際際滷

際際滷Share a Scribd company logo
CIAFS 2015 - The Importance of Small Data - FINAL
CHAPTERS
1. INTRODUCTION
2. DEFINITIONS
3. CASE STUDY THEMES:
I. JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE?
II.ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
III.THE VALUE OF MASHUPS
IV.SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
V. JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG?
4. CONCLUSIONS
5. Q&A
1 - INTRODUCTION
1 - INTRODUCTION
DISCLAIMER
ALL VIEWS ARE MY OWN
BASED ON 25 YEARS EXPERIENCE
VENDORS MAY NOT LIKE WHAT I SAY!
MENTION OF PRODUCTS, TOOLS, SERVICES & COMPANIES SHOULD
NOT BE TREATED AS AN ENDORSEMENT (OR A CRITICISM)
NAMES HAVE BEEN CHANGED TO PROTECT THE GUILTY!
IF YOUD LIKE A COPY OF THE PRESENTATION THEN GET IN TOUCH
CHAPTERS
1. INTRODUCTION
2. DEFINITIONS
3. CASE STUDY THEMES:
I. JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE?
II.ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
III.THE VALUE OF MASHUPS
IV.SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
V. JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG?
4. CONCLUSIONS
5. Q&A
2  DEFINITIONS
 Big Data
 Small Data
 Data Discovery
2  DEFINITIONS: BIG DATA
 Any offers?
2  DEFINITIONS: BIG DATA  THE TECHNOLOGIST VIEW:
2  DEFINITIONS: BIG DATA  THE STATISTICIAN VIEW:
N= ALL
2  DEFINITIONS: BIG DATA  THE PRACTITIONER VIEW:
 "Big Data refers to things we can do at a large scale that
cannot be done at a smaller one, to extract new insights or
create new forms of value, in ways that change markets,
organisations, the relationship between citizens and
governments, and more"
 (Big Data: A revolution that will transform how we live, work and think". Viktor Mayer-Schonberger and Kenneth
Cukier, John Murray, London, 2013. ISBN: 9781848547933).
2  DEFINITIONS: SMALL DATA
 Any offers?
2  DEFINITIONS: SMALL DATA
 ANY data generated prior to mid 1990s
 Anything which requires N < ALL
 When causation > Correlation
 When a single datapoint matters
 Anything you dont want to label as Big Data
2  DEFINITIONS: DATA DISCOVERY
2  DEFINITIONS: DATA DISCOVERY
Well
documented
Well
documented
2  DEFINITIONS: DATA DISCOVERY - THEORY
Poorly
documented
Poorly
documented
2  DEFINITIONS: DATA DISCOVERY - PRACTICE
CHAPTERS
1. INTRODUCTION
2. DEFINITIONS
3. CASE STUDY THEMES:
I. JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE?
II.ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
III.THE VALUE OF MASHUPS
IV.SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
V. JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG?
4. CONCLUSIONS
5. Q&A
 ONE LETTER THAT PUT A COMPANY OUT OF BUSINESS
 TWO DATA ITEMS THAT DROVE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE ACROSS EUROPE
3 (I)  CASE STUDIES  JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
ONE LETTER THAT PUT A COMPANY OUT OF BUSINESS
3 (I)  CASE STUDIES  JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
ONE LETTER THAT PUT A COMPANY OUT OF BUSINESS
3 (I)  CASE STUDIES  JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
TWO DATA ITEMS THAT DROVE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE ACROSS EUROPE
3 (I)  CASE STUDY  ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE ?
TWO DATA ITEMS THAT DROVE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE ACROSS EUROPE
3 (I)  CASE STUDIES  JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
TWO DATA ITEMS THAT DROVE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE ACROSS EUROPE
3 (I)  CASE STUDIES  JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
TWO DATA ITEMS THAT DROVE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE ACROSS EUROPE
3 (I)  CASE STUDIES  JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
 BIG VOLUME = BIG REVENUE = BIG PROFIT ?
3 (II)  CASE STUDIES  ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
BIG VOLUME = BIG REVENUE
3 (II)  CASE STUDIES  ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
BIG VOLUME = BIG REVENUE = BIG PROFIT ?
