Clark Dodsworths AREvent talk, Santa Clara, CA June 3, 2010: "Context is King: AR, AI, Saience, and the Constant Next Scenario" Mostly about smartphone AR as a gateway to context aware computing becoming indispensible.
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Context is King: AR, AI, Salience, and the Constant Next Scenario
2. Process of tool design Empathic pragmatismBroad-based tool knowledge / pattern recognition / intuitivePerspectiveProduct as tool as interface Tool should fit you. WorkUser-centered product strategy, dev, design.
4. Hands-up displaysCommercial helmet-mounted displaysAR TimelineEfficientpower usageDedicated tools begin:Commercial aviation1st car HUD:Cutlass Supreme ARToolkitUW HITLabRear-view mirrorsUseful smart- phone ARSailboat tell-talesUS DoD air-combat testingAugmentedenvironments, sensor nets 1stjetfighter heads-up displayNokias MARA Now20??~190019581970s1974-819881992+19992006Prehistory,soon after invention of the sail.HorsecarriagesThe goalTom Caudell &David MizellUbiComp:Mark WeiserSutherland/Sproull, 68: 1st HMDs
5. AR Phase One current statusSmartphone ecosystem.Hardware & software platforms exist.Infrastructure issues: huge. Power use issues: huge.Privacy/security issues: gigantic.Interoperability issues: roadblocks.ButPhase One AR is just part of transition to mobile broadband as our primary platform.
6. AR Phase TwoSmartphone ecosystem: ------The platform for)(Pervasive computingContext awarenessSemantic WebUbicomp & sensornetsAmbient Intelligence Things that Think...at last.
7. Alfred North Whitehead-(1861-1947)First augmented reality theorist1: Civilization advances by extending the number of important operations which we can perform without thinking of them.----------------------------...AR shouldnt increase cognitive load2: The art of progress is to preserve order amid change and to preserve change amid order. ...AR: contextually dynamic data management & display3: We think in generalities, but we live in detail. ---------------------------...AR tasks: managing detail
8. Next Steps: AR Phase TwoIts all about long-term, sustaining relationships. -Alan Kay (2009), on the computer industry trend toward a service-based model.Phase Two AR: long-term, sustaining,-contextually-dynamic, hyperpersonalized-relationships between users & info services.
9. The available data streams must be far better managed. ...It will just happen first on smartphones.
10. AR Phase TwoAdaptively deliver info, highly personalized via n dimensions of user states, with high space/time precision, without spiking your cognitive load. Augmented Context + Information Salience = Value
11. AR Phase TwoMobility Diversity of use cases / user. User attention = scarce resource. Tool should learn the user. The learning is contextual: context becomes king. Collect & analyze users paths through location, time, tasks, people, queries, interests, decisions... Accretes Deliver predictive, scenario-driven support.Result: Adaptive context analysis manages data delivery: What, when, how much, what modality, what priority. -------------------------------------------------------Especially when not-to.
12. Phase TwoContext Is KingRealtime, context-driven mobile broadband services. The software layer that learns you. Realtime data delivery (live monitoring of processes & states). Constant predictive analytics, contextual filtering/salience eval. Semantic Web:better,-partly-automated-search. Hyperpersonalized database creation, web services. Digital assistants (Sense Networks, Siri) learn you over time.
13. Phase Two Software Allostatic control of data delivery: only the data needed, when needed. Constant autodiscovery of data feeds, sensor feeds. Constant markerless 2D & 3D feature I.D. and object recognition. Motion analysis + evaluation linked to the object recognition. Indoor position mapping: multiple methods. Nuanced gestural interpretation + integration with voice. Constant audio + visual awareness with flagging & interpretation.
