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Spotting Trends
The Wisdom of the Few



                    Xiaolan Sha
                Daniele Quercia
               Pietro Michiardi
              Matteo DellAmico
Our Work




 What are the trends one might be interested in?
What Is a Trend




 Popular
   




Trending
Who Create Trends




              鐔鐔
In鍖uentials         Trend Makers
              ED         (upload)
           BIN
       OM ESS
    A C OC
      PR
Accidental          Trend Spotters
                          (vote)
Our Context

                  SP
               Te
                     E    CI
                  c
              De hnol
                        og
                              AL
                sig
                    n-     y
                       Co -Sav
                         ns      v
                            cio y
                               us
Our Context




A core group of users are main content contributors.




                   9,316 users, 6,395 items and 21,252 votes
Traditional


                             item i
                                                  p(u,i) = 1 if u likes i, otherwise 0




         user u
 Items




                                      ALGORITHM
                                                       Recommend

 Users



                  Preference Matrix
Our Approach




    Trend Spotters
                                             Recommend
                        Identify Trends
                                               Trends
    Trend Makers

           User Space           Item Space
                                                  Trend-aware
                                                Recommendation
A Special Few



       ?             Features




         鐔
                     Activity
Trend Spotters


Trend Makers
                     Content

                     Social Network
                                      SVM
        User Space
                     Geography
A Special Few



 ?

  鐔
                  if uploaders are trend makers of any quality


Trends
                                                                    Logistic
                                                                   Regression
     Item Space   if voters are trend spotters - only of high quality
Trend-aware


                                     trend i
                                                     p(u,i) = 1 if u likes trend i



                 user u


                                               SVD      Recommend
  Trends
                                                          Trends


   Trend Space

                            Trend-aware
                          Preference Matrix
Our Approach




    Trend Spotters
                                             Recommend
                        Identify Trends
                                               Trends
    Trend Makers

           User Space           Item Space
                                                  Trend-aware
                                                Recommendation
Baseline


                             item i               p(u,i) = 1 if u likes i and item i is a trend,
                                                  otherwise 0



         user u
 Items




                                      ALGORITHM
                                                       Recommend

 Users



                  Preference Matrix
Evaluation




 Recall(N) = #hits / |T|
 Precision(N) = #hits / (N * |T|)
Summary




Popular  Trends

Trend Spotters & Makers Exist ! Identify them improve the
recommendation.
Spotting Trends: The Wisdom of the Few
  Xiaolan Sha, Daniele Quercia, Pietro Michiardi, Matteo DellAmico




                                                      Thank You!

More Related Content

Spotting Trends: The Wisdom of the Few

  • 1. Spotting Trends The Wisdom of the Few Xiaolan Sha Daniele Quercia Pietro Michiardi Matteo DellAmico
  • 2. Our Work What are the trends one might be interested in?
  • 3. What Is a Trend Popular Trending
  • 4. Who Create Trends 鐔鐔 In鍖uentials Trend Makers ED (upload) BIN OM ESS A C OC PR Accidental Trend Spotters (vote)
  • 5. Our Context SP Te E CI c De hnol og AL sig n- y Co -Sav ns v cio y us
  • 6. Our Context A core group of users are main content contributors. 9,316 users, 6,395 items and 21,252 votes
  • 7. Traditional item i p(u,i) = 1 if u likes i, otherwise 0 user u Items ALGORITHM Recommend Users Preference Matrix
  • 8. Our Approach Trend Spotters Recommend Identify Trends Trends Trend Makers User Space Item Space Trend-aware Recommendation
  • 9. A Special Few ? Features 鐔 Activity Trend Spotters Trend Makers Content Social Network SVM User Space Geography
  • 10. A Special Few ? 鐔 if uploaders are trend makers of any quality Trends Logistic Regression Item Space if voters are trend spotters - only of high quality
  • 11. Trend-aware trend i p(u,i) = 1 if u likes trend i user u SVD Recommend Trends Trends Trend Space Trend-aware Preference Matrix
  • 12. Our Approach Trend Spotters Recommend Identify Trends Trends Trend Makers User Space Item Space Trend-aware Recommendation
  • 13. Baseline item i p(u,i) = 1 if u likes i and item i is a trend, otherwise 0 user u Items ALGORITHM Recommend Users Preference Matrix
  • 14. Evaluation Recall(N) = #hits / |T| Precision(N) = #hits / (N * |T|)
  • 15. Summary Popular Trends Trend Spotters & Makers Exist ! Identify them improve the recommendation.
  • 16. Spotting Trends: The Wisdom of the Few Xiaolan Sha, Daniele Quercia, Pietro Michiardi, Matteo DellAmico Thank You!