3 (II)  CASE STUDIES  ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
BIG VOLUME = BIG REVENUE = BIG PROFIT ?......OR NOT!
3 (II)  CASE STUDIES  ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
 GROWING, ACCORDING TO INTERNAL DATA. EXTERNAL DATA SHOWS?
3 (III)  CASE STUDIES  THE VALUE OF MASHUPS
GROWING
3 (III)  CASE STUDIES  THE VALUE OF MASHUPS
Month
Units
Unit Sales per Month
Own
GROWING MARKET SHARE
3 (III)  CASE STUDIES  THE VALUE OF MASHUPS
Month
Units
Unit Sales per Month
Own
Month
Units
Unit Sales per Month
Competitor
Own
GROWING MARKET SHARE IN A SHRINKING MARKET
3 (III)  CASE STUDIES  THE VALUE OF MASHUPS
Month
Units
Unit Sales per Month
Own
Month
Units
Unit Sales per Month
Competitor
Own
Month
Units
Unit Sales per Month
Competitor
MARKET
Own
 IS THIS DATA RIGHT? ARE YOU SURE? REALLY SURE?
 IF THIS SYSTEM WAS RIGHT WED BE GOING BUST!
3 (IV)  CASE STUDIES  SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
IS THIS DATA RIGHT? ARE YOU SURE? REALLY SURE?
3 (IV)  CASE STUDIES  SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
IS THIS DATA RIGHT? ARE YOU SURE? REALLY SURE?
3 (IV)  CASE STUDIES  SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
09:00:00
10:00:00
11:00:00
12:00:00
13:00:00
14:00:00
15:00:00
16:00:00
17:00:00
(blank)
Contacts
Customer Contacts
IF THIS SYSTEM WAS RIGHT WED BE GOING BUST!
3 (IV)  CASE STUDIES  SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
IF THIS SYSTEM WAS RIGHT WED BE GOING BUST!
3 (IV)  CASE STUDIES  SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
-10000
-5000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
Distributor Profitability (Revenue - Rebate)
Net Rev
Rebate
ROUGHLY RIGHT VERSUS PRECISELY WRONG
3 (V)  CASE STUDIES  JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO
BE WRONG?
 LOSING THE INFORMATION IN THE DATA  DASHBOARD DAZZLE
 ROUGHLY RIGHT VERSUS PRECISELY WRONG
3 (V)  CASE STUDIES  JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO
BE WRONG?
LOSING THE INFORMATION IN THE DATA  DASHBOARD DAZZLE
3 (V)  CASE STUDIES  JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO
BE WRONG?
ROUGHLY RIGHT VERSUS PRECISELY WRONG
3 (V)  CASE STUDIES  JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO
BE WRONG?
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99
Performace(Units)
Day
Performance - Expectedvs Actual
EXPECTED
ACTUAL
Linear (EXPECTED)
Linear (ACTUAL)
