際際滷

際際滷Share a Scribd company logo
New Challenges for the Cruise Industry:
      The State of the Industry
                       Andy Stuart
Executive Vice President, Global Sales & Passenger Services
                  Norwegian Cruise Line

                    October 25, 2012
Agenda
  2012  A Challenging Year

  Cruising: A Global Industry

  Cruising: A Major Global Economic Driver
      o   Global
      o   Europe
      o   Spain


  Cruising: An Exciting Future Ahead
2012  A Challenging Year
2012  A Challenging Year
  Costa Concordia
Post-Concordia: Operational Safety Review
                                          Since January 2012
 Cruise Industry Taskforce Established    launch:
                                          Proactively identified
                                          and implemented best
Effort Aligned and Supported by IMO, EU   safety practices available
                                          7 new policies
                                          announced
     Independent Panel of Experts
                                          Industry-wide
                                          commitment to
                                          continuous improvement
      Keeping Members informed


                                                                       5
2012  A Challenging Year
  Economic Crisis in Europe

  Political Instability

  Volatility of Fuel Prices
Cruising: A Global Industry
Global Cruise Passenger Growth
  20 Million Global Passengers in 2011
    North America: 11.5 million
    Europe: 6.2 million
    UK: 1.7 million
  Grew 10% from 2010 from 18.7
   million in 2010 to 20.6 million in 2011


                                             8
Increasing Globalization of Cruising



                                                 North America

                                                 Rest of World




   Since 2000, the number of CLIA member passengers
     sourced from outside North America has tripled.
                                                                 9
Ship Growth
                                        2012: 13 new ships



             143 new
               ships
                            2000-2011
                            2000-2011



         80 new                          2013: 6 new ships
                    1990s
                    1990s




          ships
             80s
             80s




40 new
 ships


                                                             10
New Ships in 2012
                Line                      Ship          Passengers
Disney Cruise Lines     Fantasy                    2,500
Costa Cruises           Fascinosa                  3,012
Celebrity Cruises       Celebrity Reflection       3,030
MSC                     MSC Davina                 3,502
Carnival Cruise Lines   Carnival Breeze            3,690
Oceania Cruises         Riviera                    1,260
Paul Gauguin            M/V Moana (reintroduced)   90




                                                                     11
GROWTH
102% capacity in 2011
$10 billion investment
in new ship
development between
now and 2015


By 2015: 231 ships operating
globally with more than
361,000 beds                   12
International
        Growth
Over the past 5 years,
deployment to the
Mediterranean increased by
nearly 100%.
Deployments to ports in
Australia and New Zealand
more than doubled.



                             13
Emerging Markets
5 Year Change in geographic deployment
(2006-2011):
   Transatlantic: +111.2%
   Australia/New Zealand/S. Pacific: +101.2 %
   Mediterranean + 109.38 %
   South America: +81.7%
   Europe/Scandinavia +24.61 %
   Caribbean + 13.5 %
   Alaska + 4.66 %
   Bahamas +7.2 %                               14
Port Development                      LOS ANGELES
Cruise port expansion:
   Charleston     Mexico
   New York       Panama
   Los Angeles    Norway
   Miami




                             New ports:
                              Portland, Maine
                              Falmouth, Jamaica
PANAM                         Singapore            15
Singapores Marina Bay Cruise
Centre May 2012
 Opened in
$350 million
investment
Chosen as homeport
for Royal Caribbeans
Voyager of the Seas
Expected to welcome
1.3 million cruise
passengers in 2013
(up 30% from 2010)

                                16
Potential of Asia




 80% of global middle-class by 2030
 growth will come from Asia


 1% cruise market penetration in Asia of
 would mean:                               17
Chinas Investments
            In 2011, the number of home-port calls overtook transit calls



                             Homeports capable of serving large, luxury
                             liners established in:
                             Shanghai          Xiamen
                             Tianjin           Qingdao

Number of international liners            Number of ships arriving at ports
arriving in Shanghais specialty              on Chinas mainland
      port for luxury ships
    62            150+                            223              262
   (2012)          (2013)                         (2010)           (2011)
                                                                            18
Cruising: A Major Global Economic Driver
                GLOBAL
Global Economic Impact
 Boosting Local Economies: Cruise line, passenger
  and crew spending generated over  127 Billion
  globally

 Globally, a total of 753,000 direct and indirect jobs
  were created by the cruise industry

