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New Ideas Brainstorm  NATO RTO SAS-Panel Meeting Brdo, SVN, 28 Oct 2010 Troy Harting Stephan De Spiegeleire
Objectives Generate ideas to ensure and improve SAS Panel (and national) operations analysis, especially in a restrictive financial environment Produce compelling ideas for new SAS Panel work  Experiment with facilitation as a means for improving the Panel¡¯s brainstorming process
?
Not ¡®business as usual¡¯ Normally, panel business meetings discuss new business ¨C identify new topics ¡®bottom-up¡¯ There may be good reasons for doing things somewhat differently this year The age of austerity:  money  [extra problem for certain SAS topics, as they have more ¡®diffuse¡¯ customers] Incipient discussion about our value proposition ¨C not just less money, but also  value for money  issues (cost of operations since 2001 2 TRILLION euros; and how much ¡®security¡¯ has it brought us?) Very  quickly   changing  security environment (¡®global weirding¡¯) ¨C technology, power shifts, epochal change More comprehensive  definition  of ¡®defense and security¡¯ => broader scope  General recognition that we need MORE SAS-type work  ¨C French Livre Blanc (connaissance et anticipation); UK Green Paper (uncertainty and affordability PLUS Partnerships!) and even the latest SDSR;  the Dutch Future Policy Survey, the QDR; JO2030 Changes within NATO ( NATO agency review )
SAS-¡¯Business model¡¯ Issues : Selection of issues (slow, non-exhaustive) (Self-)selection of countries Huge disparities between countries Long lags + punctual, not pervasive Commitment issues Effectiveness (travel costs, etc.) Deliverables non-committal No tracking of ACTUAL results/effects (whether in NATO or in nations) + also Real centres of knowledge insufficiently networked (HUGE potential ¨C still duplication AND holes) Very imperfect situational awareness No real ¡®market¡¯ for SAS-type knowledge Can we think of other ways of ¡®doing business¡¯ ?
Yes there probably are¡­ There ARE other models for this ¨C some very personal observations, based on about 20 years of defense research in 5 different countries (Belgium, France, Germany, US and now the NL): Better situational awareness of ongoing work, existing tools, models (e.g. this morning ¨C e.g. SAS-078 Canada doing non-lethal weapons work ¨C mentioned; but not done systematically) More joint work (e.g. finding ways to have researchers work together in teams on NATIONAL work) Models & tools exchanges: some models huge investment, not used regularly ¨C how to sustain them (e.g. Andrew) More peer review of existing NATIONAL work (especially SAS-type work) More benchmarking ¨C NOT just ¡°I do things this way, you that way¡±; but SYSTEMATIC comparisons of different ways of doing thing, best practices, etc. (OECD example) Evaluation of which SAS-efforts really ¡®land¡¯ (assessment //RTB effort)  More like-minded (-sized) groups (re-empower disenfranchised countries) Having a depository of ¡®best practices¡¯ (both national and joint activities) ¨C ACT?
SAS Mandate SAS Mission: The mission of the SAS Panel is: To conduct studies and analyses of an operational and technological nature, and To promote the exchange and development of methods and tools for operational analysis as applied to defence problems. ?   more focus also on the SECOND mandate and looking for ways how we can do things better
Why crises  can be  good
Protocol for brainstorm 2 sessions, each with 2 syndicates First session ¨C New ways of doing business (45¡¯) Second session ¨C Ideas for new studies (45¡¯) Think (5¡¯) Identify key problems (both for NATO-level AND for national-level work)  Identify some solutions (both for NATO-level AND for national-level work) Write + Post (15¡¯) ONE idea on ONE post-it note; color coded (will allow us to capture these and analyze them afterwards): Problem = blue Solution = green  post those on some wall, and try to (self-)organize them (and do discuss amongst yourselves) as you go through them, put your feedback on the ones you see (¡®+¡¯; ¡®-¡®; ¡®?¡¯)? Discuss (25¡¯) Back to table (or standing around): which ones got a lot of pluses (focus discussions on solutions)
The Output Facilitators will work to consolidate ideas for outbrief in plenary tomorrow We will look for volunteers to produce short write-ups or elaboration on proposals and topics
New Ideas Brainstorm First Insights ¨C Take-aways  NATO RTO SAS-Panel Meeting Brdo, SVN, 29 Oct 2010 Troy Harting Stephan De Spiegeleire
