentage points. <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/presentationmeltemaranmadagascarfuelsubsidies-190208095352-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Fuel subsidies lead to environmental damage through inefficiencies in energy use, they are a burden for public budget and moreover they are regressive, usually benefiting the already better off households. Despite, these negative qualities, energy subsidies are still implemented throughout the World. Post-tax energy subsidies in the World are estimated to be 5.3 trillion USD while fuel subsidies alone, are estimated to be 1.5 trillion USD, making up 1.8 percent of the global GDP in 2015. Reallocation of fuel subsidies can be an important tool for creating fiscal space for child grants in many of these countries. This paper specifically focuses on the case of Madagascars fuel subsidy reform. In Madagascar, the size of the fuel subsidies as of 2014 are estimated in this paper to be around 80 million. In June 2014, the government decided to eliminate fuel subsidies gradually in and the analysis in this paper was prepared to provide timely input to the policy discussion around fuel subsidy reform in Madagascar. The paper builds an ex-ante simulation model using Madagascars ENSOMD 2012 data set and looks at (i) different scenarios of price hikes and the impact on the poor and (ii) models the targeting and benefit incidence of universal cash transfer for children with the budget reallocated from regressive fuel subsidy spending. The benefit incidence analysis shows that in Madagascar, fuel subsidies are highly regressive. Gasoline and diesel consumption is very rare in the households in the bottom 60 percent while kerosene is commonly consumed by households from all income groups. We find that poor households are affected the least if kerosene price remain unchanged. Nevertheless, different price increase scenarios including a change in the price of kerosene do not increase poverty by more than 1 percentage points. Reallocating the gains from the fuel subsidy reform to a universal child grant (for children ages 0-4 or 0-14) is estimated to decrease poverty rates between 2.4 to 4.6 percentage points.
Ex-ante Simulation for Fuel Subsidy Reallocation and the Expansion of a Universal Child Grant in Madagascar from Meltem Aran, Ph.D.
]]> 77 5 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/presentationmeltemaranmadagascarfuelsubsidies-190208095352-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation Black http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 0 Development Analytics - Etki Analizi Eitimi (Part 1/8) /slideshow/development-analytics-etki-analizi-eitimi-part-1/20783464 sosyalpolitikalardaetkianalizinedir-130508024614-phpapp01
Etki Analizi (impact evaluation) kalk脹nma programlar脹n脹n sonu巽lar脹n脹 hane, birey veya firma seviyesinde bilimsel olarak 旦l巽mek i巽in yap脹l脹r. Niceliksel 旦l巽端mlerde kullan脹lan metodlar bu iki g端nl端k eitimde 旦rnekler ve vaka 巽al脹malar脹 端st端nden anlat脹lmaktad脹r. Eitim program脹 ile ilgilenebilecek kurumlar: sosyal politika uygulay脹c脹s脹 bakanl脹klar, STK'lar ve vak脹flar, belediyeler. ]]>
Etki Analizi (impact evaluation) kalk脹nma programlar脹n脹n sonu巽lar脹n脹 hane, birey veya firma seviyesinde bilimsel olarak 旦l巽mek i巽in yap脹l脹r. Niceliksel 旦l巽端mlerde kullan脹lan metodlar bu iki g端nl端k eitimde 旦rnekler ve vaka 巽al脹malar脹 端st端nden anlat脹lmaktad脹r. Eitim program脹 ile ilgilenebilecek kurumlar: sosyal politika uygulay脹c脹s脹 bakanl脹klar, STK'lar ve vak脹flar, belediyeler. ]]> Wed, 08 May 2013 02:46:14 GMT /slideshow/development-analytics-etki-analizi-eitimi-part-1/20783464 MeltemAranPhD@slideshare.net(MeltemAranPhD) Development Analytics - Etki Analizi Eitimi (Part 1/8) MeltemAranPhD Etki Analizi (impact evaluation) kalk脹nma programlar脹n脹n sonu巽lar脹n脹 hane, birey veya firma seviyesinde bilimsel olarak 旦l巽mek i巽in yap脹l脹r. Niceliksel 旦l巽端mlerde kullan脹lan metodlar bu iki g端nl端k eitimde 旦rnekler ve vaka 巽al脹malar脹 端st端nden anlat脹lmaktad脹r. Eitim program脹 ile ilgilenebilecek kurumlar: sosyal politika uygulay脹c脹s脹 bakanl脹klar, STK'lar ve vak脹flar, belediyeler. <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/sosyalpolitikalardaetkianalizinedir-130508024614-phpapp01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Etki Analizi (impact evaluation) kalk脹nma programlar脹n脹n sonu巽lar脹n脹 hane, birey veya firma seviyesinde bilimsel olarak 旦l巽mek i巽in yap脹l脹r. Niceliksel 旦l巽端mlerde kullan脹lan metodlar bu iki g端nl端k eitimde 旦rnekler ve vaka 巽al脹malar脹 端st端nden anlat脹lmaktad脹r. Eitim program脹 ile ilgilenebilecek kurumlar: sosyal politika uygulay脹c脹s脹 bakanl脹klar, STK&#39;lar ve vak脹flar, belediyeler.
Development Analytics - Etki Analizi E罧timi (Part 1/8) from Meltem Aran, Ph.D.
]]> 4755 4 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/sosyalpolitikalardaetkianalizinedir-130508024614-phpapp01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation White http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 0 https://public.slidesharecdn.com/v2/images/profile-picture.png https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/turkeychildcaregrantssimulationpresentationnov32016harvardresearchgate-190208105423-thumbnail.jpg?width=320&height=320&fit=bounds slideshow/building-an-exante-simulation-model-for-estimating-capacity-impact-benefit-incidence-and-cost-effectiveness-of-child-care-subsidies/131002024 Building an Ex-Ante Si... https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/presentationmeltemaranmadagascarfuelsubsidies-190208095352-thumbnail.jpg?width=320&height=320&fit=bounds slideshow/exante-simulation-for-fuel-subsidy-reallocation-and-the-expansion-of-a-universal-child-grant-in-madagascar/130996361 Ex-ante Simulation for... https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/sosyalpolitikalardaetkianalizinedir-130508024614-phpapp01-thumbnail.jpg?width=320&height=320&fit=bounds slideshow/development-analytics-etki-analizi-eitimi-part-1/20783464 Development Analytics ...