Travelling to work in a post-carbon world
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1) The document summarizes research presented at an annual conference on commuting patterns and energy use for transportation after peak oil or significant climate change legislation. 2) It describes current commuting trends and energy use for transportation, and models scenarios where active transportation such as cycling is greatly increased, based on data from the Netherlands and Finland. 3) The researcher plans to continue energy research through collaborations and modeling policies in other cities, and engage with policymakers to promote alternatives to reduce energy use and emissions from transportation.
Travelling to work in a post-carbon world
- 1. Getting to work in a post carbon world Commuting after peak oil (or effective climate change legislation) E-Futures Annual Conference Robin Lovelace, Sheffield, September 2013
- 2. Evil birds and magic stones Peak oil, obesity, climate change, recession Energy: 'master resource', affects all E.g. see Hopkins (2013), Berners-Lee and Clarke (2013) and your local MacDonalds
- 3. Energy use transport: fundamentals It's "nature's money" Various ways of measuring it Direct (fuel) and indirect: fuel, vehicle and road construction (Lovelace, 2011) Average per unit distance - refine after 1 estimate
- 4. Where are we now? Here
- 5. Here!
- 6. Where we're at: regional variability
- 11. Going Dutch Scenario of high cycling uptake Aggregate and individual-level implementations Realistic based on Dutch data 'What if' not 'it will' approach source: London Cycling Campaign
- 12. Going Dutch: aggregate-level results (Yorkshire and the Humber)
- 13. National-level comparisons Average energy costs per one way trip to work in English regions (2001) and Dutch provinces (2010)
- 14. Going Finnish
- 15. Going Finnish: assumptions Based on work by Finlanders Helminen, Ristim辰ki, M. (2007)
- 17. 'Eco-localisation' It's the localisation of economic activity (North 2010; Greer 2009) Extent of process depends on your perspective Tried to model it... But some things are best not quantified (and so says Vaclav Smil)
- 19. Going home Some interesting and policy-relevant results Bicycles and 'active travel' only part of solution Focus attention on largest energy users first Reproducible methods Final draft of thesis E-Futures has been amazing
- 20. Going Forward New job in Leeds - part of national project: Geospatial Data Analysis and Simulation (Geotalisman) - developing methods But want to continue energy research Collaborations with Dutch colleagues Modelling policies in Bogota, Colombia with Ana Moreno Algorithm for optimal bike path location? Engage policy makers + more.
- 21. Go references + questions Berners-Lee, M., & Clark, D. (2013). The Burning Question: We cant burn half the world's oil, coal and gas. So how do we quit? Profile Books Greer, J. M. (2009). The Ecotechnic Future: Envisioning a Post-Peak World. Aztext Press. Helminen, V., & Ristim辰ki, M. (2007). Relationships between commuting distance, frequency and telework in Finland. Journal of Transport Geography Hopkins, R. (2013). The Power of Just Doing Stuff: How Local Action Can Change the World (p. 160). Green Books Lovelace, R., Ballas, D., & Watson, M. (2013). A spatial microsimulation approach for the analysis of commuter patterns: from individual to regional levels. Journal of Transport Geography Lovelace, R., Beck, S. B. M. B. M., Watson, M., & Wild, A. (2011). Assessing the energy implications of replacing car trips with bicycle trips in Sheffield, UK. Energy Policy North, P. (2010). Eco-localisation as a progressive response to peak oil and climate change - A sympathetic critique. Geoforum Rietveld, P. (2004). Determinants of bicycle use: do municipal policies matter? Transportation Research Part New email address: R . Lovelace @ Leeds . ac . uk Contact me if you fancy a ride to Leeds, Sat. 28th!
- 22. Going Dutch: individual-level results (South Yorkshire)
- 23. Going apocalyptic Credit: Ian Philips, ITS