際際滷shows by User: NickWatkins1 / http://www.slideshare.net/images/logo.gif 際際滷shows by User: NickWatkins1 / Thu, 21 Jan 2016 15:06:04 GMT 際際滷Share feed for 際際滷shows by User: NickWatkins1 A Random Walk Through Search Research /slideshow/a-random-walk-through-search-research/57329853 watkinsasg1-160121150604
Given at Advanced Study Group at Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden]]>
Given at Advanced Study Group at Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden]]> Thu, 21 Jan 2016 15:06:04 GMT /slideshow/a-random-walk-through-search-research/57329853 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) A Random Walk Through Search Research NickWatkins1 Given at Advanced Study Group at Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/watkinsasg1-160121150604-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Given at Advanced Study Group at Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden
A Random Walk Through Search Research from Nick Watkins
]]> 684 8 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/watkinsasg1-160121150604-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation Black http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 2015 Dresden Mandelbrot's other route to1 over f /slideshow/2015-dresden-mandelbrots-otherrouteto1overf/44077066 2015dresdenmandelbrotsotherrouteto1overf-150130092311-conversion-gate02
Given as seminar on 30th January at MPIPKS in Dresden.]]>
Given as seminar on 30th January at MPIPKS in Dresden.]]> Fri, 30 Jan 2015 09:23:11 GMT /slideshow/2015-dresden-mandelbrots-otherrouteto1overf/44077066 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) 2015 Dresden Mandelbrot's other route to1 over f NickWatkins1 Given as seminar on 30th January at MPIPKS in Dresden. <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2015dresdenmandelbrotsotherrouteto1overf-150130092311-conversion-gate02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Given as seminar on 30th January at MPIPKS in Dresden.
2015 Dresden Mandelbrot's other route to1 over f from Nick Watkins
]]> 735 2 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2015dresdenmandelbrotsotherrouteto1overf-150130092311-conversion-gate02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation Black http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models /slideshow/2014-tromso-generalised-and-fractional-langevin-equations-implications-for-energy-balance-models/43314472 2014tromsogeneralisedandfractionallangevinequations-implicationsforenergybalancemodels-150108052741-conversion-gate01
Given as an invited talk in Tromso Norway 29th September 2014]]>
Given as an invited talk in Tromso Norway 29th September 2014]]> Thu, 08 Jan 2015 05:27:41 GMT /slideshow/2014-tromso-generalised-and-fractional-langevin-equations-implications-for-energy-balance-models/43314472 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models NickWatkins1 Given as an invited talk in Tromso Norway 29th September 2014 <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2014tromsogeneralisedandfractionallangevinequations-implicationsforenergybalancemodels-150108052741-conversion-gate01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Given as an invited talk in Tromso Norway 29th September 2014
2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models from Nick Watkins
]]> 618 2 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2014tromsogeneralisedandfractionallangevinequations-implicationsforenergybalancemodels-150108052741-conversion-gate01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation White http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 2014 Wroclaw Mandelbrot's Other Model of 1/f Noise /slideshow/2014-wroclaw-mandelbrots-other-model-of-1f-noise/43018795 2014wroclawmandelbrotsothermodelof1overfnoise-141226085356-conversion-gate02
Given as an invited talk at 4th Workshop on Anomalous Diffusion, Wroclaw, Poland, December 2014]]>
Given as an invited talk at 4th Workshop on Anomalous Diffusion, Wroclaw, Poland, December 2014]]> Fri, 26 Dec 2014 08:53:56 GMT /slideshow/2014-wroclaw-mandelbrots-other-model-of-1f-noise/43018795 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) 2014 Wroclaw Mandelbrot's Other Model of 1/f Noise NickWatkins1 Given as an invited talk at 4th Workshop on Anomalous Diffusion, Wroclaw, Poland, December 2014 <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2014wroclawmandelbrotsothermodelof1overfnoise-141226085356-conversion-gate02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Given as an invited talk at 4th Workshop on Anomalous Diffusion, Wroclaw, Poland, December 2014