FIRST SESSION NEW WAYS OF DOING BUSINESS
Overview ¨C Some Stats Problem Problem Total Solution Solution Total Grand Total 1 2 1 2 Money 7 8 15 7 7 22 Stakeholders 18 18 18 Efficiency 18 18 18 Brokering/sharing info 4 4 12 12 16 Time 8 8 6 6 14 Output 8 8 6 6 14 Expertise 13 13 13 Nationalism 8 8 5 5 13 Process & Organization 3 3 5 4 9 12 Methods 1 1 9 9 10 People 4 4 4 4 8 Requirement definition 8 8 8 Competency 3 3 4 4 7 Participation 7 7 7 Ownership 5 5 1 1 6 Assessment of research results 6 6 6 Organization 3 3 3 NATO-specific 1 1 1 Grand Total 48 49 97 53 46 99 196 Almost 200 ideas generated in 45¡¯! (+ many excellent ones) (A few) more solutions than problems
Overview ¨C Viz Money #1 issue ¨C more problems than solutions BUT still some good ideas Lots of ideas on how to improve efficiency and interaction with stakeholders A few issues with only problems, no solutions ¨C require some thinking
Top Issues 1 Problem Brokering/sharing info Structure of the RTO knowledge base does not allow for easy browsing ++++++ 1 Problem Expertise Problem how to translate (analyze, taxonomize) commanders demands into research topics (SAS panel research topics) +++++ 2 Solution Money More use of VTCs, email, sharepoint to reduce need for meetings +++++ 2 Solution People Slovenian cuisine J +++++ 1 Solution Stakeholders Consider implementing collaborative tool to speed up the cycle for generating new activities +++++ 1 Solution Brokering/sharing info Create direct lines between commanders and NATO/national research programme (SAS themes) ++++ 2 Problem People To find right people ++++ 2 Solution People Get SAS to task academia ++++ 1 Solution Brokering/sharing info Set up a network of peer experts for specific SAS areas (e.g. costing, logistics, defense planning +++ 2 Solution Competency International mentoring +++ 2 Solution Money Reduction of meetings tele/video conferences, friendly knowledge exchange tools (online) - also more people participate this way +++ 2 Solution Nationalism Share national interests (S&T needs), share PoWs +++ 2 Solution Nationalism Databases with docs +++ 2 Solution Time Institutionalize processes for immediate work (fast track) BUT maintain balance between fast track and medium to long-term studies +++ 2 Solution Time Use 2-level approval (board AND panel) only by exception, e.g. by panel request +++
¡® Personal¡¯ Take-Aways Much low-hanging fruit (even cost-neutral) ¨C but we need true ownership to make these things happen Much scope for better situational awareness (both of NATO but especially of  national  efforts, and especially ¡®en amont¡¯) Outreach to others ¨C especially the end-users, but also other panels, private sector Need to up the tempo of the RTO process itself and of the studies (many ideas) Need for quick and (hopefully not too  ? ) dirty OA Inklings of a ¡®market¡¯ Desire to find ways to use experts from other nations (+ private sector) to do national work
Assessment Strengths Was useful to take a ¡®step back¡¯ from just ongoing and new work (business) and look at the ¡®business model¡¯ itself Fascinating results Informed Creative and IMO much low-hanging fruit here In very short time, we created many (excellent) ideas  Weaknesses Not everybody here First-cut: no/few pros/cons (also from other ¨C non S&T ¨C stakeholders) considered No sense of feasibility (for most nations) somewhat ¡®spur-of-the-moment¡¯, impressionistic (e.g. quite a few references to the JSI-topics)
Follow-on work Clean this work up  Make this available to others (Sharepoint?)  Allow others (AND this group) to  add items Discuss  ¨C  pros and cons Get a better view of  priorities  (scale?) Get a sense for  feasibility  of solutions (lo-med-hi?) Match problems to solutions Are there solutions that tackle multiple problems Allow NATiOns to document existing work (many ideas already being worked on)  ? Low-hanging fruit  ?  Allocate ownership  ?  Repeat? 09 March 2010

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New ideas brainstorm SAS panel Nov 2010

  • 1. New Ideas Brainstorm NATO RTO SAS-Panel Meeting Brdo, SVN, 28 Oct 2010 Troy Harting Stephan De Spiegeleire
  • 2. Objectives Generate ideas to ensure and improve SAS Panel (and national) operations analysis, especially in a restrictive financial environment Produce compelling ideas for new SAS Panel work Experiment with facilitation as a means for improving the Panel¡¯s brainstorming process
  • 3. ?
