This document discusses the state of the cruise industry in 2012, which was a challenging year due to the Costa Concordia accident and economic issues in Europe. It notes that cruising is a growing global industry, with over 20 million passengers in 2011. The cruise industry has a major global economic impact, generating over $127 billion and over 750,000 jobs. Specifically in Europe, the cruise industry generated over $14.5 billion in economic impact in 2011 and over 300,000 jobs. In Spain, the cruise industry generated over $1.3 billion in direct expenditures in 2011, with growth across all categories.
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Andy Stuart
1. New Challenges for the Cruise Industry:
The State of the Industry
Andy Stuart
Executive Vice President, Global Sales & Passenger Services
Norwegian Cruise Line
October 25, 2012
2. Agenda
2012 A Challenging Year
Cruising: A Global Industry
Cruising: A Major Global Economic Driver
o Global
o Europe
o Spain
Cruising: An Exciting Future Ahead
5. Post-Concordia: Operational Safety Review
Since January 2012
Cruise Industry Taskforce Established launch:
Proactively identified
and implemented best
Effort Aligned and Supported by IMO, EU safety practices available
7 new policies
announced
Independent Panel of Experts
Industry-wide
commitment to
continuous improvement
Keeping Members informed
5
6. 2012 A Challenging Year
Economic Crisis in Europe
Political Instability
Volatility of Fuel Prices
8. Global Cruise Passenger Growth
20 Million Global Passengers in 2011
North America: 11.5 million
Europe: 6.2 million
UK: 1.7 million
Grew 10% from 2010 from 18.7
million in 2010 to 20.6 million in 2011
8
9. Increasing Globalization of Cruising
North America
Rest of World
Since 2000, the number of CLIA member passengers
sourced from outside North America has tripled.
9
10. Ship Growth
2012: 13 new ships
143 new
ships
2000-2011
2000-2011
80 new 2013: 6 new ships
1990s
1990s
ships
80s
80s
40 new
ships
10
11. New Ships in 2012
Line Ship Passengers
Disney Cruise Lines Fantasy 2,500
Costa Cruises Fascinosa 3,012
Celebrity Cruises Celebrity Reflection 3,030
MSC MSC Davina 3,502
Carnival Cruise Lines Carnival Breeze 3,690
Oceania Cruises Riviera 1,260
Paul Gauguin M/V Moana (reintroduced) 90
11
12. GROWTH
102% capacity in 2011
$10 billion investment
in new ship
development between
now and 2015
By 2015: 231 ships operating
globally with more than
361,000 beds 12
13. International
Growth
Over the past 5 years,
deployment to the
Mediterranean increased by
nearly 100%.
Deployments to ports in
Australia and New Zealand
more than doubled.
13
15. Port Development LOS ANGELES
Cruise port expansion:
Charleston Mexico
New York Panama
Los Angeles Norway
Miami
New ports:
Portland, Maine
Falmouth, Jamaica
PANAM Singapore 15
16. Singapores Marina Bay Cruise
Centre May 2012
Opened in
$350 million
investment
Chosen as homeport
for Royal Caribbeans
Voyager of the Seas
Expected to welcome
1.3 million cruise
passengers in 2013
(up 30% from 2010)
16
17. Potential of Asia
80% of global middle-class by 2030
growth will come from Asia
1% cruise market penetration in Asia of
would mean: 17
18. Chinas Investments
In 2011, the number of home-port calls overtook transit calls
Homeports capable of serving large, luxury
liners established in:
Shanghai Xiamen
Tianjin Qingdao
Number of international liners Number of ships arriving at ports
arriving in Shanghais specialty on Chinas mainland
port for luxury ships
62 150+ 223 262
(2012) (2013) (2010) (2011)
18
20. Global Economic Impact
Boosting Local Economies: Cruise line, passenger
and crew spending generated over 127 Billion
globally
Globally, a total of 753,000 direct and indirect jobs
were created by the cruise industry
