COVID-19: Shifting Gears in Mobility
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Presentation focusing on the COVID-19 crisis and opportunities, highlighting social equity, public transit, and shared mobility impacts.
COVID-19: Shifting Gears in Mobility
- 1. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 0 COVID-19:SHIFTING GEARS IN MOBILITY Sus an Shahe e n, P h.D. Dire c to r, R e s ilie nt and Innovative M o b ility Initiative U C Ins titute o f Tr ans p o r tatio n Stud ie s
- 2. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 1 Presentation Overview • COVID-19 Challenges • Social Equity Considerations • COVID-19 Opportunities • PublicTransportation • Shared Mobility • Navigating A New Normal
- 3. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 2 COVID-19 Crisis … • Economic recession causing devastating impacts on employment & transportation • Gas tax revenue reductions • VMT down: 39% in Detroit, 39% Miami, 44% in Los Angeles, 49% in Dallas, 52% Seattle • Public transit operators reduce schedules, routes, and operating hours • Many drivers getting more reckless • Shared mobility companies redirecting service, closures, and layoffs • Need to quickly address immediate job and transportation impacts & restore safe / healthy mobility
- 4. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 3 Social Equity Considerations • Critical to understand inter- relationships among job and food access, housing, public health, and mobility • Need to ensure lack of mobility does not exacerbate poverty and homelessness • Opportunities for public transit operators, cities, and private companies to advance mobility needs and strengthen economic resilience, particularly for most vulnerable populations
- 5. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 4 COVID-19 Opportunities… • 6% drop in CO2 emissions predicted in 2020 • VMT and number of car crashes down • Active transport policies: • Milan announces 22 miles of streets to be converted to pedestrian / bicycle space • Buenos Aires expanding active transportation infrastructure • Opportunities for slow streets, telecommuting, shared mobility & public transit options • Focus on policy, partnerships & people • Create more equitable, innovative, sustainable & resilient transportation
- 6. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 5 PublicTransit Impacts • APTA forecasts reduction in farebox revenue of 75% over next 6 months • Public transit reducing schedules, routes & operating hours • Some increasing off-peak/low-density service gaps (e.g., Miami Metrobus/Go Nightly) • Public transit agencies eligible to receive $25B in emergency funding (CARES Act)
- 7. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 6 PUBLICTRANSIT DECLINE • Active public transit users skewed toward low-income households • Food service & healthcare represent greatest percentage of travelers PUBLICTRANSIT RENAISSANCE • Very little mode shift for those still traveling (U.S. and Canada) • Spanish speakers more likely to continue using public transit (i.e., Los Angeles) RebuildingTrust in PublicTransportation TRANSIT APP SURVEY In-app survey (n=15K – US; n=10K – Canada)
- 8. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 7 PUBLICTRANSIT DECLINE • Public transit likely slower to recover as travelers exercise social distancing & fear higher-occupancy modes • More likely if COVID-19 has multiple waves (e.g., resurgence in infections, new viral strands, etc.) PUBLICTRANSIT RENAISSANCE • Ridership increases due to economic hardship and restructured services • Innovations and bold policy measures (e.g., free transit, microtransit options) • Flexible financial model to reinforce this RebuildingTrust in PublicTransportation
- 9. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 8 Varied Micromobility Impacts • In NYC, Citi Bike ridership increased 67% compared to March 2019 • Washington, D.C.’s CaBi expanding low- income access to $5 annual memberships • Other communities request fleet reductions (e.g., Sacramento) or ban (e.g., Miami) micromobility due to COVID-19 transmission concerns; some layoffs (e.g. , Bird) • In Mid-April, Lime suspends all service except South Korea • Number of companies enhancing cleaning procedures (e.g., NanoSeptic handlebars)
- 10. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 9 TNCs & POOLING • Dramatic usage declines • Partnerships for essential workers and medical appointments • In mid-March, Lyft and Uber suspend pooled ride options due to COVID-19 transmission concerns
- 11. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 10 NAVIGATINGA NEW NORMAL • Turn crisis into opportunity • Key role for public policy (e.g., public transit finance, telecommuting, micromobility)? • Focus on people’s needs central to response • Maximize social & environmental benefits in transportation recovery, particularly social equity • How can shared mobility help households that are no longer able to afford a personal vehicle? • Understand impacts/opportunities for taxi andTNC drivers who have invested in car loans to generate income
- 12. CALIFORNIARESILIENT ANDINNOVATIVE MOBILITYINITIATIVE 11 THANKYOU H T T P S : / / W W W. U C I T S . O R G / I M I / SUSAN SHAHEEN (510) 642-9168 sshaheen@ucits.org SusanShaheen1 Susan Shaheen