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IS THE USDJPY STILL THE
BEST FX PAIR FOR RISK?
BLAKE MORROW
FOREX ANALYTIX
CORRELATIONS IN
MARKETS
Correlation in Foreign Exchange vs.
Stocks
"correlation does not imply
causation
IS THE USDJPY THE BEST CORRELATED FX PAIR TO THE S&P?
Blake morrowtf2019
End 2013  Dec 2016
End 2016  Present
How about the USDJPY and Nikkei?
End 2009  Present
End 2009  Present
USDJPY  SPX CORRELATION?
 Correlation is still strong
 Downside USDJPY and SPX
may be stronger in months
ahead
 Best USDJPY correlation
would be the Nikkei
IS THE USDJPY THE BEST CORRELATED FX PAIR TO THE S&P?
Lets take a look at central bank rates!
CENTRAL BANK RATES
Source  Investing.com
MXN Rates
What about the DXY and the SPX?
Does the DXY still represent a safe haven?
GFC  Great Financial Crisis
End 2009  Present
End 2009  Present
Oct 2018  Dec 2018
Long term SPX trend line at 2500
IS THE USDJPY THE BEST CORRELATED FX PAIR TO THE S&P?
Lets go live!
IN CONCLUSION:
 USDJPY and SPX correlation
may be better when stocks fall
 There are many other pairs to
consider as well
 Emerging market currencies
like the MXN offer
opportunities
 Watch the global race to
zero
THANK YOU!
WWW.FOREXANALYTIX.COM
DISCOUNT CODE: WWW.FOREXANALYTIX.COM/TRADERFEST2019

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