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Travel Time Estimation: An ITS
Perspective
Sunil
Gyawali
Tim
Outline
 Introduction
 Objective
 Methodology
 Collection of Information
 NDORs Sensors Deployment
 Travel Time based on Bluetooth Data
 Time Vs. Velocity Plot based on NDOR Sensor
Data
Introduction
Why Travel Time?
 To asses operational management and planning
of network
Indicator : LOS of road link
Parameter: Congestion
 As appreciated information for road users
Objective
 Compare literature based Travel Time
estimation to the field measured Travel Time
 Develop models for predicting Travel Time and
Congestion and assess their performance.
Methodology
Collection of Information (Day1)
Collection of Information (Day 2)
NDOR Sensors within the
Study Segments
Travel Time based on
Bluetooth Data
Time Vs. Velocity Plot based on
NDOR Sensor Data
0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76
20
40
60
80
100
Time
Velocity
WB 114 Street
0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76
85
90
95
100
105
Time
Velocity
WB 156 Street
0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76
70
80
90
100
110
Time
Velocity
WB 144 Street
0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76
40
60
80
100
120
Time
Velocity
WB 132 Street
0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76
20
40
60
80
100
120
Time
Velocity
WB 127 Street
0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76
90
95
100
105
110
115
Time
Velocity
WB 204 Street
0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
Time
Velocity
WB 192 Street
0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76
70
80
90
100
110
Time
Velocity
WB 168 Street
0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76
80
90
100
110
120
Time
Velocity
WB ON Ramp Light Pole
5PM-6PM Congestion
Instantaneous Model and Sensor
Data
Travel Time (Bluetooth Data Vs.
Instantaneous Model based on
Sensor Data)
Section RMS
Subsection1 0.152
Subsection2 0.087
Whole Section 0.109
Multiple Linear Regression for
Travel Time
Travel Time Model Performance
Logistic Regression for
Congestion
Congestion Model Performance
Findings from the Study
 The Travel Time estimated with Instantaneous Model
validates with the Field Measured (Bluetooth based) Travel
Time.
 The Travel Time is highly correlated with independent
variables as velocities at beginning and end of the section,
segment length, and the earlier travel time (5 minute before)
as evident in multiple linear regression modeling.
 Similarly, the situation of the segment being congested or not
is also explained by above mentioned variables along with
number entry/exit points along the segment.
 Since from the Time Vs. Velocity plot, the congestion at the
period 5 PM- 6 PM was seemingly high at the upstream

More Related Content

Presentation

  • 1. Travel Time Estimation: An ITS Perspective Sunil Gyawali Tim
  • 2. Outline Introduction Objective Methodology Collection of Information NDORs Sensors Deployment Travel Time based on Bluetooth Data Time Vs. Velocity Plot based on NDOR Sensor Data
  • 3. Introduction Why Travel Time? To asses operational management and planning of network Indicator : LOS of road link Parameter: Congestion As appreciated information for road users
  • 4. Objective Compare literature based Travel Time estimation to the field measured Travel Time Develop models for predicting Travel Time and Congestion and assess their performance.
  • 8. NDOR Sensors within the Study Segments
  • 9. Travel Time based on Bluetooth Data
  • 10. Time Vs. Velocity Plot based on NDOR Sensor Data 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76 20 40 60 80 100 Time Velocity WB 114 Street 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76 85 90 95 100 105 Time Velocity WB 156 Street 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76 70 80 90 100 110 Time Velocity WB 144 Street 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76 40 60 80 100 120 Time Velocity WB 132 Street 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76 20 40 60 80 100 120 Time Velocity WB 127 Street 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76 90 95 100 105 110 115 Time Velocity WB 204 Street 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 Time Velocity WB 192 Street 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76 70 80 90 100 110 Time Velocity WB 168 Street 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.7 0.72 0.74 0.76 80 90 100 110 120 Time Velocity WB ON Ramp Light Pole 5PM-6PM Congestion
  • 11. Instantaneous Model and Sensor Data
  • 12. Travel Time (Bluetooth Data Vs. Instantaneous Model based on Sensor Data) Section RMS Subsection1 0.152 Subsection2 0.087 Whole Section 0.109
  • 13. Multiple Linear Regression for Travel Time
  • 14. Travel Time Model Performance
  • 17. Findings from the Study The Travel Time estimated with Instantaneous Model validates with the Field Measured (Bluetooth based) Travel Time. The Travel Time is highly correlated with independent variables as velocities at beginning and end of the section, segment length, and the earlier travel time (5 minute before) as evident in multiple linear regression modeling. Similarly, the situation of the segment being congested or not is also explained by above mentioned variables along with number entry/exit points along the segment. Since from the Time Vs. Velocity plot, the congestion at the period 5 PM- 6 PM was seemingly high at the upstream