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Analysis of Mongolian Housing Policies Using System Dynamics (in Korean)

Arch Saruul
Arch Saruul

ろれ企企轟るゼ 覈所絵 譯狩豈 覿 蟇伎 2016 豢螻覦朱語 36蟠 1(糾 64讌), 2016.04, 429-430 (2 pages)

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ろれ企企轟るゼ 覈所絵 譯狩豈 覿 Analysis of Mongolian Housing Policies Using System Dynamics 伎襯伎 襦* 覦 覓 ** *** Saruul Ishdorj Park, MoonSeo Lee, Hyun-Soo Abstract Mongolian society was transformed from the Communism to Democracy which shifted its market economy in 1991. Since then many people have migrated from rural areas to Ulaanbaatar capital city, mainly to find jobs and try to improve their quality of life. Thereupon, the trend of the urbanization accelerated and the population of the city and the city has faced many problems such as housing problem which absolutely lacks the number of housing. Many of the new migrants could not financial afford to purchase apartment within the city. So, they reside in Ger which is a Mongolian traditional dwelling that is originally used for living a nomadic life. This has led to the formation of Ger-district formed around the city which now comprises of over half of the capitals total population with inadequate infrastructure development. The government of Mongolia has been endeavored various housing policies since 1999 to expand the housing supply. However, even after housing policy implementation are being the result of the citys total annual housing supply has not increased and is short of the necessary requirement while the housing prices continue to rise instead of improving the aspect of Ger-district even a decade. Recently, the government has focused on public led housing supply policy for reduction of house price to solve the problems of the housing market. This paper aims to analyze the problems of this government housing policy and to respond to this using System Dynamics approach. れ: 覈所絵 譯狩, 譯狩豈, 譯狩螻糾, ろれ企企轟 Keywords: Mongolian Housing Market, Housing Supply, System Dynamics 1. 