 Generating more than 42 Billion in wages
Cruising: A Major Global Economic Driver
                EUROPE
THE EUROPEAN CRUISE MARKET
                - ANOTHER YEAR OF GROWTH WITH
                    6.2M PASSENGERS IN 2011    6.2m
                                             European
                                                                 240,200               Passengers
                                       33.7m cruise
                  20.6m                 pax calls in           lower berths
                  Global                  Europe                 on ships
                Passengers                                      deployed in
                                                                  Europe



Growth
 2010                10%                    11%                      10%                   13%
  To
 2011



Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors, 2012 Edition
2011  HIGHEST ECONOMIC CONTRIBUTION
bns  OF THE CRUISE INDUSTRY TO EUROPE
                                                                                                15.0
                                       12.9          14.2         14.1         14.5


                         10.6
            8.4




Direct spending by cruise lines, passengers and crew
Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors, 2012 Edition
THE CRUISE INDUSTRY CONTINUES TO DELIVER
     GROWTH TO THE EUROPEAN ECONOMY

 6.4bn cruise line purchases  14% compound
  annual growth since 2005

 3.4bn passenger and crew on-shore expenditure 
  13% compound annual growth

 8.3% growth of economic impact without
  shipbuilding from 2010 to 2011
CHALLENGING TIMES FOR EUROPEAN
           CRUISE SHIP BUILDERS
 Shipbuilding and repair is 26% of European cruise
  industry direct expenditure, worth 3.8bn
 Shipbuilding and repair economic impact fell 7.9% in
  2011  3rd consecutive year
 Share of shipbuilding of European cruise industry fell
  from 37% in 2005 to 25% in 2011 despite absolute
  growth
 Europe remains the centre of cruise ship construction,
  but business becomes more global
ITALY REMAINS THE LARGEST EUROPEAN
                        CRUISE ECONOMY
        Direct Economic Impact of the European Cruise Industry 2011
bns




        Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors
100,000 JOBS CREATED BY CRUISE INDUSTRY
                SINCE 2005
 315,500 jobs in Europe depend on cruise industry
    100,000 jobs in Italy
 57,000 European seafarers and cruise line shoreside
  employees
 72,000 jobs in manufacturing
    22,000 jobs in shipbuilding
 61,000 jobs in financial and business services
TOTAL OUTPUT IMPACT OF EUROPEAN CRUISE
bns
      INDUSTRY NEARLY DOUBLED SINCE 2005




Total Output all intermediate inputs, taxes net of subsidies, net surplus (profits, net interest, dividends
and other items) and employee compensation.
Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors, 2012 Edition
OUTLOOK FOR EUROPEAN CRUISE INDUSTRY
             REMAINS POSITIVE
 Cruise industry in Europe has further potential to grow
  from currently 37bn total economic output
 Low market penetration rates in European source
  markets compared with US
 Appealing destinations attract European and non-
  European passengers
Cruising: A Major Global Economic Driver
                  SPAIN
DIRECT CRUISE INDUSTRY EXPENDITURES IN SPAIN
 Cruise tourism generated 1.3 billion in direct
  expenditures in Spain in 2011
 Spain represents 9% of the industrys direct
  expenditures throughout Europe, a 9.2% increase over
  2010
                        Cruise Line
                        Purchases            Passengers &
                            469                 Crew
                           36%                    595
                                                 46%

                               Ship Repair
                                   201
                                  15%

           Emp. Comp.
               33
              3%
Increased Growth Across the Board in Spain                                       1.4 Million
                                                                                     Pax Embarking
                                                                      5.2 Million     from Spanish
                                                         703,000     Pax Visits to         Ports
                                                          Global    Spanish Ports
                                     27,500 Total     Pax Sourced
   1.3 Billion    834 Million     Employment by      from Spain
     Cruise        Total Emp.       Cruise Industry
Expenditures in      Comp
     Spain




     67%              74%               77%             80%              90%              93%




                                  Growth from 2006 to 2011
Cruising: An Exciting Future Ahead
New Ship Orders 2014 and beyond
Line                Tonnage   Pax      Delivery       Yard
Norwegian Getaway   146,600   4,000    Jan 2014       Meyer Werft
Regal Princess      141,000   3,600    Spring 2014    Fincantieri
Tui Cruises         97,000    2,500    Spring 2014    STX Finland
RCCL Project        158,000   4,100    Fall 2014      Meyer Werft
Sunshine 1
Costa Cruises       132,500   N/A      Fall 2014      Fincantieri
P&O Cruises         141,000   3,611    March 2015     Fincantieri
AIDA                125,000   3,250    March 2015     Mitsubishi
RCCL Project        158,000   4,100    Spring 2015    Meyer Werft
Sunshine 2
Breakaway Plus      161,000   4,2000   October 2015   Meyer Werft
AIDA                125,000   3,250    March 2016     Mitsubishi
Vast Potential Global Audience
 In North America, only 16% of population has cruised
 In Europe, only 1% of the population has cruised
 Asia is untapped
Innovation & Cruising Trends

