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Accelerated Multi-Objective Alloy Discovery through
Efficient Bayesian Methods: Application to the FCC Alloy
Space
Raymundo Arr┏yave, Mrinalini Mulukutla,
Trevor Hastings, Ankit Srivastava, James
Paramore, Ibrahim Karaman, George Pharr, Brady
Butler + all BIRDSHOT Team
Thanks to: W911NF-22-2-0106
(HTMDEC-BIRDSHOT program)
2
What is materials design?
[2016 Agrawal]
Accelerated Materials Discovery as a Goal-oriented Activity:
? Materials discovery has to be a
goal-oriented activity
? Materials discovery is about
navigating the materials space,
with a purpose
3
Discovery as a (Black
Box) Optimization
3
When queries to the experimental
design space are expensive, we
need to do better than random
exploration
[Brochu]
Model
Policies
Bayesian Optimization:
Prediction of Outcomes +
Prescriptive Policies
Bayesian Methods:
4
Our Current Model Select Single (or many) Experiment(s)
Typical SOA Closed L
[Azimi]
^Autonomous systems [should] build and
exploit own internal models [and act on
them] ̄!N. Freitas
Initial Data
Run Experiment(s)
Autonomous (Materials) Experimentation
? Current studies and methods (applied to materials) have limitations:
? Synthesis is typically limited to vapor/solution chemistry
? Usually optimize to a single objective function
? Based on simple deployment of optimization schemes
[Haase, 2019]
Discovery Objectives
Navigate large FCC HEA Space
Discover Pareto Front (UTS/YS,
Hardness, Strain Rate Sensitivity)
Explore effect of SFE
Demonstrate acceleration through
a Bayesian Materials Discovery
approach
6
Materials Science & Engineering C High Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions (HTMDEC) 7
? Multiple information sources
? Resource optimization through
Bayesian Optimization
? Capability of prescribing optimal
queries in batch mode
? Highly efficient synthesis and
processing workflows
? SoA high strain rate, high-
throughput characterization
? Tight integration between
experimental and simulation
tasks
8
9
Alloy Search and Design
? Compositional Space of Interest: CoCrFeNiVAl
? Alloys sampled at 5 at% resolution (~53k alloys1)
? Use HTP CALPHAD, ML, and physics-based model
calculations to identify feasible space
? HTP filtering of alloy space based on constraints
- FCC alloys at 700 C2
- Solidification range4 < 100 K
- Thermal conductivity3 > 5 W/mK
- Density5 < 8.5 g/cm?
? Constrained space6 for medoid selection
? K-Medoids clustering of alloys in feasible space
1
2 3 4 5
Constraint Design for Filtering of Alloy Space
6
Alloy Space
White-Meets
Constraints
Red-Does Not Meet
Constraints
Single Phase FCC Thermal
Conductivity
Solidification Range Density
Feasible Space:
~4%
10
Department of Materials Science and Engineering
Reduced Design Space
https://umap-learn.readthedocs.io/en/latest/index.html
https://umap-learn.readthedocs.io/en/latest/how_umap_works.html
Compositional Space UMAP Projections
K-Medoid Clustering
6nary HEA: Al-V-Cr-Fe-Co-Ni
Rapid approach to >10m possible alloys
Constrained
Sorted by Co
Sorted by
Entropy
Low SFE
High SFE
Every color
corresponds to a k-
medoid cluster
Design of Experiments
(DOE) approach enables
space-filling designs over
non-convex multi-
dimensional spaces
Search over two alloy Stacking
Fault Energy(SFE) regimes:
^Low ̄ (< 50 mJ/m2): 1,550
alloys
^High (> 50 mJ/m2): 887 alloys
Low High
1
Materials Science & Engineering C High Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions (HTMDEC) 12
26 mm
7 mm
Homogenization
35 mm
14 mm
Machining & Sample
Preparation
Bulk Mechanical Property
Characterization
XRD
Tension
Microhardness
Vacuum Arc
Melting
Batch Material Production
Thermomechanical Processing
EDS
45 mm
4 mm
Forging
Materials
Design &
Optimization
, Iterative
Loops
Chemical Analysis
Materials Design
Nanoindentation
,
LIPIT,
Spherical
Microindentation
Target
Property Data
fed into the
database and
the models
16 samples / iteration
8 μm
Microstructure & Homogeneity Evaluation
SEM/EBSD
Microstructural /
Mechanical Property
Characterization
80 different alloys
fabricated via Vacuum Arc
Melting with high chemical
precision
Microstructure was characterized.
Alloys verified to be FCC single phase.
8 μm
Mechanical properties were determined via Vickers hardness
tests and isothermal tension experiments
13
140
190
240
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Modulus
(GPa)
Hardness (GPa)
0.001
0.006
0.011
Strain Rate Sensitivity Exponent (m)
Nano-indentation
14
Dealing with Multiple Objectives and
Constraints
Materials Science & Engineering C High Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions (HTMDEC) 16
Multi-Objective optimization to discover the Pareto front.