襦 1.1 郁規 覦郁化 覦 覈* 覈所絵 1991 譴螻蟆曙 豌伎 リ化 豌伎 襦 覲 . 危 殊襴 谿場 苦 讌 レり鍵 襷 れ (碁覦襯)襦 企 . 企 誤 碁覦襯企 螳 蠍蟆 讌 . 企 碁覦襯伎 瑚規 讀螳襦 伎伎朱 譯狩 螳 朱 覿譟燕蟆 . 譯狩螳蟆 覓語 譯狩 蟲 伎朱 轟螳 企 れ伎れ 覈詩螻, 碁覦襯 瑚浬 讌 蟆襯癌(覈覩 螳)朱 讌 蟇一狩蟆 (Kim 2007, Koo 2012). 蠏碁 讌 蠍磯れ 豢 瑚規螳 曙綾螻 朱 蟇一 螻 豐 瑚規 60%伎 豺螻 .(Statical Year Books). 覿 譯狩 螻糾 り鍵 1999覿 れ 譯狩豈 襴渚 (Kim 2007, Koo 2012, * 碁 螻殊 ** 碁 蟇伎螻 蟲, 螻牛覦 (Corresponding author : mspark@snu.ac.kr) *** 碁 蟇伎螻 蟲, 螻牛覦 郁規 蟲蟲給 蟲蟲糾鍵豐讌郁規 郁規觜 讌 蟆郁骸 朱. 螻殊覯:15CTAP-B080352-02 Yanjinbileg 2013). 蠏碁讌襷 譯狩豈 覿 蟲螻 襷る 覦襯伎 譯狩螻糾 蟲 覩語讌 覈詩螻 . 譯狩螻糾 企讌 譯 螳蟆 讌朱 麹螻 朱 豸給れ 譯 蟇一 螳讌 螻 . 豕蠏殊 覿螳 譯狩レ 覓語 願屋蠍 譯狩螻糾 譯狩螳 襯 螻糾概譯朱 譯狩螻糾 豈 讌譴螻 (CHC handbook). 磯殊 覲 郁規 覿 蠍一ヾ 譯狩 豈 覓語 覿螻 伎 豈 ろ れ企企轟るゼ 牛 螻 . 1.2 郁規 覯 覦 覦覯 覲 郁規 覈所絵 碁覦襯伎 譯狩リ骸 譯狩 豈 覯襦 蠏語 豕蠏殊 覿 讌譴螻 譯狩螻糾 譯狩螳 襯 螻糾概 譯朱 譯狩螻糾 豈 豐 襷豢. 譯狩豈 譯狩レ レ 覩語 覲 れ螻 覲旧″ 蟯螻襯 燕螻 蠍 覓語 覲 郁規 郁規 譯殊 覦覯朱 ろれ企企轟るゼ 伎 . 2. 觜 螻谿
る 覈 るジ 譟郁唄れ 螳 覲 A 讀螳(螳)螳 覲B襯 讀螳(螳) . 覲 A 讀螳(螳)螳 覲B襯 螳(讀螳) . 覲 A 覲B 伎 瑚骸蟯螻 豢譟煙 譴 螳 讌一 . ろ Stock 覲る 覲 襴朱 . ろ 蟆郁骸襦 ル 覲襦 Stock 譴朱 . 譯狩豈 覈 伎 1. 1999 蟲螳 譯狩豈 -蟇伎れ 螳 蠍一 谿語襯 讌. 2. 1999 譯狩 覯襯 譯狩 蟯 覿 蠍郁 覈 レ 螻. 3. 2001 碁覦襯 2020 蠍磯蓋 螻 譯朱殊 願鍵 譬 蟆曙 螻 蟆. 2004- 2008 4襷 譯狩螻糾 襦蠏碁 螳蟆 危螻, 讌 譬 碁ゼ 螻糾 蟆 2010 10襷 譯狩 螻糾 襦蠏碁 螳蟆 危螻, 讌 譬 碁ゼ 螻糾 蟆 2013 Ipotek8% 譯狩企慨豢 譴 譯狩企慨豢 2015 譯狩螻旧 螻糾概譯朱 譯狩螻糾 2.1 ろれ企企轟 ろれ企企轟る 一 蟆曙 ろ 覿 襴 覈碁 覦覯朱 覲旧″ 觜 ろ 覿 願屋豈 螻牛.(Sterman 2000, 覦 覓語 2009, 煙 2013, 語 2013) 1. ろれ企企轟 譯殊 (Sterman, 2000) 2.2 蠍一ヾ 覓誤 覿 碁覦襯伎 螳 覓語螳 螻 蟆襯 讌 譯手碓 蟲伎語 襷 郁規れ 讌 襷 覿覿 蟆襯 讌 蟆暑語 豐 襷豢 朱 譯狩リ骸 覿 譯狩豈 蟯 郁規れ 覿豐 企. 蟾覓瑚(2007) 譯狩 覦 譯狩 豈 覿 覦 煙 蟯 覿. 覓誤襭 糾襭 覦 る語＾ 蟆郁骸襯 牛 覈所絵覿 譯狩豈 譬 蠏 覦 る 蟆磯 企碁. 蟲覓(2013) 蠍一ヾ 覓誤 郁規 れ 牛 覈所絵 譯狩 覦 覿朱 覈所絵覿 譯手碓 蠍一 襷覃 譯狩螳 蟆 讌豈 伎狩 螳 る 蟆磯 企碁. Yanjinbileg(2013) 覈所絵 譯狩豈 伎 襷朱 るジ 郁規る慨 譯狩豈 豐 襷豢螻 郁規. 蠏碁 郁規 覈襦 蟆襯 讌 蟆 螳 豐 襷豢 郁規襯 . 伎 蠍一ヾ 朱碁れ 覓誤 覲伎 る語＾ 蟆郁骸襯 牛 蟆磯 碁. 蠏碁 れ 覲 覦 れ 谿語螳 レ 覩 豺 豈覿 覦 譯狩螻糾蟆一 ル襦 覿 . 2.3 覈所絵 譯狩豈 覲 覈所絵 覿 譯狩 螳覦 覿殊 豈 豈. 1999 危 覿 譯狩豈 蟆 れ螻 螳. 2. 覈所絵 譯狩豈 3. 