1. INTRODUCTION
2. DEFINITIONS
3. CASE STUDY THEMES:
I. JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE?
II.ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
III.THE VALUE OF MASHUPS
IV.SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
V. JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG?
4. CONCLUSIONS
5. Q&A
 START SMALL  SMALL PROJECT, SMALL DATA
 THE SMALLER THE DATA, THE BIGGER THE IMPORTANCE OF DATA QUALITY
 ROUGHLY RIGHT IS QUICKER AND BETTER THAN PRECISELY WRONG
 THE REAL POWER OF ANALYTICS IS WHEN YOU MASH TOGETHER DATA
4 - CONCLUSIONS
4 - CONCLUSIONS
1. INTRODUCTION
2. DEFINITIONS
3. CASE STUDY THEMES:
I. JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE?
II.ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
III.THE VALUE OF MASHUPS
IV.SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
V. JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG?
4. CONCLUSIONS
5. Q&A
oEMAIL: NUTTALL_GARY@HOTMAIL.COM
oTWITTER: @GPN01
oLINKEDIN: HTTP://WWW.LINKEDIN.COM/IN/GARYNUTTALL
oMEETUP: MEETUP MASHUP LONDON: HTTP://WWW.MEETUP.COM/MEETUP-MASHUP-
LONDON/
oBLOGGER: HTTP://MEETUPMASHUP.BLOGSPOT.CO.UK/
5  QUESTIONS ?

More Related Content

CIAFS 2015 - The Importance of Small Data - FINAL

  • 2. CHAPTERS 1. INTRODUCTION 2. DEFINITIONS 3. CASE STUDY THEMES: I. JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE? II.ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE? III.THE VALUE OF MASHUPS IV.SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES V. JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG? 4. CONCLUSIONS 5. Q&A
  • 5. DISCLAIMER ALL VIEWS ARE MY OWN BASED ON 25 YEARS EXPERIENCE VENDORS MAY NOT LIKE WHAT I SAY! MENTION OF PRODUCTS, TOOLS, SERVICES & COMPANIES SHOULD NOT BE TREATED AS AN ENDORSEMENT (OR A CRITICISM) NAMES HAVE BEEN CHANGED TO PROTECT THE GUILTY! IF YOUD LIKE A COPY OF THE PRESENTATION THEN GET IN TOUCH
  • 6. CHAPTERS 1. INTRODUCTION 2. DEFINITIONS 3. CASE STUDY THEMES: I. JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE? II.ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE? III.THE VALUE OF MASHUPS IV.SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES V. JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG? 4. CONCLUSIONS 5. Q&A
  • 7. 2 DEFINITIONS Big Data Small Data Data Discovery
  • 8. 2 DEFINITIONS: BIG DATA Any offers?
  • 9. 2 DEFINITIONS: BIG DATA THE TECHNOLOGIST VIEW:
  • 10. 2 DEFINITIONS: BIG DATA THE STATISTICIAN VIEW: N= ALL
  • 11. 2 DEFINITIONS: BIG DATA THE PRACTITIONER VIEW: "Big Data refers to things we can do at a large scale that cannot be done at a smaller one, to extract new insights or create new forms of value, in ways that change markets, organisations, the relationship between citizens and governments, and more" (Big Data: A revolution that will transform how we live, work and think". Viktor Mayer-Schonberger and Kenneth Cukier, John Murray, London, 2013. ISBN: 9781848547933).
  • 12. 2 DEFINITIONS: SMALL DATA Any offers?
  • 13. 2 DEFINITIONS: SMALL DATA ANY data generated prior to mid 1990s Anything which requires N < ALL When causation > Correlation When a single datapoint matters Anything you dont want to label as Big Data
  • 14. 2 DEFINITIONS: DATA DISCOVERY
  • 15. 2 DEFINITIONS: DATA DISCOVERY
  • 18. CHAPTERS 1. INTRODUCTION 2. DEFINITIONS 3. CASE STUDY THEMES: I. JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE? II.ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE? III.THE VALUE OF MASHUPS IV.SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES V. JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG? 4. CONCLUSIONS 5. Q&A
  • 19. ONE LETTER THAT PUT A COMPANY OUT OF BUSINESS TWO DATA ITEMS THAT DROVE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE ACROSS EUROPE 3 (I) CASE STUDIES JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
  • 20. ONE LETTER THAT PUT A COMPANY OUT OF BUSINESS 3 (I) CASE STUDIES JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
  • 21. ONE LETTER THAT PUT A COMPANY OUT OF BUSINESS 3 (I) CASE STUDIES JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
  • 22. TWO DATA ITEMS THAT DROVE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE ACROSS EUROPE 3 (I) CASE STUDY ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE ?
  • 23. TWO DATA ITEMS THAT DROVE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE ACROSS EUROPE 3 (I) CASE STUDIES JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
  • 24. TWO DATA ITEMS THAT DROVE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE ACROSS EUROPE 3 (I) CASE STUDIES JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
  • 25. TWO DATA ITEMS THAT DROVE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE ACROSS EUROPE 3 (I) CASE STUDIES JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE ?
  • 26. BIG VOLUME = BIG REVENUE = BIG PROFIT ? 3 (II) CASE STUDIES ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
  • 27. BIG VOLUME = BIG REVENUE 3 (II) CASE STUDIES ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
  • 28. BIG VOLUME = BIG REVENUE = BIG PROFIT ? 3 (II) CASE STUDIES ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
  • 29. BIG VOLUME = BIG REVENUE = BIG PROFIT ?......OR NOT! 3 (II) CASE STUDIES ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE?