Materials Science & Engineering C High Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions (HTMDEC) 17
Key Acceleration: Batch BO
Department of Materials Science and Engineering
High Stacking Fault Energy Regime
Pareto
Surface
Alloy
UMAP
1
Results C Materials Discovery
Department of Materials Science and Engineering
¥ Employed multi-objective Batch BO to maximize 3 objectives: UTS/YS, Hardness at trusted strain rate, Strain Rate Sensitivity (SRS)
¥ 1000 GPs created to map 6D composition space to the objective space
¥ Expected hypervolume improvement employed as the decision-making policy enhanced Pareto front approximation
¥ 5 iterations completed in both low SFE and high SFE spaces, making 8 observation per iteration
1
Results C Materials Discovery
20
SFE Effect ?
Were we lucky?
21
? In typical `academic¨ work on BO, one has the ground truth
function that must be optimized
? Hundreds of BO runs are done to examine convergence of
an algorithm
? However, when BO is used for materials discovery, we
don¨t have a ground truth, nor we have the luxury of
running the BO scheme multiple times
? The question, then, is how do we know that BO work?
? Maybe it was pure luck?
? This remains a frontier problem
22
An empirical test:
Were we lucky?
Bayesian methods
dominate random search
in synthetic materials
discovery problems
23
A statistical test (comparing against random chance):
Were we lucky?
~15 Pareto points in 3-objective
space out of 40 draws (for each
sub-campaign)
Our results suggest that it is <
0.16% likely that we found the
Pareto set by luck
Materials Science & Engineering C High Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions (HTMDEC) 24
Accelerated Materials Discovery
Copper
5,000 BC
Bronze
3,500 BC
Iron
1,500 BC
Damascus Steel
500 AD
Type Metal
1500 AD
Aluminum
1825 AD
Stainless Steel
1925 AD
Ni-Superalloys
1940 AD
HEAs
2004 AD
1 month ago
1 year
10 years
100 years
10,000 years 1,000 years
parallel random
search
birdshot
random search
? BIRDSHOT discovered, in less than a year,
the Pareto front by querying 0.15% of the
potential ~50,000 designs
? As a (conservative) comparison, finding the
best material by random chance at 50%
success rate would take ~ 25,000 queries
? Each alloy takes ~1 month to make and test,
so this effort would be equivalent to ~ 2,000
years.
? If one could parallelize this effort, this would
be equivalent to ~ 150 years.
100,000 years
25
Thanks!

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Accelerated Multi-Objective Alloy Discovery through Efficient Bayesian Methods: Application to the FCC Alloy Space

  • 1. Accelerated Multi-Objective Alloy Discovery through Efficient Bayesian Methods: Application to the FCC Alloy Space Raymundo Arr┏yave, Mrinalini Mulukutla, Trevor Hastings, Ankit Srivastava, James Paramore, Ibrahim Karaman, George Pharr, Brady Butler + all BIRDSHOT Team Thanks to: W911NF-22-2-0106 (HTMDEC-BIRDSHOT program)
  • 2. 2 What is materials design? [2016 Agrawal] Accelerated Materials Discovery as a Goal-oriented Activity: ? Materials discovery has to be a goal-oriented activity ? Materials discovery is about navigating the materials space, with a purpose
  • 3. 3 Discovery as a (Black Box) Optimization 3 When queries to the experimental design space are expensive, we need to do better than random exploration [Brochu] Model Policies Bayesian Optimization: Prediction of Outcomes + Prescriptive Policies Bayesian Methods:
  • 4. 4 Our Current Model Select Single (or many) Experiment(s) Typical SOA Closed L [Azimi] ^Autonomous systems [should] build and exploit own internal models [and act on them] ̄!N. Freitas Initial Data Run Experiment(s)
  • 5. Autonomous (Materials) Experimentation ? Current studies and methods (applied to materials) have limitations: ? Synthesis is typically limited to vapor/solution chemistry ? Usually optimize to a single objective function ? Based on simple deployment of optimization schemes [Haase, 2019]
  • 6. Discovery Objectives Navigate large FCC HEA Space Discover Pareto Front (UTS/YS, Hardness, Strain Rate Sensitivity) Explore effect of SFE Demonstrate acceleration through a Bayesian Materials Discovery approach 6
  • 7. Materials Science & Engineering C High Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions (HTMDEC) 7 ? Multiple information sources ? Resource optimization through Bayesian Optimization ? Capability of prescribing optimal queries in batch mode ? Highly efficient synthesis and processing workflows ? SoA high strain rate, high- throughput characterization ? Tight integration between experimental and simulation tasks
  • 8. 8
  • 9. 9