 Connection with the Sea
 Recreation
 Celebrity Chefs




                               36
Innovation & Cruising Trends

   Multi Generation Travel
   Health and Wellness
   Exploration and Adventure
   Name Entertainment
   River Cruising



                                37
THANK YOU




            38
                 38

More Related Content

Andy Stuart

  • 1. New Challenges for the Cruise Industry: The State of the Industry Andy Stuart Executive Vice President, Global Sales & Passenger Services Norwegian Cruise Line October 25, 2012
  • 2. Agenda 2012 A Challenging Year Cruising: A Global Industry Cruising: A Major Global Economic Driver o Global o Europe o Spain Cruising: An Exciting Future Ahead
  • 3. 2012 A Challenging Year
  • 4. 2012 A Challenging Year Costa Concordia
  • 5. Post-Concordia: Operational Safety Review Since January 2012 Cruise Industry Taskforce Established launch: Proactively identified and implemented best Effort Aligned and Supported by IMO, EU safety practices available 7 new policies announced Independent Panel of Experts Industry-wide commitment to continuous improvement Keeping Members informed 5
  • 6. 2012 A Challenging Year Economic Crisis in Europe Political Instability Volatility of Fuel Prices
  • 8. Global Cruise Passenger Growth 20 Million Global Passengers in 2011 North America: 11.5 million Europe: 6.2 million UK: 1.7 million Grew 10% from 2010 from 18.7 million in 2010 to 20.6 million in 2011 8
  • 9. Increasing Globalization of Cruising North America Rest of World Since 2000, the number of CLIA member passengers sourced from outside North America has tripled. 9
  • 10. Ship Growth 2012: 13 new ships 143 new ships 2000-2011 2000-2011 80 new 2013: 6 new ships 1990s 1990s ships 80s 80s 40 new ships 10
  • 11. New Ships in 2012 Line Ship Passengers Disney Cruise Lines Fantasy 2,500 Costa Cruises Fascinosa 3,012 Celebrity Cruises Celebrity Reflection 3,030 MSC MSC Davina 3,502 Carnival Cruise Lines Carnival Breeze 3,690 Oceania Cruises Riviera 1,260 Paul Gauguin M/V Moana (reintroduced) 90 11
  • 12. GROWTH 102% capacity in 2011 $10 billion investment in new ship development between now and 2015 By 2015: 231 ships operating globally with more than 361,000 beds 12
  • 13. International Growth Over the past 5 years, deployment to the Mediterranean increased by nearly 100%. Deployments to ports in Australia and New Zealand more than doubled. 13
  • 14. Emerging Markets 5 Year Change in geographic deployment (2006-2011): Transatlantic: +111.2% Australia/New Zealand/S. Pacific: +101.2 % Mediterranean + 109.38 % South America: +81.7% Europe/Scandinavia +24.61 % Caribbean + 13.5 % Alaska + 4.66 % Bahamas +7.2 % 14
  • 15. Port Development LOS ANGELES Cruise port expansion: Charleston Mexico New York Panama Los Angeles Norway Miami New ports: Portland, Maine Falmouth, Jamaica PANAM Singapore 15
  • 16. Singapores Marina Bay Cruise Centre May 2012 Opened in $350 million investment Chosen as homeport for Royal Caribbeans Voyager of the Seas Expected to welcome 1.3 million cruise passengers in 2013 (up 30% from 2010) 16
  • 17. Potential of Asia 80% of global middle-class by 2030 growth will come from Asia 1% cruise market penetration in Asia of would mean: 17
  • 18. Chinas Investments In 2011, the number of home-port calls overtook transit calls Homeports capable of serving large, luxury liners established in: Shanghai Xiamen Tianjin Qingdao Number of international liners Number of ships arriving at ports arriving in Shanghais specialty on Chinas mainland port for luxury ships 62 150+ 223 262 (2012) (2013) (2010) (2011) 18
  • 19. Cruising: A Major Global Economic Driver GLOBAL
  • 20. Global Economic Impact Boosting Local Economies: Cruise line, passenger and crew spending generated over 127 Billion globally Globally, a total of 753,000 direct and indirect jobs were created by the cruise industry Generating more than 42 Billion in wages
  • 21. Cruising: A Major Global Economic Driver EUROPE
