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Workshop  What are the
Regulators Thinking?
Canadian Conference for Credit Union Leaders
May 3, 2011



       Richard Gresser
       Managing Director, Bank Capital
       OSFI
Agenda

Regulatory Capital Changes
Supervisory Concerns




                             2
Regulatory Capital Changes

What are the objectives of Basel III?

3.   Macro Economic Concerns
4.   Missing Parts
5.   Emphasis on Capital
6.   Better Risk Assessment




                                        3
The Macro Concerns
Systemic Risk and Interconnectedness
 Interconnectedness among large global
  systemically important financial institutions
  (GSIFIs) transmitted shocks across the
  financial system and economy
 Solutions being envisaged:
    Capital surcharges
    Contingent capital
    Bail-in debt
 To be developed in 2011



                                                  4
The Macro Concerns
Countercyclical Capital Buffer
 Excessive credit growth  Period of
  financial stress  bank reduce credit
  supply to maintain solvency  real
  economy affected  additional credit
  losses in banking system
 Countercyclical buffer to be built up capital
  buffer when aggregate credit growth is
  excessive  increasing credit cost 
  dampen credit growth
 Buffer 0 to 2.5% of RWA  expected to be
  deployed on an infrequent basis (once
  every 10 to 20 years)
                                                  5
The Missing Pieces

 The financial crisis demonstrated that the
  regulatory tool box needed to be expanded
  -- risk-based capital requirements are
  essential but not sufficient

 Basel III will introduce liquidity requirements
  and leverage constraints




                                                    6
Liquidity

 Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)
    To ensure enough short term liquid assets are
     available
    Banks to have enough high-quality liquid assets
     to withstand a 30-day funding scenario specified
     by supervisors
 Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR)
    To limit over-reliance on short-term wholesale
     funding and encourage better assessment of
     liquidity risk
    Banks to have enough sources of funding over a
     one-year horizon


                                                        7
Leverage
 Excessive build-up of on- and off-balance
  sheet leverage contributed to the financial
  crisis.
 A leverage ratio will be introduced to act as
  a backstop to the risk-based capital
  requirements
 Leverage ratio also introduces additional
  safeguards against model risk and
  measurements error risk present in the risk-
  based approach
 Unlike most countries, Canada already has
  leverage constraints

                                                  8
Emphasis on Capital
 Risk-based regulatory capital is the core
  instrument of financial regulation but crisis
  highlighted deficiencies
    Emphasis should be on capital of the highest
     quality (i.e. truly loss absorbing)  rules
     emphasize common equity requirements (or
     equivalent for non-stock entities)
    Definition of capital should be more uniform in all
     countries  deductions from capital harmonized
     internationally
    The requirements should be higher  7%
     minimum common equity ratio; 10.5% total
     capital


                                                           9
Better Risk Assessment

 Another lesson from the crisis has been the
  need to strengthen the risk coverage of the
  capital framework
 Trading book and securitization rules
  already strengthened in 2009 (stressed
  VAR; higher capital requirements for
  resecuritizations)
 Counterparty Credit Risk rules to be
  improved  incentives the use of central
  counterparties to reduce counterparty credit
  risk

                                                 10
Supervisory Concerns


1. Enterprise Risk Management
2. Stress Testing
3. Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment




                                          11
Enterprise Risk Management

 Continued emphasis on ERM
 A framework for risk management which
  involves:
   identifying particular events or circumstances
    relevant to the institution's objectives (risks and
    opportunities),
   assessing them in terms of likelihood and
    magnitude of impact
   determining a response strategy
   monitoring progress




                                                          12
Enterprise Risk Management
 A way to aggregate similar risks or
  exposures across the organization and get
  a good understanding of what the risks,
  based on historical experience that
  produces the benefit of:
    Apples to apples comparison of risk adjusted
     returns
    Manage a complex web of risks against an
     enterprise wide risk appetite (the risks may be
     greater or less than the sum of the parts)
 Need to do more/better stress testing
    Challenge historical experience
    Anticipate impact of sea change in markets

                                                       13
Stress Testing

 A key risk management tool
 Used to evaluate the potential effects on an
  institutions financial condition of a set of
  specific changes in risk factors,
  corresponding to exceptional but plausible
  events
 Financial crisis underlined the importance of
  stress testing and also shortcomings of
  stress testing practices
 OSFI Guideline on Stress Testing
  December 2009