覈所絵 譯狩螻糾豈 譯狩 覦郁化覿覿 瑚 襦 覦襯伎 譯狩 レ 蟆襯 讌 譯朱朱れ 伎 譯狩螳 螻(60%) 伎 磯 螻糾谿願 . 磯殊 蟆曙 襴襦 譯狩覿螳螳 讌朱 讌螻 . 譯狩 螳蟆 蟆一蟲譟一 危ｴ覲企, 譯狩螳蟆 蟆曙 蠍磯蓋 襴 磯 レ煙 螳螻 覲. 企 螳蟆 蠍 譟一 蠏碁1 覲 (覦 覓語 2006, 覦覓語 2009, Baumol and Blinder 2003, 豌 2005, 煙 2011). 蠏碁1. 螳蟆 レ煙 螳蟆蟆一 瑚骸覈 螳蟆 轟 磯 蠍磯蟇伎れ旧 企, 蟇伎れ豌企 螻糾 襷 覦. 讌襷 覦襯伎 覩手譯朱 譯狩螻糾 讀螳讌 旧語 蟇伎れ旧 螳る 譯殊語 螻糾概譯朱 螻糾 螳 る 覈所絵譯狩豈 レ企. 4. 蟆磯 覈所絵 覿 覦襯伎 譯狩レ 譯殊 覓語螳 螻 螻糾 豐 襷豢 譯狩螻糾 讀螳 蠍 れ 豈れ る 蠏轟朱 . 蠏碁 螻糾 讌 語 覿 螻糾概 譯狩 讌譴 . 磯殊 覿 讌 螻糾概 譯朱 螻糾 朱 覈所絵 覩手蟇伎れ豌企れ 豢る 譯殊 語 蟆企. 谿瑚覓誤 1. Kim, Moonkyu (2007) "A Study of Housing Problems and Policy Directions in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia" 2. Koo, Chamun (2012) "A Study of Housing Redevelopment in Ulaanbaatar in Terms of Upgrading Affordability and Environmental Sustainability" 3. 40,000 units housing program master plan, UB city government, (2005) 4. The State General Housing Policy (1999) 5. Yanjinbileg Baljinnyam (2013) "Alternatives of Residential Environment Improvement for Low-Income Families in Ger Area-Case study in Ulaanbaatar"
Analysis of Mongolian Housing Policies Using System Dynamics (in Korean)

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Analysis of Mongolian Housing Policies Using System Dynamics (in Korean)

  • 1. ろれ企企轟るゼ 覈所絵 譯狩豈 覿 Analysis of Mongolian Housing Policies Using System Dynamics 伎襯伎 襦* 覦 覓 ** *** Saruul Ishdorj Park, MoonSeo Lee, Hyun-Soo Abstract Mongolian society was transformed from the Communism to Democracy which shifted its market economy in 1991. Since then many people have migrated from rural areas to Ulaanbaatar capital city, mainly to find jobs and try to improve their quality of life. Thereupon, the trend of the urbanization accelerated and the population of the city and the city has faced many problems such as housing problem which absolutely lacks the number of housing. Many of the new migrants could not financial afford to purchase apartment within the city. So, they reside in Ger