2014 Wroclaw Mandelbrot's Other Model of 1/f Noise from Nick Watkins
]]> 520 4 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2014wroclawmandelbrotsothermodelof1overfnoise-141226085356-conversion-gate02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation 000000 http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 2014 OU Mandelbrot's eyes and 1/f noise /slideshow/2014-ou-mandelbrots-eyes-and-1f-noise/42971836 2014oumandelbrotseyesand1overfnoise-141223124928-conversion-gate01
Invited talk given at Open University on 1st December]]>
Invited talk given at Open University on 1st December]]> Tue, 23 Dec 2014 12:49:28 GMT /slideshow/2014-ou-mandelbrots-eyes-and-1f-noise/42971836 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) 2014 OU Mandelbrot's eyes and 1/f noise NickWatkins1 Invited talk given at Open University on 1st December <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2014oumandelbrotseyesand1overfnoise-141223124928-conversion-gate01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Invited talk given at Open University on 1st December
2014 OU Mandelbrot's eyes and 1/f noise from Nick Watkins
]]> 518 3 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2014oumandelbrotseyesand1overfnoise-141223124928-conversion-gate01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation Black http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 2014 AGU Balancing fact and formula in complex sytems: the example of 1/f noise /NickWatkins1/2014-agu-balancing-fact-and-formula-in-complex-sytems-the-example-of-1f-noise 2014agubalancingfactandformula-141222042150-conversion-gate02
Invited talk at 2014 Fall AGU in San Francisco]]>
Invited talk at 2014 Fall AGU in San Francisco]]> Mon, 22 Dec 2014 04:21:50 GMT /NickWatkins1/2014-agu-balancing-fact-and-formula-in-complex-sytems-the-example-of-1f-noise NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) 2014 AGU Balancing fact and formula in complex sytems: the example of 1/f noise NickWatkins1 Invited talk at 2014 Fall AGU in San Francisco <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2014agubalancingfactandformula-141222042150-conversion-gate02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Invited talk at 2014 Fall AGU in San Francisco
2014 AGU Balancing fact and formula in complex sytems: the example of 1/f noise from Nick Watkins
]]> 483 4 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2014agubalancingfactandformula-141222042150-conversion-gate02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation 000000 http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 IMA 2013 Bunched Black Swans at the British Antarctic Survey /NickWatkins1/ima-2013-37485619 ima2013-140730004936-phpapp01
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]]> Wed, 30 Jul 2014 00:49:36 GMT /NickWatkins1/ima-2013-37485619 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) IMA 2013 Bunched Black Swans at the British Antarctic Survey NickWatkins1 <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/ima2013-140730004936-phpapp01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br>
IMA 2013 Bunched Black Swans at the British Antarctic Survey from Nick Watkins
]]> 672 5 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/ima2013-140730004936-phpapp01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation Black http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 Cambridge 2014 Complexity, tails and trends /slideshow/cambridge-2014-complexitytailsandtrends/37458850 cambridge2014complexitytailsandtrends-140729083120-phpapp01
Talk given at Trends 2014, Clare College Cambridge.]]>
Talk given at Trends 2014, Clare College Cambridge.]]> Tue, 29 Jul 2014 08:31:20 GMT /slideshow/cambridge-2014-complexitytailsandtrends/37458850 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) Cambridge 2014 Complexity, tails and trends NickWatkins1 Talk given at Trends 2014, Clare College Cambridge. <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/cambridge2014complexitytailsandtrends-140729083120-phpapp01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Talk given at Trends 2014, Clare College Cambridge.
