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息evolve24, 2010
Corporate reputation and
risk management
David Geddes, Ph.D.
Vice President, Research & Development
evolve24, a Maritz Research Company
Saint Louis, Missouri
New York, New York
October 19, 2010
息evolve24, 2010
2
About evolve24
 Global market intelligence through integrated analysis of
traditional and social media
 Integrated enterprise platform
 Real-time document aggregation
 Smart Content through advanced processing and analytics
 Deep understanding of audience segments
 Leading indicators of market shifts, risks and opportunities
息evolve24, 2010
3
Approach
1. Document aggregation
2. Data processing
3. Analytics and rich tagging
 Sentiment
 Reputation
 Risk
 Topics and issues
4. Insights
5. Strategy and tactics
息evolve24, 2010
4
Visualization of SmartContent
息evolve24, 2010
5
What is corporate reputation?
 Collective representation
 Past behaviors
 Expectations
 Relationships
 Networked world
Sources: Duncan J. Watts & Peter S. Dodds (2007). Influentials, networks, and public opinion formation. Journal of Consumer Research, 34 and
Communications Executive Council (2010). Influencing stakeholders in a networked environment.
息evolve24, 2010
6
Where does reputation come from?
What they do
Reputation
Customer
experience
What they say
What is said
about them
Actions
Words
息evolve24, 2010
7
Where does reputation come from?
Corporate
actions
Mainstream media
Stakeholder impact
Customer
experience
Media
Mainstream media
Social / WOM
Social / WOM
Exchange
Relationships
 Stakeholders
 Publics
Reputation
 Cognitive &
substantive
 Affective &
evaluative
Social / WOM
Mainstream media
Customer impact
Business
outcomes
息evolve24, 2010
8
Why does reputation matter?
Resource
Capital asset
Sustainable
competitive advantage
Intangible
Organizational
goals
息evolve24, 2010
9
What links Smart Content and reputation?
 Agenda-setting theory
 Scientifically-validated
 > 400 research studies
 Experimental studies
 Corporate reputation
息evolve24, 2010
10
What is risk?
 State of uncertainty
 Some of the possibilities involve a loss,
catastrophe, or other undesirable outcome
 Psychometric emotional risk model
息evolve24, 2010
11
How do we manage using Smart Content?
息evolve24, 2010
REPUTATION MANAGEMENT AND
MUTUAL FUND CASH FLOWS
Smart Content Case Study
息evolve24, 2010
13
Situation
 Leading mutual fund company
 Cash flows
Industry peers
Client company
 Management assumptions
 Investment drivers
息evolve24, 2010
14
Approach
 Regression analysis of cash flows on financial variables
and reputation
Figure 1: Cumulative Funds Flows and xxxxx Reputation Equity
(50,000)
(40,000)
(30,000)
(20,000)
(10,000)
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
110,000
120,000
130,000
140,000
150,000
160,000
170,000
180,000
190,000
200,000
Jan-00 Jul-00 Jan-01 Jul-01 Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07
fundsflows($millions)
(7,000)
(6,000)
(5,000)
(4,000)
(3,000)
(2,000)
(1,000)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
ReputationEquity
Cumulative Funds Flows (xxxxx) Cumulative Funds Flows / 10 (industry) Reputation Equity (xxxxx)
Fund reputation
Fund $ inflows
Sector $ inflows
息evolve24, 2010
15
Result
 Primary drivers are financial
 Significant role for reputation (R = .74)
息evolve24, 2010
16
Application
 Communications and outreach program
 Trust
 Performance
 Largest gain in net flows in company
history
息evolve24, 2010
REPUTATION MANAGEMENT
IN PHARMACEUTICALS
Smart Content Case Study
息evolve24, 2010
18
Situation
 PharmCo, a major pharma company
 FDA-ordered recall
 Branded nutritional product
息evolve24, 2010
19
Challenge
 Listen
 Organize and share
 Understand stakeholder opinions
 Cognitive
 Emotions and risk factors
 Messages
 Identify
 Engage
 Fix
息evolve24, 2010
20
Who was in the discussion?
Visibility
Sentiment
Doctors
Retailers
Consumer
groups
Health orgs. Regulators
JournalistsParents
息evolve24, 2010
21
What were stakeholders saying?
Stakeholder Key concerns
Health organizations  Share information
Medical professionals  Reassure parents
Consumer groups Open information access
Parents
 Loss of trust
 Safety concerns
 Quality
 Price
息evolve24, 2010
22
What were the emotional risk factors?
Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
Emotional risk in product recall discussions
Top 5 of 19 risk factors
Vulnera-
bility
Dread Irreversa-
bility
Lack of
control
Untrust-
worthy
息evolve24, 2010
23
What were social moms saying?
 Small reputation
impact
 Emotion drivers
Uncertainty
Irreversibility
Vulnerability
息evolve24, 2010
RISK MANAGEMENT AND
ALTERNATIVE ENERGY
Smart Content Case Study
息evolve24, 2010
25
Situation
 Global manufacturer
 European Union 20/20 alternative energy
initiative
 Corporate strategy and policy teams
 European fiscal crisis
 Political winds
 Where to invest?
息evolve24, 2010
26
Challenge
 Monitor
 Organize information
 Gauge opinion
 Weak signals
 Threats
 Anticipate
 Reach out
息evolve24, 2010
27
Political risk analysis by energy source
Risk score
Volume
Events
Weekly risk
息evolve24, 2010
28
Political risk analysis: Wind by country
Risk score
Volume
息evolve24, 2010
29
Political risk analysis: Topics and issues
Risk score
Risk contribution by topic
Offshore
wind
Wind &
economy
Energy
& jobs
Wind
opposition
Wind &
jobs
息evolve24, 2010
30
Influencers
Companies &
organizations
People
Influence
息evolve24, 2010
31
Political risk analysis: Wind summary
 Increased discourse
Wind
Renewables
 Wind
More negativity
 Energy and financial
crisis
France, Spain
UK, Ireland, Greece,
Bulgaria
 Offshore vs. onshore
Debate
Polarization
息evolve24, 2010
SUMMARY
息evolve24, 2010
QUESTIONS?
Thank you

