際際滷

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Long Live the King

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Tim Reeskens
Tim Reeskens

際際滷s of the paper that I presented at the Dag van de Sociologie 2017 (Dutch and Flemish Sociology Day), taking place at the VUB (Free University of Brussels). In the paper (joint work with Koen Abts) I question whether positive opinions towards the monarchy relate to more social trust - a relationship that was at the country level established some years ago.

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Tim Reeskens Koen Abts Long Live the King!?
208-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Who is Who?
308-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Royal families remain surprisingly popular Albeit in a rather ceremonial role Important institute in Comparative Politics Monarchy as power-sharing institution Monarchy as a binding institute Not brought down at the individual level How are support for the monarchy and social trust related to each other? The (Alleged) Power of the King
408-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Robert Putnam (1993): Making Democracy Work And its critics of the Institution-Centered Approach Institutions are able to craft or destroy trust Cross-national and longitudinal evidence Parliamentary monarchy often neglected Not by Christian Bj淡rnskov (2007): Social and political stability Common national conscience Trust allows the monarchy to be sustained Back to the Start
508-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Perceptions of institutional quality foster social trust (S淡nderskov & Dinesen, 2016) Parliamentary monarchies craft social trust Positive opinions about monarchy are positively related to social trust So, the Puzzle
608-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Divided by the imaginary language border Flanders and Wallonia growing socially and culturally apart The role of the monarchy is explicitly articulated [A]n over-arching Belgian political and economic elite still exists, which uses its not inconsiderable, albeit significantly reduced power to maintain the unity of the country. The still-popular monarchy plays a key role in this respect. (Billiet, Maddens & Fognier, 2006, p. 930) Belgium as an Ideal Test Case
708-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Fielded every federal election Representative for Belgium Analyzing the 2014 wave N = 1,822 Flanders: 1,136 (62.4 percent) Wallonia: 686 (37.6 percent) Belgian National Election Study
808-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Presently, you cannot be sure who or what you can trust You cannot be too careful in dealing with other people 1-5, higher values indicate more trust Dependent Variable: Social Trust
908-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Variable Factor 1 Factor 2 The King should say more in politics 0.286 0.838 The King is important to the international prestige of our country 0.774 0.193 In a modern democracy like ours, the monarchy is out of date -0.593 -0.205 In his speeches, the King should be able to say what he wants 0.085 0.380 We should be glad that we have a King, because otherwise Belgium would fall apart 0.659 0.254 The King may not have any political role -0.237 -0.520 Independent Variable: Support for the Monarchy Cronbachs alpha: 0.75
1008-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Intercept 2.62*** 1.65*** 0.89*** Flanders dummy 0.34*** 0.31*** 0.20*** Attitudes towards monarchy -0.11*** -0.05* -0.10*** + Structural control variables X X + Ideational control variables X R2 5.31% 24.31% 30.46% Analysis on Pooled Data * p < 0.05; ** p < 0.01; *** p < 0.001
1108-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Flanders Wallonia Pooled Intercept 0.93*** 1.02*** 0.82*** Flanders dummy 0.32* Attitudes towards monarchy -0.10** -0.06 -0.06 Interaction -0.04 + Structural control variables X X X + Ideational control variables X X X R2 27.83% 28.24% 30.49% Sub-National Analysis * p < 0.05; ** p < 0.01; *** p < 0.001
1208-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Great idea (at the country level) However, reality at the individual level strikes back Monarchy (in Belgium) more polarizing then uniting? Link between satisfaction with democracy and support for monarchy The former is positively related to trust The latter negatively Difference between King as institute and as role (?) To Conclude
1308-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 t.reeskens@uvt.nl Thank you!

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Long Live the King

  • 1. Tim Reeskens Koen Abts Long Live the King!?
  • 2. 208-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Who is Who?
  • 3. 308-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Royal families remain surprisingly popular Albeit in a rather ceremonial role Important institute in Comparative Politics Monarchy as power-sharing institution Monarchy as a binding institute Not brought down at the individual level How are support for the monarchy and social trust related to each other? The (Alleged) Power of the King
  • 4. 408-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Robert Putnam (1993): Making Democracy Work And its critics of the Institution-Centered Approach Institutions are able to craft or destroy trust Cross-national and longitudinal evidence Parliamentary monarchy often neglected Not by Christian Bj淡rnskov (2007): Social and political stability Common national conscience Trust allows the monarchy to be sustained Back to the Start
  • 5. 508-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Perceptions of institutional quality foster social trust (S淡nderskov & Dinesen, 2016) Parliamentary monarchies craft social trust Positive opinions about monarchy are positively related to social trust So, the Puzzle
  • 6. 608-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Divided by the imaginary language border Flanders and Wallonia growing socially and culturally apart The role of the monarchy is explicitly articulated [A]n over-arching Belgian political and economic elite still exists, which uses its not inconsiderable, albeit significantly reduced power to maintain the unity of the country. The still-popular monarchy plays a key role in this respect. (Billiet, Maddens & Fognier, 2006, p. 930) Belgium as an Ideal Test Case
  • 7. 708-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Fielded every federal election Representative for Belgium Analyzing the 2014 wave N = 1,822 Flanders: 1,136 (62.4 percent) Wallonia: 686 (37.6 percent) Belgian National Election Study
  • 8. 808-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Presently, you cannot be sure who or what you can trust You cannot be too careful in dealing with other people 1-5, higher values indicate more trust Dependent Variable: Social Trust
  • 9. 908-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Variable Factor 1 Factor 2 The King should say more in politics 0.286 0.838 The King is important to the international prestige of our country 0.774 0.193 In a modern democracy like ours, the monarchy is out of date -0.593 -0.205 In his speeches, the King should be able to say what he wants 0.085 0.380 We should be glad that we have a King, because otherwise Belgium would fall apart 0.659 0.254 The King may not have any political role -0.237 -0.520 Independent Variable: Support for the Monarchy Cronbachs alpha: 0.75
  • 10. 1008-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Intercept 2.62*** 1.65*** 0.89*** Flanders dummy 0.34*** 0.31*** 0.20*** Attitudes towards monarchy -0.11*** -0.05* -0.10*** + Structural control variables X X + Ideational control variables X R2 5.31% 24.31% 30.46% Analysis on Pooled Data * p < 0.05; ** p < 0.01; *** p < 0.001
  • 11. 1108-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Flanders Wallonia Pooled Intercept 0.93*** 1.02*** 0.82*** Flanders dummy 0.32* Attitudes towards monarchy -0.10** -0.06 -0.06 Interaction -0.04 + Structural control variables X X X + Ideational control variables X X X R2 27.83% 28.24% 30.49% Sub-National Analysis * p < 0.05; ** p < 0.01; *** p < 0.001
  • 12. 1208-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 Great idea (at the country level) However, reality at the individual level strikes back Monarchy (in Belgium) more polarizing then uniting? Link between satisfaction with democracy and support for monarchy The former is positively related to trust The latter negatively Difference between King as institute and as role (?) To Conclude
  • 13. 1308-06-2017Dag van de Sociologie 2017 t.reeskens@uvt.nl Thank you!