  • 30. GROWING, ACCORDING TO INTERNAL DATA. EXTERNAL DATA SHOWS? 3 (III) CASE STUDIES THE VALUE OF MASHUPS
  • 31. GROWING 3 (III) CASE STUDIES THE VALUE OF MASHUPS Month Units Unit Sales per Month Own
  • 32. GROWING MARKET SHARE 3 (III) CASE STUDIES THE VALUE OF MASHUPS Month Units Unit Sales per Month Own Month Units Unit Sales per Month Competitor Own
  • 33. GROWING MARKET SHARE IN A SHRINKING MARKET 3 (III) CASE STUDIES THE VALUE OF MASHUPS Month Units Unit Sales per Month Own Month Units Unit Sales per Month Competitor Own Month Units Unit Sales per Month Competitor MARKET Own
  • 34. IS THIS DATA RIGHT? ARE YOU SURE? REALLY SURE? IF THIS SYSTEM WAS RIGHT WED BE GOING BUST! 3 (IV) CASE STUDIES SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
  • 35. IS THIS DATA RIGHT? ARE YOU SURE? REALLY SURE? 3 (IV) CASE STUDIES SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
  • 36. IS THIS DATA RIGHT? ARE YOU SURE? REALLY SURE? 3 (IV) CASE STUDIES SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 09:00:00 10:00:00 11:00:00 12:00:00 13:00:00 14:00:00 15:00:00 16:00:00 17:00:00 (blank) Contacts Customer Contacts
  • 37. IF THIS SYSTEM WAS RIGHT WED BE GOING BUST! 3 (IV) CASE STUDIES SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES
  • 38. IF THIS SYSTEM WAS RIGHT WED BE GOING BUST! 3 (IV) CASE STUDIES SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES -10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 Distributor Profitability (Revenue - Rebate) Net Rev Rebate
  • 39. ROUGHLY RIGHT VERSUS PRECISELY WRONG 3 (V) CASE STUDIES JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG?
  • 40. LOSING THE INFORMATION IN THE DATA DASHBOARD DAZZLE ROUGHLY RIGHT VERSUS PRECISELY WRONG 3 (V) CASE STUDIES JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG?
  • 41. LOSING THE INFORMATION IN THE DATA DASHBOARD DAZZLE 3 (V) CASE STUDIES JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG?
  • 42. ROUGHLY RIGHT VERSUS PRECISELY WRONG 3 (V) CASE STUDIES JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG? -1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 Performace(Units) Day Performance - Expectedvs Actual EXPECTED ACTUAL Linear (EXPECTED) Linear (ACTUAL)
  • 43. 1. INTRODUCTION 2. DEFINITIONS 3. CASE STUDY THEMES: I. JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE? II.ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE? III.THE VALUE OF MASHUPS IV.SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES V. JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG? 4. CONCLUSIONS 5. Q&A
  • 44. START SMALL SMALL PROJECT, SMALL DATA THE SMALLER THE DATA, THE BIGGER THE IMPORTANCE OF DATA QUALITY ROUGHLY RIGHT IS QUICKER AND BETTER THAN PRECISELY WRONG THE REAL POWER OF ANALYTICS IS WHEN YOU MASH TOGETHER DATA 4 - CONCLUSIONS
  • 46. 1. INTRODUCTION 2. DEFINITIONS 3. CASE STUDY THEMES: I. JUST HOW SMALL CAN SMALL BE? II.ARE BIGGEST CUSTOMERS PROFITABLE? III.THE VALUE OF MASHUPS IV.SHINING A LIGHT ON DARK PLACES V. JUST HOW ACCURATELY DO YOU NEED TO BE WRONG? 4. CONCLUSIONS 5. Q&A
  • 47. oEMAIL: NUTTALL_GARY@HOTMAIL.COM oTWITTER: @GPN01 oLINKEDIN: HTTP://WWW.LINKEDIN.COM/IN/GARYNUTTALL oMEETUP: MEETUP MASHUP LONDON: HTTP://WWW.MEETUP.COM/MEETUP-MASHUP- LONDON/ oBLOGGER: HTTP://MEETUPMASHUP.BLOGSPOT.CO.UK/ 5 QUESTIONS ?