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Corporate reputation and risk management

Editor's Notes

  • #6: Corporate reputation is a collective representation by stakeholder audiences of a firms past actions, results, and communications. Individuals and groups create, share, reinforce, and modify these representations They are cultural constructs. Research shows that reputation has both cognitive and affective dimensions. Reputation encapsulates expectations by stakeholders about future behaviors of the corporation, and thus determines the relationships between the organization and its stakeholders. Corporations that routinely monitor, measure, and evaluate their reputation, risk, and the drivers of reputation and risk among specific stakeholder audiences will be able to identify opportunities and threats, develop action plans, and support the achievement of desired business outcomes. In a networked world, corporations must re-orient their listening in the competitive marketplace to be faster, smarter, and more stakeholder centric. By understanding, through content analytics, leading indicators of opinion trends towards a company, its brands, its products and services, and by understanding issues, topics, and market trends, companies can take steps to gain competitive advantage and protect themselves from risk. This presentation will look at applications of Smart Content.
  • #9: A strong reputation becomes a capital asset, a resource, a competitive advantage, and an intangible that the firm can manage to support organizational goals. A small but compelling set of studies does show a statistical relationship between corporate reputation and business outcomes. Positively affects stock performance Improves financial performance Attracts investment and lowers long-term cost of capital Dampens risk Helps attract customers and support growth Commands a price premium Supports stock price in times of uncertainty Adds to stock price by capturing intangible assets Intangibles lead to a sustainable competitive advantage
  • #10: Agenda-setting theory is thescientifically-validated link between a companys presence in the media and reputation. Agenda setting theory was developed by Maxwell McCombs and Donald Shaw in 1968 General theory validated by over 400 field research studies around the world, primarily in political science Validated in experimental studies Extended to corporate reputation
  • #11: What is risk? Risk is a state of uncertainty where some of the possibilities involve a loss, catastrophe, or other undesirable outcome with respect to issues and situations. Risk deals with the future the unknown. Emotion comes into play. We worked with a team of academic neuropsychologists to develop a 19 dimension model of risk.
  • #14: Problem: Significant net outflow the client company funds over six year period. Assumption: The management felt that fund performance drove investment in their funds. Was there a relationship between net flows and shifts in perception about the company or its fund managers?
  • #15: Solution: A statistical evaluation to determine the potential contribution of Janus reputation into the investment decision of investors.
  • #17: Result: Relationship between reputation and net flows was found and led to the launch of a successful communications and outreach program focused on trust, versus performance, resulting in largest gain in net flows in company history
  • #20: Use content analytics to Listen to stakeholders Organize and share information across the enterprise Understand stakeholder opinions Cognitive messages and opinions Emotions and risk factors Identify influencers Opportunities and threats Engage and communicate Fix the problem
  • #22: We could identify what the stakeholders were talking about. These are the rational, cognitive elements of the communications landscape.
  • #23: Vulnerability: A mommy blogger said: It is a sad commentary on our fast pace world that we can not even protect our innocent babes! Dread: An AP news story said: Worried parents have bombarded the maker of XYZ with phone calls and peppered Facebook and Twitter pages over fears about the top-selling [product] after millions of cans were recalled. Uncontrollability: A blogger said: We were hitting with 3 to 4 devices and finally got through Then after 8 to 10 minutes, we got a notice saying its been recalled. Irreversibility: A new mother said on local TV news: "I was quite upset because we'd already fed him some milk from the powdered containers. Untrustworthy: A father said on local TV news: "I'd say I've lost a little bit of faith in that brand. It was sold to us at the hospital when he was born.We were loyal to that product.
  • #24: Uncertainty But, these kinds of emotions can have an impact on buying behaviors if they grow.