ºÝºÝߣshows by User: michaelinom / http://www.slideshare.net/images/logo.gif ºÝºÝߣshows by User: michaelinom / Fri, 05 Feb 2021 23:59:58 GMT ºÝºÝߣShare feed for ºÝºÝߣshows by User: michaelinom Revisiting The UK EU Membership Referendum (Brexit) Poll Tracker /slideshow/revisiting-the-uk-eu-membership-referendum-brexit-poll-tracker/242326427 revisitingtheukeumembershipreferendumbrexitpolltracker-michaelinomervisiano-2017-slides-210205235958
On the 23rd June 2016, the United Kingdom (UK) European Union (EU) membership referendum resulted in 51.9% of voters voted to leave EU—popularly termed as Brexit. Given its significant implications, correctly predicting Brexit was crucial but most pollsters predicted incorrectly. This paper assesses whether Brexit was evident and predictable from the pre-referendum polls data. Unlike previous studies—whose analytical tools are limited to latest poll analysis, descriptive statistics, point estimate, and simple linear regression—this project use more robust and sophisticated statistical methodologies As conclusion: 1. Given the overlapping confidence intervals between Leave and Stay, Brexit is actually not a surprising result. 2. Brexit is actually predictable from the historical polls data if one uses more robust methodologies. Many pollsters made incorrect prediction because they rely on very basic methodology. ]]>
On the 23rd June 2016, the United Kingdom (UK) European Union (EU) membership referendum resulted in 51.9% of voters voted to leave EU—popularly termed as Brexit. Given its significant implications, correctly predicting Brexit was crucial but most pollsters predicted incorrectly. This paper assesses whether Brexit was evident and predictable from the pre-referendum polls data. Unlike previous studies—whose analytical tools are limited to latest poll analysis, descriptive statistics, point estimate, and simple linear regression—this project use more robust and sophisticated statistical methodologies As conclusion: 1. Given the overlapping confidence intervals between Leave and Stay, Brexit is actually not a surprising result. 2. Brexit is actually predictable from the historical polls data if one uses more robust methodologies. Many pollsters made incorrect prediction because they rely on very basic methodology. ]]> Fri, 05 Feb 2021 23:59:58 GMT /slideshow/revisiting-the-uk-eu-membership-referendum-brexit-poll-tracker/242326427 michaelinom@slideshare.net(michaelinom) Revisiting The UK EU Membership Referendum (Brexit) Poll Tracker michaelinom On the 23rd June 2016, the United Kingdom (UK) European Union (EU) membership referendum resulted in 51.9% of voters voted to leave EU—popularly termed as Brexit. Given its significant implications, correctly predicting Brexit was crucial but most pollsters predicted incorrectly. This paper assesses whether Brexit was evident and predictable from the pre-referendum polls data. Unlike previous studies—whose analytical tools are limited to latest poll analysis, descriptive statistics, point estimate, and simple linear regression—this project use more robust and sophisticated statistical methodologies As conclusion: 1. Given the overlapping confidence intervals between Leave and Stay, Brexit is actually not a surprising result. 2. Brexit is actually predictable from the historical polls data if one uses more robust methodologies. Many pollsters made incorrect prediction because they rely on very basic methodology. <img style="border:1px solid #C3E6D8;float:right;" alt="" src="https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/revisitingtheukeumembershipreferendumbrexitpolltracker-michaelinomervisiano-2017-slides-210205235958-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&amp;height=120&amp;fit=bounds" /><br> On the 23rd June 2016, the United Kingdom (UK) European Union (EU) membership referendum resulted in 51.9% of voters voted to leave EU—popularly termed as Brexit. Given its significant implications, correctly predicting Brexit was crucial but most pollsters predicted incorrectly. This paper assesses whether Brexit was evident and predictable from the pre-referendum polls data. Unlike previous studies—whose analytical tools are limited to latest poll analysis, descriptive statistics, point estimate, and simple linear regression—this project use more robust and sophisticated statistical methodologies As conclusion: 1. Given the overlapping confidence intervals between Leave and Stay, Brexit is actually not a surprising result. 2. Brexit is actually predictable from the historical polls data if one uses more robust methodologies. Many pollsters made incorrect prediction because they rely on very basic methodology.
Revisiting The UK EU Membership Referendum (Brexit) Poll Tracker from Michaelino Mervisiano
]]> 74 0 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/ss_thumbnails/revisitingtheukeumembershipreferendumbrexitpolltracker-michaelinomervisiano-2017-slides-210205235958-thumbnail.jpg?width=120&height=120&fit=bounds presentation Black http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/post http://activitystrea.ms/schema/1.0/posted 0 https://cdn.slidesharecdn.com/profile-photo-michaelinom-48x48.jpg?cb=1721058366 A statistican and development professional with experience on business consulting, digital analytics, and international policy issues