  • 10. Alloy Search and Design ? Compositional Space of Interest: CoCrFeNiVAl ? Alloys sampled at 5 at% resolution (~53k alloys1) ? Use HTP CALPHAD, ML, and physics-based model calculations to identify feasible space ? HTP filtering of alloy space based on constraints - FCC alloys at 700 C2 - Solidification range4 < 100 K - Thermal conductivity3 > 5 W/mK - Density5 < 8.5 g/cm? ? Constrained space6 for medoid selection ? K-Medoids clustering of alloys in feasible space 1 2 3 4 5 Constraint Design for Filtering of Alloy Space 6 Alloy Space White-Meets Constraints Red-Does Not Meet Constraints Single Phase FCC Thermal Conductivity Solidification Range Density Feasible Space: ~4% 10
  • 11. Department of Materials Science and Engineering Reduced Design Space https://umap-learn.readthedocs.io/en/latest/index.html https://umap-learn.readthedocs.io/en/latest/how_umap_works.html Compositional Space UMAP Projections K-Medoid Clustering 6nary HEA: Al-V-Cr-Fe-Co-Ni Rapid approach to >10m possible alloys Constrained Sorted by Co Sorted by Entropy Low SFE High SFE Every color corresponds to a k- medoid cluster Design of Experiments (DOE) approach enables space-filling designs over non-convex multi- dimensional spaces Search over two alloy Stacking Fault Energy(SFE) regimes: ^Low ̄ (< 50 mJ/m2): 1,550 alloys ^High (> 50 mJ/m2): 887 alloys Low High 1
  • 12. Materials Science & Engineering C High Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions (HTMDEC) 12 26 mm 7 mm Homogenization 35 mm 14 mm Machining & Sample Preparation Bulk Mechanical Property Characterization XRD Tension Microhardness Vacuum Arc Melting Batch Material Production Thermomechanical Processing EDS 45 mm 4 mm Forging Materials Design & Optimization , Iterative Loops Chemical Analysis Materials Design Nanoindentation , LIPIT, Spherical Microindentation Target Property Data fed into the database and the models 16 samples / iteration 8 μm Microstructure & Homogeneity Evaluation SEM/EBSD Microstructural / Mechanical Property Characterization
  • 13. 80 different alloys fabricated via Vacuum Arc Melting with high chemical precision Microstructure was characterized. Alloys verified to be FCC single phase. 8 μm Mechanical properties were determined via Vickers hardness tests and isothermal tension experiments 13
  • 15. Dealing with Multiple Objectives and Constraints
  • 16. Materials Science & Engineering C High Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions (HTMDEC) 16 Multi-Objective optimization to discover the Pareto front.
  • 17. Materials Science & Engineering C High Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions (HTMDEC) 17 Key Acceleration: Batch BO
  • 18. Department of Materials Science and Engineering High Stacking Fault Energy Regime Pareto Surface Alloy UMAP 1 Results C Materials Discovery
  • 19. Department of Materials Science and Engineering ¥ Employed multi-objective Batch BO to maximize 3 objectives: UTS/YS, Hardness at trusted strain rate, Strain Rate Sensitivity (SRS) ¥ 1000 GPs created to map 6D composition space to the objective space ¥ Expected hypervolume improvement employed as the decision-making policy enhanced Pareto front approximation ¥ 5 iterations completed in both low SFE and high SFE spaces, making 8 observation per iteration 1 Results C Materials Discovery
  • 21. Were we lucky? 21 ? In typical `academic¨ work on BO, one has the ground truth function that must be optimized ? Hundreds of BO runs are done to examine convergence of an algorithm ? However, when BO is used for materials discovery, we don¨t have a ground truth, nor we have the luxury of running the BO scheme multiple times ? The question, then, is how do we know that BO work? ? Maybe it was pure luck? ? This remains a frontier problem
  • 22. 22 An empirical test: Were we lucky? Bayesian methods dominate random search in synthetic materials discovery problems
  • 23. 23 A statistical test (comparing against random chance): Were we lucky? ~15 Pareto points in 3-objective space out of 40 draws (for each sub-campaign) Our results suggest that it is < 0.16% likely that we found the Pareto set by luck
  • 24. Materials Science & Engineering C High Throughput Materials Discovery for Extreme Conditions (HTMDEC) 24 Accelerated Materials Discovery Copper 5,000 BC Bronze 3,500 BC Iron 1,500 BC Damascus Steel 500 AD Type Metal 1500 AD Aluminum 1825 AD Stainless Steel 1925 AD Ni-Superalloys 1940 AD HEAs 2004 AD 1 month ago 1 year 10 years 100 years 10,000 years 1,000 years parallel random search birdshot random search ? BIRDSHOT discovered, in less than a year, the Pareto front by querying 0.15% of the potential ~50,000 designs ? As a (conservative) comparison, finding the best material by random chance at 50% success rate would take ~ 25,000 queries ? Each alloy takes ~1 month to make and test, so this effort would be equivalent to ~ 2,000 years. ? If one could parallelize this effort, this would be equivalent to ~ 150 years. 100,000 years