Generating more than 42 Billion in wages
22. THE EUROPEAN CRUISE MARKET
- ANOTHER YEAR OF GROWTH WITH
6.2M PASSENGERS IN 2011 6.2m
European
240,200 Passengers
33.7m cruise
20.6m pax calls in lower berths
Global Europe on ships
Passengers deployed in
Europe
Growth
2010 10% 11% 10% 13%
To
2011
Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors, 2012 Edition
23. 2011 HIGHEST ECONOMIC CONTRIBUTION
bns OF THE CRUISE INDUSTRY TO EUROPE
15.0
12.9 14.2 14.1 14.5
10.6
8.4
Direct spending by cruise lines, passengers and crew
Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors, 2012 Edition
24. THE CRUISE INDUSTRY CONTINUES TO DELIVER
GROWTH TO THE EUROPEAN ECONOMY
6.4bn cruise line purchases 14% compound
annual growth since 2005
3.4bn passenger and crew on-shore expenditure
13% compound annual growth
8.3% growth of economic impact without
shipbuilding from 2010 to 2011
25. CHALLENGING TIMES FOR EUROPEAN
CRUISE SHIP BUILDERS
Shipbuilding and repair is 26% of European cruise
industry direct expenditure, worth 3.8bn
Shipbuilding and repair economic impact fell 7.9% in
2011 3rd consecutive year
Share of shipbuilding of European cruise industry fell
from 37% in 2005 to 25% in 2011 despite absolute
growth
Europe remains the centre of cruise ship construction,
but business becomes more global
26. ITALY REMAINS THE LARGEST EUROPEAN
CRUISE ECONOMY
Direct Economic Impact of the European Cruise Industry 2011
bns
Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors
27. 100,000 JOBS CREATED BY CRUISE INDUSTRY
SINCE 2005
315,500 jobs in Europe depend on cruise industry
100,000 jobs in Italy
57,000 European seafarers and cruise line shoreside
employees
72,000 jobs in manufacturing
22,000 jobs in shipbuilding
61,000 jobs in financial and business services
28. TOTAL OUTPUT IMPACT OF EUROPEAN CRUISE
bns
INDUSTRY NEARLY DOUBLED SINCE 2005
Total Output all intermediate inputs, taxes net of subsidies, net surplus (profits, net interest, dividends
and other items) and employee compensation.
Source: G.P. Wild (International) Limited and Business Research and Economic Advisors, 2012 Edition
29. OUTLOOK FOR EUROPEAN CRUISE INDUSTRY
REMAINS POSITIVE
Cruise industry in Europe has further potential to grow
from currently 37bn total economic output
Low market penetration rates in European source
markets compared with US
Appealing destinations attract European and non-
European passengers
31. DIRECT CRUISE INDUSTRY EXPENDITURES IN SPAIN
Cruise tourism generated 1.3 billion in direct
expenditures in Spain in 2011
Spain represents 9% of the industrys direct
expenditures throughout Europe, a 9.2% increase over
2010
Cruise Line
Purchases Passengers &
469 Crew
36% 595
46%
Ship Repair
201
15%
Emp. Comp.
33
3%
32. Increased Growth Across the Board in Spain 1.4 Million
Pax Embarking
5.2 Million from Spanish
703,000 Pax Visits to Ports
Global Spanish Ports
27,500 Total Pax Sourced
1.3 Billion 834 Million Employment by from Spain
Cruise Total Emp. Cruise Industry
Expenditures in Comp
Spain
67% 74% 77% 80% 90% 93%
Growth from 2006 to 2011
34. New Ship Orders 2014 and beyond
Line Tonnage Pax Delivery Yard
Norwegian Getaway 146,600 4,000 Jan 2014 Meyer Werft
Regal Princess 141,000 3,600 Spring 2014 Fincantieri
Tui Cruises 97,000 2,500 Spring 2014 STX Finland
RCCL Project 158,000 4,100 Fall 2014 Meyer Werft
Sunshine 1
Costa Cruises 132,500 N/A Fall 2014 Fincantieri
P&O Cruises 141,000 3,611 March 2015 Fincantieri
AIDA 125,000 3,250 March 2015 Mitsubishi
RCCL Project 158,000 4,100 Spring 2015 Meyer Werft
Sunshine 2
Breakaway Plus 161,000 4,2000 October 2015 Meyer Werft
AIDA 125,000 3,250 March 2016 Mitsubishi
35. Vast Potential Global Audience
In North America, only 16% of population has cruised
In Europe, only 1% of the population has cruised
Asia is untapped