18. 仂仍仍亠亞亳 于弍仂亳从仂于仂仍仍亠亞亳 于弍仂亳从仂于 弍亰仂 亰亠弍亰仂 亰亠
亠亠亟 仗亠于仂亶 亟亳从亳亳亠亠亟 仗亠于仂亶 亟亳从亳亳
丐亠仄仆仂-亳仆亳亶 = 仂仂于亠仆仂 亟仍 仍亳仆仂仆, 弌于亠仍仂-亳仆亠- 亠仂仆仂, 亟仍
仍亳仆仂仆; 弌亠亶 = 亠仆舒; 丐亠仄仆仂-从舒仆亶 = 仂仂于亠仆仂 亟仍 丐舒仄仗舒,
于亠仍仂-从舒仆亶 = 亠仂仆仂, 亟仍 丐舒仄仗舒; Pink = 弍仂仍亠亠 于亠仂仆仂, 亠仄 仆亠
丐舒仄仗舒
18
STATE CLINTON TRUMP RCP AVERAGE RCP STATUS 2012 2008 2004
WA
12
MT
3 ND
3
NE2 VT NH
1 3 4 ME
2
ME2
1
OR
7
MN
10
ID
4
ME1
1
WY
3
SD
3
WI
10
MI
16
NY
29
MA
11
NV
6
NE
4
IA
6
OH
18
PA
20
RI
4
CA
55
UT
6
CO
9
IL IN
20 11
KS
6
WV
5
MO
10
VA
13
NC
15
AZ
11
KY
8
TN
11
CT
7
NM
5
OK
7 AR
6
SC
9
NJ
14
MS
6
AL GA
9 16
TX
38
LA
8
DE
3
AK
3
FL
29
M
D
10
DC
3
HI
4
19. A new national survey finds that Trump
supporters overwhelmingly believe that life in
America is worse than it was 50 years ago for
people like them. Fully 81% of registered
voters who support Trump say life has gotten
worse, compared with just 11% who say it has
gotten better (6% say it is about the same).
Most Clinton supporters take the opposite view:
59% say life for people like them has gotten
better over the past half-century, while 19%
think it has gotten worse and 18% see
little change.
The candidates supporters have contrasting
expectations for the nations future. Trump
backers are broadly pessimistic 68% say life
for
the next generation will be worsethan today.
Clinton supporters have mixed assessments.
Nearly four-in-ten (38%) say life will be better,
28% say it will be about the same and just 30%
say it will be worse.
19
仂仍仂仂于舒于亳亠 舒仂亟 仂 仂亞仂, 亞亟亠仂仍仂仂于舒于亳亠 舒仂亟 仂 仂亞仂, 亞亟亠
仄亠亳从舒 弍仍舒 亳 从亟舒 仂仆舒 亟于亳亢亠仄亠亳从舒 弍仍舒 亳 从亟舒 仂仆舒 亟于亳亢亠
22. Clinton. However, just 49% of Republicans who backed other candidates for the partys
nomination say the same.
When it comes to the issues at the forefront of
voters minds, the economy tops the list, with
84% of voters and similar shares across most
demographic and political groups saying it is
Economy and terrorism are top issues
for voters in 2016
% of registered voters saying each is very important to
their vote in 2016
very important to their vote. Terrorism also
ranks high across the political spectrum.
Other issues are seen as more important by
backers of one of the candidates: Trump
supporters are more likely than Clinton
supporters to say immigration is very
important to their vote (79% vs. 65%), though
the importance of this issue across-the-board
is substantially higher today than it was in
2008 or 2012. Conversely, though nearly
eight-in-ten (79%) Clinton supporters view the
treatment of racial and ethnic minorities as a
very important issue to their vote, only 42% of
Trump backers say the same. And while more
than half of Clinton supporters (54%) say the
treatment of gay, lesbian and transgender
people is very important, just a quarter of
E c o n o m y
T e r r o r is m
Foreign policy
Health care
Gun policy
Im m ig r a t io n
Social Security
E d u c a t io n
Supreme Court appts
Treatment of racial,
e t h n ic m in o r it ie s
Trade policy
E n v ir o n m e n t
A b o r t io n
Treatment of gay, lesbian,
transgender people
84
80
75
74
72
70
67
66
65
63
57
52
45
40
Trump supporters agree. Note: Based on registered voters. Q40.
Source: Survey conducted June 15-26, 2016.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER 22
24. 仂亳于仂亞仂仂亳于仂亞仂
Among those who choose Trump over Clinton in the head-to-head question on voter preferences,
55% say their choice is more a vote against Clinton than for Trump. A smaller share (41%) says
their vote is more for Trump than against
Clinton. In 2008 and 2000 (the two most
recent presidential elections with no
incumbent candidate), no more than about a
third of those planning to support the
Republican candidate said their choice was
more a vote against the Democrat than for the
Many Trump and Clinton supporters say
v o t e i s a g a i n s t o t h e r c a n d i d a t e
Would you say your choice is more a vote FOR or
AGAINST ?
Against other candidate For owncandidate
Among Republican candidate supporters
Republican.
Negative voting is also widespread on the
Democratic side. Among those planning to
support Clinton in the general election, half
(50%) say they think of their choice as more of
a vote against Trump than for Clinton. About
2016
2012
2008
2004
2000
55 41
58 38
35 59
23 73
33 60
as many (48%) say their vote is more for
Clinton than against Trump. The share of
Democratic general election supporters who
say they think of their vote more as a vote
against the Republican candidate is higher
Among Democratic candidate supporters
than it was at this point in each of the past four
presidential elections.
2004
2000
37 59
30 64
2016 50 48
2012 22 72
2008 25 68
24
26. ContactInformationContactInformation
Ethan S. Burger, Esq.
Fulbright Legal Specialist, Washington, D.C.
Vilnius University // Washington College of Law
ethansb@post.harvard.edu
burger@American.edu
esb34@georgetown.edu
1-917-291-3362
26
