�ݺ�ߣ

SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH ? FELLOW ? CSIS
EXAMPlE ? May 2013
Information / Trends
Wednesday, August 7, 13

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
��Not everything
that counts can be
counted, and not
everything that
can be counted
counts.��

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
Big Data

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
4.0 Zettabytes
2010 2011 2012
Gigabytes of Data
Terabytes of Data
Petabytes of Data
Exabytes of Data
2013
1.2
1.8
2.8
Information / DATA
Source: International Data Corporation (IDC), 2012

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
2,513 Yearsfor
XX
Information / DATA

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
33 Times
back and forth
to the moon
Information / DATA

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
HISTORY to 2003
5 Exabytes
Information / DATA

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
HISTORY to 2003
5 Exabytes
Information / DATA
EVERY School DAY
4.2EXAbytes

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
HISTORY to 2003
5 Exabytes
Information / DATA
EVERY School DAY
4.2EXAbytes
54minutes
IN 2020 We create 5
exabytes every

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
Not Useful Useful Tagged
Source: International Data Corporation (IDC), 2012
74% 23%
Information / DATA
3%
In 2012

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
74% 23%
Information / DATA
Short Term:
HAMR (Heat Assisted Magnetic
Recording) 60 TB per Desktop hd, 20
per laptop
MEDIUM Term:
Five-dimensional glass memory (360
TB per disk)
Long Term:
protein/dna/resistive ram/phase
change memory
Technologies to fix THE storage gap:

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
Big Data
Access

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
Information / ACCESS
"For every person
online, there are
two who are not [....]
By the end of the
decade, everyone on
Earth will be
connected."

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
GOOGLE MODEL 2020

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
UN/ITU MODEL 2029
AGE ASSUMPTION MODEL 2027
GOOGLE MODEL 2020
2.5B

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
? Almost impossible to get to Google��s vision
? What role does energy poverty play in this
future?
? Do we need to connect more households?
Example: In India only 3% population has home
internet access. Yet 12% of the population is
online.

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
Big Data
Access
Security

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
per
per
Information / SECURITY

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
W32.Disttrack
Erase Hard Drives
(Randomly)
Gathered User
Credentials
Targeted Energy
Companies
(nicknamed, ��Shamoon��)

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
Future of
Anononimity?

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
Big Data
Access
Security
Knowledge

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
we process MORE information in
ONE DAY then someone in the
1500s did in their LIFETIME
Information / KNOWLEDGE

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
are we smarter?

EXAMPlE ? May 2013

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
Innovation
Big Data
Access
Security
Knowledge

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
Information / INNOVATION

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
50 billion
by 2020
Internet of Things . . .

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
So What?

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
�CArtificial Intelligence 4x Moore��s Law

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
�CIBM Watson (Refrigerator, Pizza Box)

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
�CIBM Watson (Refrigerator, Pizza Box)
��The Cloud��

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
So What?
Friona fell 10-8 to Boys Ranch in five innings
on Monday at Friona despite racking up seven
hits and eight runs. Friona was led by a
flawless day at the dish by Hunter Sundre,
who went 2-2 against Boys Ranch pitching.
Sundre singled in the third inning and tripled
in the fourth inning �� Friona piled up the
steals, swiping eight bags in all ��
Source: NARRATIVE SCIENCE

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
So What?
Friona fell 10-8 to Boys Ranch in five innings
on Monday at Friona despite racking up seven
hits and eight runs. Friona was led by a
flawless day at the dish by Hunter Sundre,
who went 2-2 against Boys Ranch pitching.
Sundre singled in the third inning and tripled
in the fourth inning �� Friona piled up the
steals, swiping eight bags in all ��
Computer created!
Source: NARRATIVE SCIENCE

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
So What?

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
So What?
-Google Glasses & Situational Awareness

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
So What?
-Biometrics

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
So What?
-Biometrics
-Predictive Analytics (modeling, machine learning, ex. Kaggle)

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
So What?
-Biometrics
-Predictive Analytics (modeling, machine learning, ex. Kaggle)
-MapLarge and Minority Report

EXAMPlE ? May 2013
http://7revs.org
SAughenbaugh@csis.org
@SAUGHENBAUGH

�ݺ�ߣ

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