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Energy Security and
     Diversification of Energy
             Supplies


                                                             Anrijs Matiss
                                                                State secretary
                                     Ministry of Transport and Communications
                                                       of the Republic of Latvia


MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Contents


 Current situation
 Development of generating powers
 Integration
 Diversification of energy sources
 Renewable energy
 Energy efficiency




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Current situation


 Guidelines for Energy policy 2007-2016 approved by Cabinet of
  Ministers in 2006
 Guidelines covers
      Primary sources of energy
      Electricity
      Heat production
      Institutional issues
 Guidelines revision



MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Current situation (2)

 High dependency on import
      64% primary energy sources
      30% electricity
      30% of primary sources natural gas
 Natural gas supplies from one supplier
 High proportion of RES, mainly biomass in primary energy 30%
 Electricity is mainly produced from natural gas and hydro
 Over 35% of electricity is produced in cogeneration
 Deficit of generating powers 200-700 MW


MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Current situation (3)




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Eelectricity production and consumption
              pattern in Latvia 2009


          162                  65                                                         114
                175     83                                                         91

                                                                           265
                                      118

                        403                    305           363   361
                                                      364                          406    477
          491                  731
                445
                                                                           220
                                      477       81
                                                       66    79     98
                        218                    174                         162     198    169
          116   106                                   121    127   126
                                      -61
                              -159

          Jan   Feb     Mar    Apr    Mai      Jun     Jul   Aug   Sep     Oct     Nov    Dec

                      HPP      TPP          Other plants     Net imports         Demand


          Data source: Latvian TSO Annual report on system adequacy


MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Electricity production and capacity
                      with Ignalina

                 595                                                6            239
   532    239                                                             157
                        358                                        135
                               345                                               933
          840                          146    110                         805
   821           936                                 412
                                                            605    885
                        906                          89
                               876     878    860
                                                     285     80
                                                             50


          1418                                                            1454   1473
   1312          1258                                       1202   1202
                        1034   934                   1085
                                       892    920



   -295   -117   -566   -338   -210   -155    -106                        -25    -171
    Jan   Feb    Mar    Apr    Mai     Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Dec

          TTP                  NPP                   HPP                  HPSPP
          Windmills            Other plants          Net imports          Demand




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Electricity production and capacity
                    without Ignalina


    526                                                                         762
          724    370                                                     779
                                                                  891
                         568                               655
    532                         666                                             239
          239    595                                697                  157
                                       724    754
                         358                               80     135
                                345                  89
                                       146    110
          1418                                                           1454   1473
   1312          1258                                      1202   1202
                         1034                       1085
                                934    892    920




    Jan   Feb
          TTP     Mar    Apr    Mai
                                HPP    Jun    Jul   HPSPP Sep
                                                    Aug           Oct    Nov    Dec
                                                                         Windmills
          Other plants          Net imports         Demand



MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Consumption prognosis - Baltics
 7 500



 7 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    6 678
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            6 544
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          6 409
 6 500                                                                                                                                                                                              6 273
                                                                                                                                                                            6 141
                                                                                                                                                    6 009
 6 000                                                                                                                      5 874
                                                                                                    5 745                                                                                                                                                           5 753
                                                                                  5 611                                                                                                                                                     5 633
                                                            5 487                                                                                                                                                         5 514
                                    5 366                                                                                                                                                           5 398
 5 500                                                                                                                                                                      5 285
            5 242
                                                                                                                                                    5 168
                                                                                                                            5 054
                                                                                                    4 948
 5 000                                                                            4 852
            4 729                                           4 761
                                    4 660


 4 500



 4 000
         5 623
                 5 446
                         5 623


                                 4 643
                                         4 459
                                                 4 643


                                                         4 854
                                                                 4 452
                                                                         4 854


                                                                                 5 691
                                                                                 5 121
                                                                                         5 691


                                                                                                 5 897
                                                                                                         5 467
                                                                                                                 6 088


                                                                                                                         6 082
                                                                                                                                 5 490
                                                                                                                                         6 123


                                                                                                                                                 6 665
                                                                                                                                                         5 249
                                                                                                                                                                 6 606


                                                                                                                                                                         6 989
                                                                                                                                                                                 5 249
                                                                                                                                                                                         7 411


                                                                                                                                                                                                 6 045
                                                                                                                                                                                                         4 302
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 6 467


                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5 802
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4 014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 7 085


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5 811
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4 018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7 093


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 6 539
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4 019
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 7 110
 3 500
            2009                    2010                    2011                  2012               2013                    2014                   2015                    2016                    2017                  2018               2019                    2020
                                  Updated forecas ted available capacity in Baltics
                                  Forecasted available capacity in Baltics as provided by 2008 BALTSO Report (Scenario A)
                                  Forecasted available capacity in Baltics as provided by 2008 BALTSO Report (Scenario B)
                                  Updated capacity demand in Baltics
                                  Capacity demand in Baltics as provided by 2008 BALTSO Report