  • 4. Not ¡®business as usual¡¯ Normally, panel business meetings discuss new business ¨C identify new topics ¡®bottom-up¡¯ There may be good reasons for doing things somewhat differently this year The age of austerity: money [extra problem for certain SAS topics, as they have more ¡®diffuse¡¯ customers] Incipient discussion about our value proposition ¨C not just less money, but also value for money issues (cost of operations since 2001 2 TRILLION euros; and how much ¡®security¡¯ has it brought us?) Very quickly changing security environment (¡®global weirding¡¯) ¨C technology, power shifts, epochal change More comprehensive definition of ¡®defense and security¡¯ => broader scope General recognition that we need MORE SAS-type work ¨C French Livre Blanc (connaissance et anticipation); UK Green Paper (uncertainty and affordability PLUS Partnerships!) and even the latest SDSR; the Dutch Future Policy Survey, the QDR; JO2030 Changes within NATO ( NATO agency review )
  • 5. SAS-¡¯Business model¡¯ Issues : Selection of issues (slow, non-exhaustive) (Self-)selection of countries Huge disparities between countries Long lags + punctual, not pervasive Commitment issues Effectiveness (travel costs, etc.) Deliverables non-committal No tracking of ACTUAL results/effects (whether in NATO or in nations) + also Real centres of knowledge insufficiently networked (HUGE potential ¨C still duplication AND holes) Very imperfect situational awareness No real ¡®market¡¯ for SAS-type knowledge Can we think of other ways of ¡®doing business¡¯ ?
  • 6. Yes there probably are¡­ There ARE other models for this ¨C some very personal observations, based on about 20 years of defense research in 5 different countries (Belgium, France, Germany, US and now the NL): Better situational awareness of ongoing work, existing tools, models (e.g. this morning ¨C e.g. SAS-078 Canada doing non-lethal weapons work ¨C mentioned; but not done systematically) More joint work (e.g. finding ways to have researchers work together in teams on NATIONAL work) Models & tools exchanges: some models huge investment, not used regularly ¨C how to sustain them (e.g. Andrew) More peer review of existing NATIONAL work (especially SAS-type work) More benchmarking ¨C NOT just ¡°I do things this way, you that way¡±; but SYSTEMATIC comparisons of different ways of doing thing, best practices, etc. (OECD example) Evaluation of which SAS-efforts really ¡®land¡¯ (assessment //RTB effort) More like-minded (-sized) groups (re-empower disenfranchised countries) Having a depository of ¡®best practices¡¯ (both national and joint activities) ¨C ACT?
  • 7. SAS Mandate SAS Mission: The mission of the SAS Panel is: To conduct studies and analyses of an operational and technological nature, and To promote the exchange and development of methods and tools for operational analysis as applied to defence problems. ? more focus also on the SECOND mandate and looking for ways how we can do things better
  • 8. Why crises can be good
  • 9. Protocol for brainstorm 2 sessions, each with 2 syndicates First session ¨C New ways of doing business (45¡¯) Second session ¨C Ideas for new studies (45¡¯) Think (5¡¯) Identify key problems (both for NATO-level AND for national-level work) Identify some solutions (both for NATO-level AND for national-level work) Write + Post (15¡¯) ONE idea on ONE post-it note; color coded (will allow us to capture these and analyze them afterwards): Problem = blue Solution = green post those on some wall, and try to (self-)organize them (and do discuss amongst yourselves) as you go through them, put your feedback on the ones you see (¡®+¡¯; ¡®-¡®; ¡®?¡¯)? Discuss (25¡¯) Back to table (or standing around): which ones got a lot of pluses (focus discussions on solutions)
  • 10. The Output Facilitators will work to consolidate ideas for outbrief in plenary tomorrow We will look for volunteers to produce short write-ups or elaboration on proposals and topics
  • 11. New Ideas Brainstorm First Insights ¨C Take-aways NATO RTO SAS-Panel Meeting Brdo, SVN, 29 Oct 2010 Troy Harting Stephan De Spiegeleire