Cambridge 2014 Complexity, tails and trends from Nick Watkins
]]> 450 3 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/cambridge2014complexitytailsandtrends-140729083120-phpapp01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation Black http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 Dresden 2014 A tour of some fractional models and the physics behind them /slideshow/dresden-2014-a-touroffractionalmodelsandthephysicsbehindthem/36839595 dresden2014atouroffractionalmodelsandthephysicsbehindthem-140710102736-phpapp02
Talk given at Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden, 9th July, 2014,]]>
Talk given at Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden, 9th July, 2014,]]> Thu, 10 Jul 2014 10:27:36 GMT /slideshow/dresden-2014-a-touroffractionalmodelsandthephysicsbehindthem/36839595 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) Dresden 2014 A tour of some fractional models and the physics behind them NickWatkins1 Talk given at Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden, 9th July, 2014, <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/dresden2014atouroffractionalmodelsandthephysicsbehindthem-140710102736-phpapp02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Talk given at Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden, 9th July, 2014,
Dresden 2014 A tour of some fractional models and the physics behind them from Nick Watkins
]]> 1257 6 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/dresden2014atouroffractionalmodelsandthephysicsbehindthem-140710102736-phpapp02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation Black http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 Cyprus 2011 complexity extreme bursts and volatility bunching in solar terrestrial physics /slideshow/cyprus-2011-complexity-extreme-bursts-and-volatility-bunching-in-solar-terrestrial-physics/33804467 cyprus2011complexityextremeburstsandvolatilitybunchinginstp-140422095516-phpapp02
Invited talk at Sigma Phi statistical physics meeting, Cyprus, 2011.]]>
Invited talk at Sigma Phi statistical physics meeting, Cyprus, 2011.]]> Tue, 22 Apr 2014 09:55:16 GMT /slideshow/cyprus-2011-complexity-extreme-bursts-and-volatility-bunching-in-solar-terrestrial-physics/33804467 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) Cyprus 2011 complexity extreme bursts and volatility bunching in solar terrestrial physics NickWatkins1 Invited talk at Sigma Phi statistical physics meeting, Cyprus, 2011. <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/cyprus2011complexityextremeburstsandvolatilitybunchinginstp-140422095516-phpapp02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Invited talk at Sigma Phi statistical physics meeting, Cyprus, 2011.
Cyprus 2011 complexity extreme bursts and volatility bunching in solar terrestrial physics from Nick Watkins
]]> 469 5 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/cyprus2011complexityextremeburstsandvolatilitybunchinginstp-140422095516-phpapp02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation Black http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 AGU 2012 Bayesian analysis of non Gaussian LRD processes /slideshow/agu-2102-bayesian-analysis-of-non-gaussian-lrd-processes/33728627 agu-202102-20bayesian-20analysis-20of-20non-gaussian-20lrd-20processes-140420070821-phpapp02
Contributed talk at American Geophysical Union Fall Meetinfg, San Francisco, 2012. Part of work now submitted to Bayesian Analysis, 2014, see eprint: http://arxiv.org/abs/1403.2940]]>
Contributed talk at American Geophysical Union Fall Meetinfg, San Francisco, 2012. Part of work now submitted to Bayesian Analysis, 2014, see eprint: http://arxiv.org/abs/1403.2940]]> Sun, 20 Apr 2014 07:08:21 GMT /slideshow/agu-2102-bayesian-analysis-of-non-gaussian-lrd-processes/33728627 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) AGU 2012 Bayesian analysis of non Gaussian LRD processes NickWatkins1 Contributed talk at American Geophysical Union Fall Meetinfg, San Francisco, 2012. Part of work now submitted to Bayesian Analysis, 2014, see eprint: http://arxiv.org/abs/1403.2940 <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/agu-202102-20bayesian-20analysis-20of-20non-gaussian-20lrd-20processes-140420070821-phpapp02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Contributed talk at American Geophysical Union Fall Meetinfg, San Francisco, 2012. Part of work now submitted to Bayesian Analysis, 2014, see eprint: http://arxiv.org/abs/1403.2940
AGU 2012 Bayesian analysis of non Gaussian LRD processes from Nick Watkins
]]> 691 5 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/agu-202102-20bayesian-20analysis-20of-20non-gaussian-20lrd-20processes-140420070821-phpapp02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation White http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 Hyderabad 2010 Distributions of extreme bursts above thresholds in a fractional Levy toy model of natural complexity /slideshow/hyderabad-2010-distributionsofextremeburstsabovethresholds/33711670 hyderabad2010distributionsofextremeburstsabovethresholds-140419103606-phpapp01
Invited talk at 2010 American Geophysical Union Chapman Conference in Hyderabad, India.]]>
Invited talk at 2010 American Geophysical Union Chapman Conference in Hyderabad, India.]]> Sat, 19 Apr 2014 10:36:06 GMT /slideshow/hyderabad-2010-distributionsofextremeburstsabovethresholds/33711670 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) Hyderabad 2010 Distributions of extreme bursts above thresholds in a fractional Levy toy model of natural complexity NickWatkins1 Invited talk at 2010 American Geophysical Union Chapman Conference in Hyderabad, India. <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/hyderabad2010distributionsofextremeburstsabovethresholds-140419103606-phpapp01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Invited talk at 2010 American Geophysical Union Chapman Conference in Hyderabad, India.