20. Laser projector + 3D object geometry awareness: -------------shape-adaptive projection-for-object-augmentation
21. Phase Two Example MarketEntertainment First rule of theme parks: You bring the fun in with you - your friends-& family. The attractions you pay for arent the experience. Now, a new type of friend.For as long as you want.c. Lynne LaCascia, all rights reservedAll images 息 Chimera Design 2007-2008
22. Phase Two Example MarketEntertainmentAny licensed character: a useful buddy, a delivery method on top ofcontext-aware, locational, hyper-personalized services.The character behavior, persona, & animation: Character Skin.
23. Dubailand AR project 07-08 Convert concept to smartphone AR + lots of hidden sensors & projectors. Live & scripted personalized entertainment via licensed characters, + services for hotel, leisure, retail, restaurant, transit,-and-follow visitors home.息 Chimera Design 2007-2008Marvel Superheroes parkPart of Dubailand model:c. Lynne LaCascia, all rights reserved
36. Phase Two Biological Model - ConsciousnessKey functions of consciousness: 1) Constant, integrated analysis & evaluation of surroundings 2) Dynamically judge salience of each aspect of your current situation (state) in context of your goals/needs 3) Constantly construct scenarios for next stepParallel function of AR2: assess, select & deliver salient data Contextual evaluation drives contextual augmentation Software awareness augments users awarenessHistory + current state = basis of decision-making for next state
37. Phase Two Biological ModelThe brains Default Mode Network One of the hardest-working systems in the brain Active only when the brain is notfocused on a particular task 2 linked brain areas: Empathy re: intent of others,-+ your own state awareness Personal memories + visualization of future scenariosState & intent awarenessScenario modeling
38. Default Mode Network of the brainPosterior cingulate cortex, with the precuneus:accessingpersonal memories, visualizingoneself in scenarios.Medial prefrontal cortex:Imagining & modeling-the mindset of others.> Who you are, whats relevant now, and very-near-future scenarios to choose fromBrain photo: Omikron/photoresearchers Network overlay: Olaf Sporns/Indiana Univ. (modified by J. Korenblat)
39. Phase Two ImplementationBrain Default Mode Network: constantly considers what to do next> Observe states/intents, visualize-scenarios/outcomes > Scenario creation supports each next decisionPhase Two mobile broadband services assess, prioritize, & select data ...to support decisions Realtime data mgmt. helps preserve-focus Inverse Content Management System (CMS) ...the filter part Adaptive B2B & B2C service optimization ...the revenue part
40. Facets of Phase Two AREfficiency & revenue from contextual salienceLocation Based-ServicesConstant personal scenario supportAutodiscovery:net services &sensor dataIntegrated sensor,gesture, & voiceHyper-personalization,relationship mgmt.Predictive analytics
41. Facets of Phase Two AREfficiency & revenue from contextual salienceNormal Everyday LifeData interchange standards.Artificial intelligence permeates web svcs.Context awareness.User control of personal data.Constant personal scenario supportAutodiscovery:net services &sensor dataIntegrated sensor,gesture, & voiceHyper-personalization,relationship mgmt.Predictive analyticsBetter interfaces matter.Probabilistic data delivery. Activity awareness & modeling.Adaptive filtering of realtime data.Resource conservation. Manage the info overload.The opposite of advertising.Sensor datastream analytics.QualcommMy6senseAloqua, XiamYour Name HereCanesta, Apple/Siri Softkinetic, NuanceCorventis PachubeSense Networks息 Clark Dodsworth clark@dodsworth.com
44. CreditsFirst use of term, context awareness: Schilit, B., Theimer, M. Disseminating Active Map Information to Mobile Hosts. IEEE Network, 8(5) (1994) 22-32
45. Schilit, Bill.; Adams, Norman; Want, Roy. Context-Aware Computing Applications. 1st International Workshop on Mobile Computing Systems and Applications. (1994) 85-90
46. Default Mode Network paper: Gusnard, DA, Raichle, ME: Searching for a baseline: the resting human brain from the perspective of functional imaging. Nature Reviews Neuroscience, 2001 iLamps: Geometrically Aware and Self-Configuring Projectors, Rascar, et al. 2003Commercial aviation HUD image courtesy Todd Lapin, cc