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Next Generation Fatigue Models

Jessica Paterson
Post-Doctoral Research Fellow
University of South Australia
Fatigue Risk Management




     Hazard assessment     Error Trajectory      Control Mechanism


         Adequate                             Prescriptive HOS rule
    sleep opportunity?                          Fatigue modelling
                              Level 1


         Adequate                                 Personal PSWM
                              Level 2
      sleep obtained?                              Sleep diaries



     Are there fatigue-       Level 3           Subjective reports
Fatigue models measure the sleep opportunity
    related behaviours ?                        Symptom checklist

     associated with a roster, not fatigue.
      Have there been         Level 4         Analysis of errors and
Fatigue Modelling Tools

Shift Start and Finish Time

     Shift Timing
     Shift Duration
     Work History
     Circadian Value of a Rest Period


Fatigue score of between 80-100 currently used as cut-off.

     Comparable to BAC .05
Prescriptive Rules



 Permitted
 and Safe


               Not-
             Permitted
              and Not
               Safe
Prescriptive Rules


                  Permitted
                    and
   Permitted
                  Not Safe
   and Safe


                  Not-
Not-Permitted   Permitted
     and         and Not
    Safe          Safe
Prescriptive Rules


                                Permitted
                 Permitted
                                  and       Unsafe
                                Not Safe
                 and Safe


                                Not-
              Not-Permitted   Permitted
Inefficient        and         and Not
                  Safe          Safe
Fatigue Models
Green   Yellow   Red     Black
Fatigue Models
Green   Yellow       Red        Black



        Permitted
        and Safe



                      Not-
                    Permitted
                     and Not
                      Safe
Fatigue Models
Green           Yellow         Red          Black



               Permitted      Permitted
               and Safe         and       Unsafe
                              Not Safe


              Not-Permitted     Not-
Inefficient        and        Permitted
                  Safe         and Not
                                Safe
Next Generation Fatigue Models



     Permitted
     and Safe




                   Not-
                 Permitted
                  and Not
                   Safe
Next Generation Fatigue Models



              Permitted     Permitted
              and Safe        and         Unsafe
                            Not Safe

                  Not
Inefficient     Permitted       Not-
                And Safe      Permitted
                               and Not
                                Safe
To enhance the sleep/wake/work database that
                   underpins fatigue modeling algorithms


Demographic Information
Sleep, Work and Fatigue diaries
Activity Monitoring

300 Rail Employees
Multiple Workgroups
      Drivers and Support Crew
      Tradespeople
      Management

4000-5000 days and nights of data
O   O   O   O
O   O   O   O
2010 CRC Showcase  - Safety & Security - Next Generation Fatigue Models R2.110
The Final Product


A next generation fatigue modelling tool which is:


- Representative of different social and domestic profiles
of various workgroups


- Provides a indicator of the proportion of employees
that fall in the low, moderate or high fatigue category
relative to their working time
The Final Product




A more scientifically defensible approach to Fatigue
Management in the Australian Rail Industry

     a safer and more efficient railway.

More Related Content

2010 CRC Showcase - Safety & Security - Next Generation Fatigue Models R2.110

  • 1. Next Generation Fatigue Models Jessica Paterson Post-Doctoral Research Fellow University of South Australia
  • 2. Fatigue Risk Management Hazard assessment Error Trajectory Control Mechanism Adequate Prescriptive HOS rule sleep opportunity? Fatigue modelling Level 1 Adequate Personal PSWM Level 2 sleep obtained? Sleep diaries Are there fatigue- Level 3 Subjective reports Fatigue models measure the sleep opportunity related behaviours ? Symptom checklist associated with a roster, not fatigue. Have there been Level 4 Analysis of errors and
  • 3. Fatigue Modelling Tools Shift Start and Finish Time Shift Timing Shift Duration Work History Circadian Value of a Rest Period Fatigue score of between 80-100 currently used as cut-off. Comparable to BAC .05
  • 4. Prescriptive Rules Permitted and Safe Not- Permitted and Not Safe
  • 5. Prescriptive Rules Permitted and Permitted Not Safe and Safe Not- Not-Permitted Permitted and and Not Safe Safe
  • 6. Prescriptive Rules Permitted Permitted and Unsafe Not Safe and Safe Not- Not-Permitted Permitted Inefficient and and Not Safe Safe
  • 7. Fatigue Models Green Yellow Red Black
  • 8. Fatigue Models Green Yellow Red Black Permitted and Safe Not- Permitted and Not Safe
  • 9. Fatigue Models Green Yellow Red Black Permitted Permitted and Safe and Unsafe Not Safe Not-Permitted Not- Inefficient and Permitted Safe and Not Safe
  • 10. Next Generation Fatigue Models Permitted and Safe Not- Permitted and Not Safe
  • 11. Next Generation Fatigue Models Permitted Permitted and Safe and Unsafe Not Safe Not Inefficient Permitted Not- And Safe Permitted and Not Safe
  • 12. To enhance the sleep/wake/work database that underpins fatigue modeling algorithms Demographic Information Sleep, Work and Fatigue diaries Activity Monitoring 300 Rail Employees Multiple Workgroups Drivers and Support Crew Tradespeople Management 4000-5000 days and nights of data
  • 13. O O O O
  • 14. O O O O
  • 16. The Final Product A next generation fatigue modelling tool which is: - Representative of different social and domestic profiles of various workgroups - Provides a indicator of the proportion of employees that fall in the low, moderate or high fatigue category relative to their working time
  • 17. The Final Product A more scientifically defensible approach to Fatigue Management in the Australian Rail Industry a safer and more efficient railway.