Hyderabad 2010 Distributions of extreme bursts above thresholds in a fractional Levy toy model of natural complexity from Nick Watkins
]]> 442 2 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/hyderabad2010distributionsofextremeburstsabovethresholds-140419103606-phpapp01-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation White http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 Venice 2012 Two topics in the history of complexity: Bunched Black Swans and the Mind's Eye /slideshow/two-topics-inthehistoryofcomplexity/33229702 twotopicsinthehistoryofcomplexity-140407112605-phpapp02
Talk given at ASSYST meeting, Venice, Spring 2012]]>
Talk given at ASSYST meeting, Venice, Spring 2012]]> Mon, 07 Apr 2014 11:26:04 GMT /slideshow/two-topics-inthehistoryofcomplexity/33229702 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) Venice 2012 Two topics in the history of complexity: Bunched Black Swans and the Mind's Eye NickWatkins1 Talk given at ASSYST meeting, Venice, Spring 2012 <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/twotopicsinthehistoryofcomplexity-140407112605-phpapp02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Talk given at ASSYST meeting, Venice, Spring 2012
Venice 2012 Two topics in the history of complexity: Bunched Black Swans and the Mind's Eye from Nick Watkins
]]> 465 5 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/twotopicsinthehistoryofcomplexity-140407112605-phpapp02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation White http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 LSE 2012 Extremes, Bursts and Mandelbrot's Eyes ... and Five Ways to Mis-estimate Risk /slideshow/final-nww-lsetalk/33228923 finalnwwlsetalk-140407110607-phpapp02
Talk given at the Uncertainty Quantification Workshop, LSE, 22nd May 2012. ]]>
Talk given at the Uncertainty Quantification Workshop, LSE, 22nd May 2012. ]]> Mon, 07 Apr 2014 11:06:07 GMT /slideshow/final-nww-lsetalk/33228923 NickWatkins1@slideshare.net(NickWatkins1) LSE 2012 Extremes, Bursts and Mandelbrot's Eyes ... and Five Ways to Mis-estimate Risk NickWatkins1 Talk given at the Uncertainty Quantification Workshop, LSE, 22nd May 2012. <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/finalnwwlsetalk-140407110607-phpapp02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> Talk given at the Uncertainty Quantification Workshop, LSE, 22nd May 2012.
LSE 2012 Extremes, Bursts and Mandelbrot's Eyes ... and Five Ways to Mis-estimate Risk from Nick Watkins
]]> 538 6 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/finalnwwlsetalk-140407110607-phpapp02-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation White http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 1 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/profile-photo-NickWatkins1-48x48.jpg?cb=1523450232 My work confronts complexity science with real world problems and is centred on modelling uncertainty and risk in time series. A particular focus is models for processes that exhibit both heavy-tailed jumps and long ranged temporal memory, thus creating correlated extreme events (bunched black swans). My work, presentations and the conferences that I organise all aim to catalyse the two way dialogue between new ideas and paradigms drawn from complexity science, and the existing discipline-specific knowledge of more traditional disciplines and end users. www.mendeley.com/profiles/nicholas-watkins1/ https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/watkinsasg1-160121150604-thumbnail.jpg?width=320&height=320&fit=bounds slideshow/a-random-walk-through-search-research/57329853 A Random Walk Through ... https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2015dresdenmandelbrotsotherrouteto1overf-150130092311-conversion-gate02-thumbnail.jpg?width=320&height=320&fit=bounds slideshow/2015-dresden-mandelbrots-otherrouteto1overf/44077066 2015 Dresden Mandelbro... https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/2014tromsogeneralisedandfractionallangevinequations-implicationsforenergybalancemodels-150108052741-conversion-gate01-thumbnail.jpg?width=320&height=320&fit=bounds slideshow/2014-tromso-generalised-and-fractional-langevin-equations-implications-for-energy-balance-models/43314472 2014 tromso generalise...