which is a Mongolian traditional dwelling that is originally used for living a nomadic life. This has led to the formation of Ger-district formed around the city which now comprises of over half of the capitals total population with inadequate infrastructure development. The government of Mongolia has been endeavored various housing policies since 1999 to expand the housing supply. However, even after housing policy implementation are being the result of the citys total annual housing supply has not increased and is short of the necessary requirement while the housing prices continue to rise instead of improving the aspect of Ger-district even a decade. Recently, the government has focused on public led housing supply policy for reduction of house price to solve the problems of the housing market. This paper aims to analyze the problems of this government housing policy and to respond to this using System Dynamics approach. れ: 覈所絵 譯狩, 譯狩豈, 譯狩螻糾, ろれ企企轟 Keywords: Mongolian Housing Market, Housing Supply, System Dynamics 1. 襦 1.1 郁規 覦郁化 覦 覈* 覈所絵 1991 譴螻蟆曙 豌伎 リ化 豌伎 襦 覲 . 危 殊襴 谿場 苦 讌 レり鍵 襷 れ (碁覦襯)襦 企 . 企 誤 碁覦襯企 螳 蠍蟆 讌 . 企 碁覦襯伎 瑚規 讀螳襦 伎伎朱 譯狩 螳 朱 覿譟燕蟆 . 譯狩螳蟆 覓語 譯狩 蟲 伎朱 轟螳 企 れ伎れ 覈詩螻, 碁覦襯 瑚浬 讌 蟆襯癌(覈覩 螳)朱 讌 蟇一狩蟆 (Kim 2007, Koo 2012). 蠏碁 讌 蠍磯れ 豢 瑚規螳 曙綾螻 朱 蟇一 螻 豐 瑚規 60%伎 豺螻 .(Statical Year Books). 覿 譯狩 螻糾 り鍵 1999覿 れ 譯狩豈 襴渚 (Kim 2007, Koo 2012, * 碁 螻殊 ** 碁 蟇伎螻 蟲, 螻牛覦 (Corresponding author : mspark@snu.ac.kr) *** 碁 蟇伎螻 蟲, 螻牛覦 郁規 蟲蟲給 蟲蟲糾鍵豐讌郁規 郁規觜 讌 蟆郁骸 朱. 螻殊覯:15CTAP-B080352-02 Yanjinbileg 2013). 蠏碁讌襷 譯狩豈 覿 蟲螻 襷る 覦襯伎 譯狩螻糾 蟲 覩語讌 覈詩螻 . 譯狩螻糾 企讌 譯 螳蟆 讌朱 麹螻 朱 豸給れ 譯 蟇一 螳讌 螻 . 豕蠏殊 覿螳 譯狩レ 覓語 願屋蠍 譯狩螻糾 譯狩螳 襯 螻糾概譯朱 譯狩螻糾 豈 讌譴螻 (CHC handbook). 磯殊 覲 郁規 覿 蠍一ヾ 譯狩 豈 覓語 覿螻 伎 豈 ろ れ企企轟るゼ 牛 螻 . 1.2 郁規 覯 覦 覦覯 覲 郁規 覈所絵 碁覦襯伎 譯狩リ骸 譯狩 豈 覯襦 蠏語 豕蠏殊 覿 讌譴螻 譯狩螻糾 譯狩螳 襯 螻糾概 譯朱 譯狩螻糾 豈 豐 襷豢. 譯狩豈 譯狩レ レ 覩語 覲 れ螻 覲旧″ 蟯螻襯 燕螻 蠍 覓語 覲 郁規 郁規 譯殊 覦覯朱 ろれ企企轟るゼ 伎 . 2. 觜 螻谿
