This document discusses monetary theory and policy. It covers the demand for money, how the Federal Reserve controls the money supply through tools like reserve requirements and open market operations, and how changes in the money supply can affect interest rates, investment, aggregate demand, inflation, and economic output. The quantity theory of money and equation of exchange are introduced, as well as the monetarist view that changes in the money supply directly impact prices and economic activity. The document also discusses the Federal Reserve's historical approach to targeting money supply growth versus interest rates.
2. Why would people hold money?
Transactions Demand for Money
Precautionary Demand for Money
Speculative Demand for Money
The Demand for Money
3. The three motivates for holding money
combine to create a demand for money curve.
Def: The demand for money curve represents the
money people hold at different possible interest
rates, ceteris paribus.
Why is it downward sloping?
Example of Graph
The Demand for Money Curve
5. The supply of money is a vertical line (MS)
implying that the quantity of money supplied
is independent of the interest rate
Why?
Show equilibrium
The Equilibrium Interest Rate
7. What happens if the Fed increases the
money supply?
The opportunity cost of holding money falls
enough that the public is willing to hold the
now larger stock of money
8. How the Fed Controls the MS?
The establishment of reserve requirements
for banks
Buying and selling U.S. government securities
and other financial assets in the open market
The volume of loans extended to banks and
other institutions
The interest rate it pays banks on funds held
as reserves
10. Recent Monetary Policy
Increase in the monetary base from $828
billion at mid-year 2008 to $1.63 trillion in
early 2009 to more than $2 trillion in 2010.
Lower interest rates
16. Adding the Short-Run Aggregate
Supply Curve
For a given shift of the aggregate demand
curve, the steeper the short-run aggregate
supply curve, the smaller the increase in real
GDP and the larger the increase in the price
level.
18. Def: Monetarism is the theory that changes in
the money supply directly determine changes
in prices, real GDP, and employment
They put the spotlight on the money supply. They
argue that to predict the condition of the
economy, you simply look at the money supply.
Too much money supply = higher inflation
Too less money supply= unemployment and
deflation
The Monetarist View of the Role of
Money
19. Def: The equation of exchange is an
accounting identity that states the MS time
velocity of money is equal to total spending:
MV=PY
The Equation of Exchange
20. It is assumed by classical economists that V
and Y(real output) are fairly constant.
Why is this true?
Def: The Quantity Theory of Money states that
changes in the money supply are directly related
to changes in the affect of price level.
The Quantity Theory of Money
21. Today, we do not think that V is constant and
the employment does not always operate at
full employment
M& P are correlated, but not perfectly correlated.
Modern Monetarism
22. Targets Before 1982
Between World War II and October 1979- the Fed
attempted to stabilize interest rates.
Friedman said this made monetary policy a
source of instability in the economy because
changes in the money supply reinforced
fluctuations in the economy.
He said pay less attention to interest rates and
instead focus on a steady and predictable growth in
the money supply
Monetary rule
23. Targets After 1982
Less force on a steady and predictable growth
in the money supply.
The force was on a targeted federal funds
rate.