This document outlines three scenarios for reducing gas emissions in Indonesia through policies targeting passenger vehicles:
1. Calculating the effect of a LCGC policy to eliminate non-Euro compliant passenger cars by estimating vehicle stock, travel distances, and emission factors.
2. Providing incentives for replacing older vehicles to encourage adoption of newer technologies like hybrids and idle-stop systems.
3. Promoting new vehicle technologies through tax incentives and regulations to improve average fuel economy and reduce oil use and greenhouse gas emissions over time. Estimates are provided through 2030 under different policy approaches and usage scenarios.
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2013.6.9 doctor research
1. General Calculation for
current passenger car in
Indonesia
LCGC Policy Effect
Green Car Enforcement
policy: to eliminate Non-
Euro Passenger Car
Invented technology
introduction
Hybrid Car & Idle Stop
Scenario 1:
Calculaiton of LCGC
Policy Effect
Scenario 2:
Incentive Program for
old car
Scenario 3:
New Technology
Approach
Gas Emission Reducing Scenario
2. Scenario 1: Calculation of LCGC Policy Effect
Total vehicle per year
from manufacture except
export car
Stock vehicle per year in
the market
Primary data from Gaikindo
Primary data from BPS
+-
Euro 2 Car
Non-Euro 2 Car
Vehicle
travelled
kilometer (Km)
X
Emission
factor
Primary data from
Odometer reading
Max Km Scenario
Average Km Scenario
Min Km Scenario
Current Calculation : ~ 2012
Future estimation : ~ 2030 with LCGC Policy
Car Ownership
model
Low income
country model
Gompertz Model
like China
Fleet Average Fuel
Economy
Oil use
Fuel Economy Car
LCGC Policy
Economic Advantage:
GHG Emission
Environmental
Advantage :
Gas Emission
Max Km Scenario
Average Km Scenario
Min Km Scenario