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12 pakistan’s population development challenge by dr. zeba a sathar (t.i.), dr. ali m. mir

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The document discusses Pakistan's population growth trends and challenges. It includes 11 figures showing Pakistan's rising population growth rates since 1951, declining total fertility rates in the region, decreasing desired family size among Pakistani women, pregnancy outcomes, numbers of boys and girls in vs. out of school, job availability vs requirements, and economic projections under alternative demographic scenarios. Pakistan faces significant challenges related to its rapid population growth including education, employment, and economic development.

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BACKGROUND DR. ZEBA A SATHAR (T.I.), DR. ALI M. MIR FIGURE 1: Population Growth Trends in Pakistan SOURCE: Population and Housing Census of Pakistan 1951-196, and Population estimates PAKISTAN’S POPULATION DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGE Pakistan Mapping the Policy Agenda 2018-2023 149
FIGURE 2: Annual Average Population Growth Rates in Pakistan, 1951–2017 SOURCE: Population and housing censuses of Pakistan, 1951-2017 FIGURE 3: Trend in Total Fertility Rates in the Region Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population Prospects: e 2017 Revision 150 Pakistan’s Population Development Challenges
FIGURE 4: Change in the Number of Children Desired by Pakistani Women SOURCE: PDHS 2012-13 & 1990-91 FIGURE 5: Number and Outcomes of Pregnancies in Pakistan SOURCE: Population Council 2014 Pakistan Mapping the Policy Agenda 2018-2023 151
FIGURE 6: Number of Boys (ages 5–16) in School and Out of School in Pakistan, 2001–2015 SOURCE: PIHS/PSLMS data series OOSC = out of school children FIGURE 7: Number of Girls (ages 5–16) in School and Out of School in Pakistan, 2001–2015 SOURCE: PIHS/PSLMS data series FIGURE 8: Number of Jobs Available and Required in Pakistan (million) 152 Pakistan’s Population Development Challenges
SOURCE: Labour Force Survey SOURCE: Population Council's revised Projections 2015, revised based in Census 2017 Estimates, and Bongaarts, Sathar, and Mahmood, 2013. Pakistan Mapping the Policy Agenda 2018-2023 153
FIGURE 11: National Economic Projections Based on Alternative Demographic Scenarios (2010–2050) SOURCE: Bloom, Chen, and Sathar 2015 154 Pakistan’s Population Development Challenges
Pakistan Mapping the Policy Agenda 2018-2023 155
156 Pakistan’s Population Development Challenges

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12 pakistan’s population development challenge by dr. zeba a sathar (t.i.), dr. ali m. mir

  • 1. BACKGROUND DR. ZEBA A SATHAR (T.I.), DR. ALI M. MIR FIGURE 1: Population Growth Trends in Pakistan SOURCE: Population and Housing Census of Pakistan 1951-196, and Population estimates PAKISTAN’S POPULATION DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGE Pakistan Mapping the Policy Agenda 2018-2023 149
  • 2. FIGURE 2: Annual Average Population Growth Rates in Pakistan, 1951–2017 SOURCE: Population and housing censuses of Pakistan, 1951-2017 FIGURE 3: Trend in Total Fertility Rates in the Region Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population Prospects: e 2017 Revision 150 Pakistan’s Population Development Challenges
  • 3. FIGURE 4: Change in the Number of Children Desired by Pakistani Women SOURCE: PDHS 2012-13 & 1990-91 FIGURE 5: Number and Outcomes of Pregnancies in Pakistan SOURCE: Population Council 2014 Pakistan Mapping the Policy Agenda 2018-2023 151
  • 4. FIGURE 6: Number of Boys (ages 5–16) in School and Out of School in Pakistan, 2001–2015 SOURCE: PIHS/PSLMS data series OOSC = out of school children FIGURE 7: Number of Girls (ages 5–16) in School and Out of School in Pakistan, 2001–2015 SOURCE: PIHS/PSLMS data series FIGURE 8: Number of Jobs Available and Required in Pakistan (million) 152 Pakistan’s Population Development Challenges
  • 5. SOURCE: Labour Force Survey SOURCE: Population Council's revised Projections 2015, revised based in Census 2017 Estimates, and Bongaarts, Sathar, and Mahmood, 2013. Pakistan Mapping the Policy Agenda 2018-2023 153
  • 6. FIGURE 11: National Economic Projections Based on Alternative Demographic Scenarios (2010–2050) SOURCE: Bloom, Chen, and Sathar 2015 154 Pakistan’s Population Development Challenges
  • 7. Pakistan Mapping the Policy Agenda 2018-2023 155