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Primary sources (electricity) - Latvia

                                        Imported electricity

                                        Natural gas

                                        Oil products

                                        Coal

                                        Biomas

                                        Hydro, wind, other RES




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Problems

 High dependency on imported primary sources
      Self sufficiency  29,5% (2008)
      Gas supplies from one supplier
 Closure of Ignalina nuclear plant in 2009.31.12
 Isolation of Baltic electricity and gas markets
 Low energy efficiency in
      Production
      Transmission
      Distribution
      Consumption

MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Targets



 Safety of supply
 Indepency from one supplier
 Diversification of energy sources
 Utilisation of local resorces
 Diversification of supply routes
 Energoefficiency




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Targets (2)



 Self sufficiency
      80% (2012)
      100% (2016)
 Reduction of household/housing consumption
      235 KWh/m2 (2004)
      150 KWh/m2 (2020)




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Diversification


 New hard fuel (coal/biomass) power generating plant 400 MW
      Regulations of the Cabinet of Ministers 2008/12
      EC approval on support 2010/1
      Selection of partners ongoing
 Visagina nuclear power plant
      Latvenergo shareholder
      Max power 3200 MW
 LPG/LNG terminal



MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Transmission system - electricity


                                  350 MW
                                                 2200 MW


                                       1200 MW
                                                 300 MW



                                  2100 MW




                                       1400 MW




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Transmission system - gas




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Gas market in Latvia


 Consumption 1,5 billions m続 annually (~5 billions m続 in Baltics)
 A/S Latvijas gaze only supplier
 Market unbundling / exemption till 2014
 Gas infrastructure linked with Russia only
 Incukalns storage 4,47 billions m続, 2,32 billions m続 active
 Unique possibilities of storage for up to 50 billions m続 (10% of
  EU consumption)
 No LNG/regasification terminal


MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Potential gas storage facilities




                                            18
MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Interconnections planned



 ESTLINK-2 between Estonia and Finland
      2013
 NORDBALT (formerly called SWEDLIT) between Lithuania and
  Sweden
      2015
 LITPOL between Lithuania and Poland
      2015




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Generating power prognosis



 Lithuanian Power Plant AB Lietuvos elektrine 1800 MW (38% of
  LT consumption 20% of Baltics consumption) (operational)
 Visaginas Nuclear Power plant 3000 MW (2020)
 Latvenergo Riga CHP-2 400 MW (2013)
 Liepaja New hard fuel (coal/biomass) power generating plant
  400 MW (2017)




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Renewable energy



 State support by increased tariff
    Wind
    Biomass
    Biogas
    Cogeneration
    Solar
 EU funds support for construction of cogeneration facilities



MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Price sant./kWh




                                            22
MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Local resources, volume of mandatory purchase in 2009,
                        MWh




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Approved projects on mandatory purchase (March 2010, source
                           MoE)




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Energy Efficiency




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Energy Efficiency




 EU support
    Residential housing renovation support
    Social buildings renovation support
    Improvement of centralised heat supply efficiency
    Development of Cogeneration facilities




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Summary




 Integration of EU networks - Key for ensuring security of supply
 Supply meets demand, generating powers development
 Reduce residential heating consumption by 50%
 Facilitation of use of renewable energy sources




MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
Thank you for attention!



                                               3, Gogola Str, LV 1743,
                                                          Riga, Latvia
                                                   satmin@sam.gov.lv
                                                      www.sam.gov.lv
                                                      www.transport.lv

MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF

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Energy Security and Diversification of Energy Supplies