  • 12. FIRST SESSION NEW WAYS OF DOING BUSINESS
  • 13. Overview ¨C Some Stats Problem Problem Total Solution Solution Total Grand Total 1 2 1 2 Money 7 8 15 7 7 22 Stakeholders 18 18 18 Efficiency 18 18 18 Brokering/sharing info 4 4 12 12 16 Time 8 8 6 6 14 Output 8 8 6 6 14 Expertise 13 13 13 Nationalism 8 8 5 5 13 Process & Organization 3 3 5 4 9 12 Methods 1 1 9 9 10 People 4 4 4 4 8 Requirement definition 8 8 8 Competency 3 3 4 4 7 Participation 7 7 7 Ownership 5 5 1 1 6 Assessment of research results 6 6 6 Organization 3 3 3 NATO-specific 1 1 1 Grand Total 48 49 97 53 46 99 196 Almost 200 ideas generated in 45¡¯! (+ many excellent ones) (A few) more solutions than problems
  • 14. Overview ¨C Viz Money #1 issue ¨C more problems than solutions BUT still some good ideas Lots of ideas on how to improve efficiency and interaction with stakeholders A few issues with only problems, no solutions ¨C require some thinking
  • 15. Top Issues 1 Problem Brokering/sharing info Structure of the RTO knowledge base does not allow for easy browsing ++++++ 1 Problem Expertise Problem how to translate (analyze, taxonomize) commanders demands into research topics (SAS panel research topics) +++++ 2 Solution Money More use of VTCs, email, sharepoint to reduce need for meetings +++++ 2 Solution People Slovenian cuisine J +++++ 1 Solution Stakeholders Consider implementing collaborative tool to speed up the cycle for generating new activities +++++ 1 Solution Brokering/sharing info Create direct lines between commanders and NATO/national research programme (SAS themes) ++++ 2 Problem People To find right people ++++ 2 Solution People Get SAS to task academia ++++ 1 Solution Brokering/sharing info Set up a network of peer experts for specific SAS areas (e.g. costing, logistics, defense planning +++ 2 Solution Competency International mentoring +++ 2 Solution Money Reduction of meetings tele/video conferences, friendly knowledge exchange tools (online) - also more people participate this way +++ 2 Solution Nationalism Share national interests (S&T needs), share PoWs +++ 2 Solution Nationalism Databases with docs +++ 2 Solution Time Institutionalize processes for immediate work (fast track) BUT maintain balance between fast track and medium to long-term studies +++ 2 Solution Time Use 2-level approval (board AND panel) only by exception, e.g. by panel request +++
  • 16. ¡® Personal¡¯ Take-Aways Much low-hanging fruit (even cost-neutral) ¨C but we need true ownership to make these things happen Much scope for better situational awareness (both of NATO but especially of national efforts, and especially ¡®en amont¡¯) Outreach to others ¨C especially the end-users, but also other panels, private sector Need to up the tempo of the RTO process itself and of the studies (many ideas) Need for quick and (hopefully not too ? ) dirty OA Inklings of a ¡®market¡¯ Desire to find ways to use experts from other nations (+ private sector) to do national work
  • 17. Assessment Strengths Was useful to take a ¡®step back¡¯ from just ongoing and new work (business) and look at the ¡®business model¡¯ itself Fascinating results Informed Creative and IMO much low-hanging fruit here In very short time, we created many (excellent) ideas Weaknesses Not everybody here First-cut: no/few pros/cons (also from other ¨C non S&T ¨C stakeholders) considered No sense of feasibility (for most nations) somewhat ¡®spur-of-the-moment¡¯, impressionistic (e.g. quite a few references to the JSI-topics)
  • 18. Follow-on work Clean this work up Make this available to others (Sharepoint?) Allow others (AND this group) to add items Discuss ¨C pros and cons Get a better view of priorities (scale?) Get a sense for feasibility of solutions (lo-med-hi?) Match problems to solutions Are there solutions that tackle multiple problems Allow NATiOns to document existing work (many ideas already being worked on) ? Low-hanging fruit ? Allocate ownership ? Repeat? 09 March 2010