際際滷

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A bag contains 6 red and 4 black balls. Another bag contains
3 red and 8 black balls. A ball is drawn from the first bag
and is placed in the second bag. A ball is then drawn from
the second bag. What is the probability that the ball drawn
from the second bag is red ball.
Solution
Bag-I Bag-II
6 red balls 3 red balls
4 black balls 8 black balls
R1 = Red ball from bag  I
R2 = Red ball from bag  II
B1 = Black ball from bag  I
B2 = Black ball from bag  II
If a red ball is placed in bag-II from bag-I
Bag-II
4 red balls
8 black balls
Therefore (R2) =
4
12
If a black ball is placed in bag-II from bag-I
Bag-II
3 red balls
9 black balls
Therefore (R2) =
3
12
() = (R1  R2)  (B1  R2)
() = (R1)  P(R2) + (B1)  (R2)
() =
6
10

4
12
+
4
10

3
12
=
36
120
=
3
10
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A bag contains 6 red and 4 black balls.docx

  • 1. A bag contains 6 red and 4 black balls. Another bag contains 3 red and 8 black balls. A ball is drawn from the first bag and is placed in the second bag. A ball is then drawn from the second bag. What is the probability that the ball drawn from the second bag is red ball. Solution Bag-I Bag-II 6 red balls 3 red balls 4 black balls 8 black balls R1 = Red ball from bag I R2 = Red ball from bag II B1 = Black ball from bag I B2 = Black ball from bag II If a red ball is placed in bag-II from bag-I Bag-II 4 red balls 8 black balls Therefore (R2) = 4 12
  • 2. If a black ball is placed in bag-II from bag-I Bag-II 3 red balls 9 black balls Therefore (R2) = 3 12 () = (R1 R2) (B1 R2) () = (R1) P(R2) + (B1) (R2) () = 6 10 4 12 + 4 10 3 12 = 36 120 = 3 10