  • 2. る 覈 るジ 譟郁唄れ 螳 覲 A 讀螳(螳)螳 覲B襯 讀螳(螳) . 覲 A 讀螳(螳)螳 覲B襯 螳(讀螳) . 覲 A 覲B 伎 瑚骸蟯螻 豢譟煙 譴 螳 讌一 . ろ Stock 覲る 覲 襴朱 . ろ 蟆郁骸襦 ル 覲襦 Stock 譴朱 . 譯狩豈 覈 伎 1. 1999 蟲螳 譯狩豈 -蟇伎れ 螳 蠍一 谿語襯 讌. 2. 1999 譯狩 覯襯 譯狩 蟯 覿 蠍郁 覈 レ 螻. 3. 2001 碁覦襯 2020 蠍磯蓋 螻 譯朱殊 願鍵 譬 蟆曙 螻 蟆. 2004- 2008 4襷 譯狩螻糾 襦蠏碁 螳蟆 危螻, 讌 譬 碁ゼ 螻糾 蟆 2010 10襷 譯狩 螻糾 襦蠏碁 螳蟆 危螻, 讌 譬 碁ゼ 螻糾 蟆 2013 Ipotek8% 譯狩企慨豢 譴 譯狩企慨豢 2015 譯狩螻旧 螻糾概譯朱 譯狩螻糾 2.1 ろれ企企轟 ろれ企企轟る 一 蟆曙 ろ 覿 襴 覈碁 覦覯朱 覲旧″ 觜 ろ 覿 願屋豈 螻牛.(Sterman 2000, 覦 覓語 2009, 煙 2013, 語 2013) 1. ろれ企企轟 譯殊 (Sterman, 2000) 2.2 蠍一ヾ 覓誤 覿 碁覦襯伎 螳 覓語螳 螻 蟆襯 讌 譯手碓 蟲伎語 襷 郁規れ 讌 襷 覿覿 蟆襯 讌 蟆暑語 豐 襷豢 朱 譯狩リ骸 覿 譯狩豈 蟯 郁規れ 覿豐 企. 蟾覓瑚(2007) 譯狩 覦 譯狩 豈 覿 覦 煙 蟯 覿. 覓誤襭 糾襭 覦 る語＾ 蟆郁骸襯 牛 覈所絵覿 譯狩豈 譬 蠏 覦 る 蟆磯 企碁. 蟲覓(2013) 蠍一ヾ 覓誤 郁規 れ 牛 覈所絵 譯狩 覦 覿朱 覈所絵覿 譯手碓 蠍一 襷覃 譯狩螳 蟆 讌豈 伎狩 螳 る 蟆磯 企碁. Yanjinbileg(2013) 覈所絵 譯狩豈 伎 襷朱 るジ 郁規る慨 譯狩豈 豐 襷豢螻 郁規. 蠏碁 郁規 覈襦 蟆襯 讌 蟆 螳 豐 襷豢 郁規襯 . 伎 蠍一ヾ 朱碁れ 覓誤 覲伎 る語＾ 蟆郁骸襯 牛 蟆磯 碁. 蠏碁 れ 覲 覦 れ 谿語螳 レ 覩 豺 豈覿 覦 譯狩螻糾蟆一 ル襦 覿 . 2.3 覈所絵 譯狩豈 覲 覈所絵 覿 譯狩 螳覦 覿殊 豈 豈. 1999 危 覿 譯狩豈 蟆 れ螻 螳. 2. 覈所絵 譯狩豈 3. 覈所絵 譯狩螻糾豈 譯狩 覦郁化覿覿 瑚 襦 覦襯伎 譯狩 レ 蟆襯 讌 譯朱朱れ 伎 譯狩螳 螻(60%) 伎 磯 螻糾谿願 . 磯殊 蟆曙 襴襦 譯狩覿螳螳 讌朱 讌螻 . 譯狩 螳蟆 蟆一蟲譟一 危ｴ覲企, 譯狩螳蟆 蟆曙 蠍磯蓋 襴 磯 レ煙 螳螻 覲. 企 螳蟆 蠍 譟一 蠏碁1 覲 (覦 覓語 2006, 覦覓語 2009, Baumol and Blinder 2003, 豌 2005, 煙 2011). 蠏碁1. 螳蟆 レ煙 螳蟆蟆一 瑚骸覈 螳蟆 轟 磯 蠍磯蟇伎れ旧 企, 蟇伎れ豌企 螻糾 襷 覦. 讌襷 覦襯伎 覩手譯朱 譯狩螻糾 讀螳讌 旧語 蟇伎れ旧 螳る 譯殊語 螻糾概譯朱 螻糾 螳 る 覈所絵譯狩豈 レ企. 4. 蟆磯 覈所絵 覿 覦襯伎 譯狩レ 譯殊 覓語螳 螻 螻糾 豐 襷豢 譯狩螻糾 讀螳 蠍 れ 豈れ る 蠏轟朱 . 蠏碁 螻糾 讌 語 覿 螻糾概 譯狩 讌譴 . 磯殊 覿 讌 螻糾概 譯朱 螻糾 朱 覈所絵 覩手蟇伎れ豌企れ 豢る 譯殊 語 蟆企. 谿瑚覓誤 1. Kim, Moonkyu (2007) "A Study of Housing Problems and Policy Directions in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia" 2. Koo, Chamun (2012) "A Study of Housing Redevelopment in Ulaanbaatar in Terms of Upgrading Affordability and Environmental Sustainability" 3. 40,000 units housing program master plan, UB city government, (2005) 4. The State General Housing Policy (1999) 5. Yanjinbileg Baljinnyam (2013) "Alternatives of Residential Environment Improvement for Low-Income Families in Ger Area-Case study in Ulaanbaatar"