  • 22. THE EUROPEAN CRUISE MARKET - ANOTHER YEAR OF GROWTH WITH 6.2M PASSENGERS IN 2011 6.2m European 240,200 Passengers 33.7m cruise 20.6m pax calls in lower berths Global Europe on ships Passengers deployed in Europe Growth 2010 10% 11% 10% 13% To 2011 Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors, 2012 Edition
  • 23. 2011 HIGHEST ECONOMIC CONTRIBUTION bns OF THE CRUISE INDUSTRY TO EUROPE 15.0 12.9 14.2 14.1 14.5 10.6 8.4 Direct spending by cruise lines, passengers and crew Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors, 2012 Edition
  • 24. THE CRUISE INDUSTRY CONTINUES TO DELIVER GROWTH TO THE EUROPEAN ECONOMY 6.4bn cruise line purchases 14% compound annual growth since 2005 3.4bn passenger and crew on-shore expenditure 13% compound annual growth 8.3% growth of economic impact without shipbuilding from 2010 to 2011
  • 25. CHALLENGING TIMES FOR EUROPEAN CRUISE SHIP BUILDERS Shipbuilding and repair is 26% of European cruise industry direct expenditure, worth 3.8bn Shipbuilding and repair economic impact fell 7.9% in 2011 3rd consecutive year Share of shipbuilding of European cruise industry fell from 37% in 2005 to 25% in 2011 despite absolute growth Europe remains the centre of cruise ship construction, but business becomes more global
  • 26. ITALY REMAINS THE LARGEST EUROPEAN CRUISE ECONOMY Direct Economic Impact of the European Cruise Industry 2011 bns Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors
  • 27. 100,000 JOBS CREATED BY CRUISE INDUSTRY SINCE 2005 315,500 jobs in Europe depend on cruise industry 100,000 jobs in Italy 57,000 European seafarers and cruise line shoreside employees 72,000 jobs in manufacturing 22,000 jobs in shipbuilding 61,000 jobs in financial and business services
  • 28. TOTAL OUTPUT IMPACT OF EUROPEAN CRUISE bns INDUSTRY NEARLY DOUBLED SINCE 2005 Total Output all intermediate inputs, taxes net of subsidies, net surplus (profits, net interest, dividends and other items) and employee compensation. Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors, 2012 Edition
  • 29. OUTLOOK FOR EUROPEAN CRUISE INDUSTRY REMAINS POSITIVE Cruise industry in Europe has further potential to grow from currently 37bn total economic output Low market penetration rates in European source markets compared with US Appealing destinations attract European and non- European passengers
  • 30. Cruising: A Major Global Economic Driver SPAIN
  • 31. DIRECT CRUISE INDUSTRY EXPENDITURES IN SPAIN Cruise tourism generated 1.3 billion in direct expenditures in Spain in 2011 Spain represents 9% of the industrys direct expenditures throughout Europe, a 9.2% increase over 2010 Cruise Line Purchases Passengers & 469 Crew 36% 595 46% Ship Repair 201 15% Emp. Comp. 33 3%
  • 32. Increased Growth Across the Board in Spain 1.4 Million Pax Embarking 5.2 Million from Spanish 703,000 Pax Visits to Ports Global Spanish Ports 27,500 Total Pax Sourced 1.3 Billion 834 Million Employment by from Spain Cruise Total Emp. Cruise Industry Expenditures in Comp Spain 67% 74% 77% 80% 90% 93% Growth from 2006 to 2011
  • 33. Cruising: An Exciting Future Ahead
  • 34. New Ship Orders 2014 and beyond Line Tonnage Pax Delivery Yard Norwegian Getaway 146,600 4,000 Jan 2014 Meyer Werft Regal Princess 141,000 3,600 Spring 2014 Fincantieri Tui Cruises 97,000 2,500 Spring 2014 STX Finland RCCL Project 158,000 4,100 Fall 2014 Meyer Werft Sunshine 1 Costa Cruises 132,500 N/A Fall 2014 Fincantieri P&O Cruises 141,000 3,611 March 2015 Fincantieri AIDA 125,000 3,250 March 2015 Mitsubishi RCCL Project 158,000 4,100 Spring 2015 Meyer Werft Sunshine 2 Breakaway Plus 161,000 4,2000 October 2015 Meyer Werft AIDA 125,000 3,250 March 2016 Mitsubishi
  • 35. Vast Potential Global Audience In North America, only 16% of population has cruised In Europe, only 1% of the population has cruised Asia is untapped
  • 36. Innovation & Cruising Trends Connection with the Sea Recreation Celebrity Chefs 36
  • 37. Innovation & Cruising Trends Multi Generation Travel Health and Wellness Exploration and Adventure Name Entertainment River Cruising 37
  • 38. THANK YOU 38 38