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FINGER ON THE PULSE
Monitoring Health of the City




Chris Smith, Daniele Quercia, Licia Capra
offline & online
census deprivation + data
census deprivation + londoners on twitter
census deprivation   + sentiment
predicting socioeconomic well-being with twitter

            r=.350 word count   r=.365 MaxEnt
census deprivation   + topics
Talk of the City [ICWSM12]




   social media
   environment
   sports
   health          Royal wedding
                   Spanish/Portuguese
                   celebrity gossips
census deprivation   + tube trips
Finger on the Pulse: Towards a Real-time City Health Monitor
Finger on the Pulse: Towards a Real-time City Health Monitor
Proposal
Proposal
Proposal


Deprivation might be connected to:

 HP1: unexpected mobility
 HP2: use of bus (compared to tube use)
 HP3: low social/geographic diversity
Hypothesis 1


build a gravity model ~ flow of passengers
What is a gravity model?

        a   b
       Pi Pj
Tij = k g
         dij                Pj


                Pi    dij
Finger on the Pulse: Towards a Real-time City Health Monitor
Hypothesis 1


gravity works: r= .72!
Hypothesis 1


Where the model fails to fit well
unexplained bit: prevailing socioeconomic factors ?
Hypothesis 1


Where the model fails to fit well
unexplained bit: prevailing socioeconomic factors ?
We look at (gravity)Residuals
Hypothesis 2


#tube passengers proportional to population
Bus/Car bias: residual between #passengers   and population
Hypothesis 3


Social/Geographic diversity: socio-economic advantage
Social/Geo diversity
Hypothesis 1+2+3

 Gravity Residuals ***
 Bus Bias                **
 Socio/Geo Diversity n.s.s.

 R^2= 9% IMD
 R^2= 34% Living Environment
Hypothesis 1+2+3 (top+bottom only)

 Gravity Residuals ***
 Bus Bias                **
 Socio/Geo Diversity n.s.s.

 R^2= 27% IMD
 R^2= 54% Living Environment
永姻艶糸庄界岳庄稼乙
永姻艶糸庄界岳庄稼乙
永姻艶糸庄界岳庄稼乙
So what?


Strong Passenger flowurban deprivation
(timely & effective & longitudinal)
Situation




                   


      (Its already 75% in the USA)
Situation




                        


By 2025 another 1.2 billion living in urban areas
Situation




                              


Cities in developing countries: 5M new inhabitants each month
Problem



 Inequality!   Timely allocation of scarce
               resources
census deprivation   + mental maps
Finger on the Pulse: Towards a Real-time City Health Monitor
draw a map
Finger on the Pulse: Towards a Real-time City Health Monitor
Finger on the Pulse: Towards a Real-time City Health Monitor
Finger on the Pulse: Towards a Real-time City Health Monitor
launched few months ago & > 2K players
Visibility & Social Deprivation
FINGER ON THE PULSE
Monitoring Health in the City




Chris Smith, Daniele Quercia, Licia Capra

More Related Content

Finger on the Pulse: Towards a Real-time City Health Monitor

Editor's Notes

  • #2: explain titleshould have included a subtitle
  • #13: we use the gravity model to study flows of passengers on Londons rail system.extensive network. 588 stations. click for oyster card.oyster cards record the point and time of entry and link all journeys to a user id, so we can analyse individual travel patterns.stats 1 month = 77 million journeys by 5 million users between 588 stations.
  • #14: we use the gravity model to study flows of passengers on Londons rail system.extensive network. 588 stations. click for oyster card.oyster cards record the point and time of entry and link all journeys to a user id, so we can analyse individual travel patterns.stats 1 month = 77 million journeys by 5 million users between 588 stations.
  • #15: we use the gravity model to study flows of passengers on Londons rail system.extensive network. 588 stations. click for oyster card.oyster cards record the point and time of entry and link all journeys to a user id, so we can analyse individual travel patterns.stats 1 month = 77 million journeys by 5 million users between 588 stations.
  • #16: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #17: [describe diagram] in analogy with Newtonsclick for equation[describe equation] k, alpha, beta, gamma are normally fitted to the particular system being modeled----- Meeting Notes (13/06/2012 16:31) -----add symobols to picture
  • #19: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #20: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #21: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #22: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #23: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #24: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #25: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #26: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #27: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #28: Our proposal is to use AFC data in order to build a well established form of interaction model the gravity model to describe the flow of passengers on public transport systems.introduced by Zipf in 1946 successfully used to help explain flow of humans, goods, information and disease, at inter-city level and above.
  • #29: we use the gravity model to study flows of passengers on Londons rail system.extensive network. 588 stations. click for oyster card.oyster cards record the point and time of entry and link all journeys to a user id, so we can analyse individual travel patterns.stats 1 month = 77 million journeys by 5 million users between 588 stations.
  • #30: the world is currently undergoing a massive influx of people into cities.which means that (next slide)
  • #31: the world is currently undergoing a massive influx of people into cities.which means that (next slide)
  • #32: the world is currently undergoing a massive influx of people into cities.which means that (next slide)
  • #33: in particular, transport analysts and planners need to be able to understand and predict passenger flowso far there has been little work on modeling flows on public transport systems in an urban environment, or at the intra-city level.one reason for this may be lack of data, but with adoption of AFC in cities all over the world, this data is now readily available.
  • #42: explain titleshould have included a subtitle