  • 1. Energy Security and Diversification of Energy Supplies Anrijs Matiss State secretary Ministry of Transport and Communications of the Republic of Latvia MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 2. Contents Current situation Development of generating powers Integration Diversification of energy sources Renewable energy Energy efficiency MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 3. Current situation Guidelines for Energy policy 2007-2016 approved by Cabinet of Ministers in 2006 Guidelines covers Primary sources of energy Electricity Heat production Institutional issues Guidelines revision MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 4. Current situation (2) High dependency on import 64% primary energy sources 30% electricity 30% of primary sources natural gas Natural gas supplies from one supplier High proportion of RES, mainly biomass in primary energy 30% Electricity is mainly produced from natural gas and hydro Over 35% of electricity is produced in cogeneration Deficit of generating powers 200-700 MW MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 5. Current situation (3) MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 6. Eelectricity production and consumption pattern in Latvia 2009 162 65 114 175 83 91 265 118 403 305 363 361 364 406 477 491 731 445 220 477 81 66 79 98 218 174 162 198 169 116 106 121 127 126 -61 -159 Jan Feb Mar Apr Mai Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec HPP TPP Other plants Net imports Demand Data source: Latvian TSO Annual report on system adequacy MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 7. Electricity production and capacity with Ignalina 595 6 239 532 239 157 358 135 345 933 840 146 110 805 821 936 412 605 885 906 89 876 878 860 285 80 50 1418 1454 1473 1312 1258 1202 1202 1034 934 1085 892 920 -295 -117 -566 -338 -210 -155 -106 -25 -171 Jan Feb Mar Apr Mai Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec TTP NPP HPP HPSPP Windmills Other plants Net imports Demand MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 8. Electricity production and capacity without Ignalina 526 762 724 370 779 891 568 655 532 666 239 239 595 697 157 724 754 358 80 135 345 89 146 110 1418 1454 1473 1312 1258 1202 1202 1034 1085 934 892 920 Jan Feb TTP Mar Apr Mai HPP Jun Jul HPSPP Sep Aug Oct Nov Dec Windmills Other plants Net imports Demand MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 9. Consumption prognosis - Baltics 7 500 7 000 6 678 6 544 6 409 6 500 6 273 6 141 6 009 6 000 5 874 5 745 5 753 5 611 5 633 5 487 5 514 5 366 5 398 5 500 5 285 5 242 5 168 5 054 4 948 5 000 4 852 4 729 4 761 4 660 4 500 4 000 5 623 5 446 5 623 4 643 4 459 4 643 4 854 4 452 4 854 5 691 5 121 5 691 5 897 5 467 6 088 6 082 5 490 6 123 6 665 5 249 6 606 6 989 5 249 7 411 6 045 4 302 6 467 5 802 4 014 7 085 5 811 4 018 7 093 6 539 4 019 7 110 3 500 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Updated forecas ted available capacity in Baltics Forecasted available capacity in Baltics as provided by 2008 BALTSO Report (Scenario A) Forecasted available capacity in Baltics as provided by 2008 BALTSO Report (Scenario B) Updated capacity demand in Baltics Capacity demand in Baltics as provided by 2008 BALTSO Report MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 10. Primary sources (electricity) - Latvia Imported electricity Natural gas Oil products Coal Biomas Hydro, wind, other RES MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 11. Problems High dependency on imported primary sources Self sufficiency 29,5% (2008) Gas supplies from one supplier Closure of Ignalina nuclear plant in 2009.31.12 Isolation of Baltic electricity and gas markets Low energy efficiency in Production Transmission Distribution Consumption MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 12. Targets Safety of supply Indepency from one supplier Diversification of energy sources Utilisation of local resorces Diversification of supply routes Energoefficiency MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 13. Targets (2) Self sufficiency 80% (2012) 100% (2016) Reduction of household/housing consumption 235 KWh/m2 (2004) 150 KWh/m2 (2020) MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 14. Diversification New hard fuel (coal/biomass) power generating plant 400 MW Regulations of the Cabinet of Ministers 2008/12 EC approval on support 2010/1 Selection of partners ongoing Visagina nuclear power plant Latvenergo shareholder Max power 3200 MW LPG/LNG terminal MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 15. Transmission system - electricity 350 MW 2200 MW 1200 MW 300 MW 2100 MW 1400 MW MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 16. Transmission system - gas MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 17. Gas market in Latvia Consumption 1,5 billions m続 annually (~5 billions m続 in Baltics) A/S Latvijas gaze only supplier Market unbundling / exemption till 2014 Gas infrastructure linked with Russia only Incukalns storage 4,47 billions m続, 2,32 billions m続 active Unique possibilities of storage for up to 50 billions m続 (10% of EU consumption) No LNG/regasification terminal MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 18. Potential gas storage facilities 18 MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 19. Interconnections planned ESTLINK-2 between Estonia and Finland 2013 NORDBALT (formerly called SWEDLIT) between Lithuania and Sweden 2015 LITPOL between Lithuania and Poland 2015 MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 20. Generating power prognosis Lithuanian Power Plant AB Lietuvos elektrine 1800 MW (38% of LT consumption 20% of Baltics consumption) (operational) Visaginas Nuclear Power plant 3000 MW (2020) Latvenergo Riga CHP-2 400 MW (2013) Liepaja New hard fuel (coal/biomass) power generating plant 400 MW (2017) MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 21. Renewable energy State support by increased tariff Wind Biomass Biogas Cogeneration Solar EU funds support for construction of cogeneration facilities MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 22. Price sant./kWh 22 MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 23. Local resources, volume of mandatory purchase in 2009, MWh MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 24. Approved projects on mandatory purchase (March 2010, source MoE) MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 25. Energy Efficiency MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 26. Energy Efficiency EU support Residential housing renovation support Social buildings renovation support Improvement of centralised heat supply efficiency Development of Cogeneration facilities MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 27. Summary Integration of EU networks - Key for ensuring security of supply Supply meets demand, generating powers development Reduce residential heating consumption by 50% Facilitation of use of renewable energy sources MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF
  • 28. Thank you for attention! 3, Gogola Str, LV 1743, Riga, Latvia satmin@sam.gov.lv www.sam.gov.lv www.transport.lv MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS OF THE REPUBLIC OF