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Egypt presidential elections 2012 power structure-5

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Sam Hassan
Sam Hassan

This document outlines two potential power structure scenarios in Egypt following the presidential election. The first scenario has the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) maintaining control if former Prime Minister Ahmed Shafiq wins. The second scenario shows the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) gaining power if Mohamed Morsi wins. Key upcoming events include the presidential election, a transition of power, a Supreme Constitutional Court ruling on the legitimacy of parliament, and reselecting the constitutional panel.

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Power Structure in Egypt Draft Ver. 1.5 This is a Draft please let me know your thoughts /comments
This documents is NOT to tell who to vote for, The purpose of this document is to highlight some facts about the political power structure in Egypt, The outcome is a map of the main power centers in Egypt including the Hire/Fire command chain, The 2nd outcome will be two expected maps for the political power. One for each of the potential candidates.
Who says Shafiq can not be another Mubarak Who says Shafiq will not declare Emergency Rule Who says Eli Ne3rafo A7san Who says SCAF is the Egyptian Army Who say The question is civilian vr. religious These are all LIES
Who says The question is Thawra versus Old Regime Who says We can not guess what will MB do when they get the power Who says Ana we a7.oya 3ala Ebnm 3ami, we ana we ebn 3ami. Who says Going with Moursi Gives us a little bit of hope Who says We did not try MB These are lies too!!
Both are fighting to dominate Egypt for a long period.. And both are welling to do WHATEVER It takes . DO NOT VOTE for who is LESS BAD!!! Cause both are REAL bad DO NOT VOTE for who we tried before (Ne3rafo) !!! Cause you have see this nightmare before DO NOT VOTE for who we did not Try!! Cause we have seen their Lies many times already!
If you want the best for your future, If you want hope for your kids, and the best for Egypt.. Please vote to balance the power and establish a creative conflicts between the two powers
If you want the best for your future, If you want hope for your kids, and the best for Egypt.. Please vote to balance the power and establish a creative conflicts between the two powers
Informal Powers (no hire /fire Authority) President Parliament Judicial Corrupt Corrupt Defense Constitutional Hire Business officials Court Minister Admin. Hire /Fire Court Fire only Constitutional MB Corrupt Panel (100 Person) Militia Police SCAF Ultras Melyoneyyat Prime Minister Sabba7y Private /A.Fotoh Media Interior National affairs Security Presidential Control Official Media Intelligence SCAF People/Revolution MB Hire or Fire Authority International /regional Influence is outside the focus of this analysis
1- Presidential Election 2- Transition (in case of MB winning) 3- Supreme Constitutional court will decide on the current Parliament legitimacy 4- Re-selecting or Re-approving the 100 Person Constitutional Panel
Scenario One - SCAF Informal Powers (no hire /fire Authority) President Parliament Judicial Corrupt Corrupt Defense Constitutional Hire Business officials Court Minister Admin. Hire /Fire Court Fire only Constitutional MB Corrupt Panel (100 Person) Militia Police SCAF Ultras Melyoneyyat Prime Minister Sabba7y Private /A.Fotoh Media Interior National affairs Security Presidential Control Official Media Intelligence SCAF People/Revolution MB Hire or Fire Authority
Scenario Two - MB Informal Powers (no hire /fire Authority) President Parliament Judicial Corrupt Corrupt Defense Constitutional Hire Business officials Court Minister Admin. Hire /Fire Court Fire only Constitutional MB Corrupt Panel (100 Person) Militia Police SCAF Ultras Melyoneyyat Prime Minister Sabba7y Private /A.Fotoh Media Interior National affairs Security Presidential Control Official Media Intelligence SCAF People/Revolution MB Hire or Fire Authority
Thanks a lot to all of you who provided ideas/feedback and help

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Egypt presidential elections 2012 power structure-5

  • 1. Power Structure in Egypt Draft Ver. 1.5 This is a Draft please let me know your thoughts /comments
  • 2. This documents is NOT to tell who to vote for, The purpose of this document is to highlight some facts about the political power structure in Egypt, The outcome is a map of the main power centers in Egypt including the Hire/Fire command chain, The 2nd outcome will be two expected maps for the political power. One for each of the potential candidates.
  • 3. Who says Shafiq can not be another Mubarak Who says Shafiq will not declare Emergency Rule Who says Eli Ne3rafo A7san Who says SCAF is the Egyptian Army Who say The question is civilian vr. religious These are all LIES
  • 4. Who says The question is Thawra versus Old Regime Who says We can not guess what will MB do when they get the power Who says Ana we a7.oya 3ala Ebnm 3ami, we ana we ebn 3ami. Who says Going with Moursi Gives us a little bit of hope Who says We did not try MB These are lies too!!
  • 5. Both are fighting to dominate Egypt for a long period.. And both are welling to do WHATEVER It takes . DO NOT VOTE for who is LESS BAD!!! Cause both are REAL bad DO NOT VOTE for who we tried before (Ne3rafo) !!! Cause you have see this nightmare before DO NOT VOTE for who we did not Try!! Cause we have seen their Lies many times already!
  • 6. If you want the best for your future, If you want hope for your kids, and the best for Egypt.. Please vote to balance the power and establish a creative conflicts between the two powers
  • 7. If you want the best for your future, If you want hope for your kids, and the best for Egypt.. Please vote to balance the power and establish a creative conflicts between the two powers
  • 8. Informal Powers (no hire /fire Authority) President Parliament Judicial Corrupt Corrupt Defense Constitutional Hire Business officials Court Minister Admin. Hire /Fire Court Fire only Constitutional MB Corrupt Panel (100 Person) Militia Police SCAF Ultras Melyoneyyat Prime Minister Sabba7y Private /A.Fotoh Media Interior National affairs Security Presidential Control Official Media Intelligence SCAF People/Revolution MB Hire or Fire Authority International /regional Influence is outside the focus of this analysis
  • 9. 1- Presidential Election 2- Transition (in case of MB winning) 3- Supreme Constitutional court will decide on the current Parliament legitimacy 4- Re-selecting or Re-approving the 100 Person Constitutional Panel
  • 10. Scenario One - SCAF Informal Powers (no hire /fire Authority) President Parliament Judicial Corrupt Corrupt Defense Constitutional Hire Business officials Court Minister Admin. Hire /Fire Court Fire only Constitutional MB Corrupt Panel (100 Person) Militia Police SCAF Ultras Melyoneyyat Prime Minister Sabba7y Private /A.Fotoh Media Interior National affairs Security Presidential Control Official Media Intelligence SCAF People/Revolution MB Hire or Fire Authority
  • 11. Scenario Two - MB Informal Powers (no hire /fire Authority) President Parliament Judicial Corrupt Corrupt Defense Constitutional Hire Business officials Court Minister Admin. Hire /Fire Court Fire only Constitutional MB Corrupt Panel (100 Person) Militia Police SCAF Ultras Melyoneyyat Prime Minister Sabba7y Private /A.Fotoh Media Interior National affairs Security Presidential Control Official Media Intelligence SCAF People/Revolution MB Hire or Fire Authority
  • 12. Thanks a lot to all of you who provided ideas/feedback and help
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