                                                  14
Expectations for Stress Testing

 Commensurate with the nature and
  complexity of the institution and with its risk
  profile
 Embedded in enterprise wide risk
  management
 Actionable
 Feed into the institutions decision making
  process




                                                    15
ICAAP

 Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment
  Process
 Capital requirements set out in the Basel
  Framework and in OSFIs CAR guideline for
  banks are regulatory minimums that
  assume a highly granular and widely
  diversified portfolio of risks
 Guideline issued October 2010 sets out
  expectations for banks



                                              16
ICAAP

 Through ICAAP, an institution sets its
  internal capital target and develops
  strategies for achieving the target that are
  consistent with its business plan, risk profile
  and operating environment
 ICAAP is a vital component of a strong risk
  management process




                                                    17
ICAAP

 Stress testing is a key part of ICAAP
 The results of rigorous, forward-looking
  stress testing should be considered when
  looking at the adequacy of an institutions
  capital
 OSFI assesses institutions ICAAPs as part
  of the supervisory review process




                                                18
Proportionality
in Stress Testing and ICAAP

   Formalization and sophistication of ICAAPs will
    differ, depending on the institutions complexity,
    range of business activities risk profile, and
    operating environment

   The board has ultimate responsibility for the
    overall stress testing program and should be
    aware of the key findings from stress tests.

   Senior management is accountable for the
    programs implementation, management and
    oversight and for ensuring that the institution
    has adequate plans to deal with remote but
    plausible stress scenarios.


                                                         19
Rules vs. Supervisory Review

 Capital and Liquidity Rules are not a safe
  harbor, they are minimums
 OSFI Supervisory review assesses
    Inherent risk of significant businesses and the
     direction of those risks. (analog of rules
     quantitative standards)
    Quality of risk management and whether it
     mitigates or amplifies inherent risk
 Rules could be seen as a sort of baseline
  for inherent risk and risk management
  assessments


                                                       20
Summary


 The financial crisis has prompted regulators
  to review the regulatory framework to:
      Address macro economic concerns
      Improve risk measurement
      Require more and better quality capital
      Reduce counterparty credit risk
      Introduce liquidity and leverage standards
      Improve internal risk management and controls
       (ERM, ICAAP, Stress testing)
 How will this impact provincially regulated
  Credit Unions?

                                                       21

More Related Content

Credit Union Leaders Conference May 2011

  • 1. Workshop What are the Regulators Thinking? Canadian Conference for Credit Union Leaders May 3, 2011 Richard Gresser Managing Director, Bank Capital OSFI
  • 3. Regulatory Capital Changes What are the objectives of Basel III? 3. Macro Economic Concerns 4. Missing Parts 5. Emphasis on Capital 6. Better Risk Assessment 3
  • 4. The Macro Concerns Systemic Risk and Interconnectedness Interconnectedness among large global systemically important financial institutions (GSIFIs) transmitted shocks across the financial system and economy Solutions being envisaged: Capital surcharges Contingent capital Bail-in debt To be developed in 2011 4
  • 5. The Macro Concerns Countercyclical Capital Buffer Excessive credit growth Period of financial stress bank reduce credit supply to maintain solvency real economy affected additional credit losses in banking system Countercyclical buffer to be built up capital buffer when aggregate credit growth is excessive increasing credit cost dampen credit growth Buffer 0 to 2.5% of RWA expected to be deployed on an infrequent basis (once every 10 to 20 years) 5
  • 6. The Missing Pieces The financial crisis demonstrated that the regulatory tool box needed to be expanded -- risk-based capital requirements are essential but not sufficient Basel III will introduce liquidity requirements and leverage constraints 6
  • 7. Liquidity Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) To ensure enough short term liquid assets are available Banks to have enough high-quality liquid assets to withstand a 30-day funding scenario specified by supervisors Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) To limit over-reliance on short-term wholesale funding and encourage better assessment of liquidity risk Banks to have enough sources of funding over a one-year horizon 7
  • 8. Leverage Excessive build-up of on- and off-balance sheet leverage contributed to the financial crisis. A leverage ratio will be introduced to act as a backstop to the risk-based capital requirements Leverage ratio also introduces additional safeguards against model risk and measurements error risk present in the risk- based approach Unlike most countries, Canada already has leverage constraints 8
  • 9. Emphasis on Capital Risk-based regulatory capital is the core instrument of financial regulation but crisis highlighted deficiencies Emphasis should be on capital of the highest quality (i.e. truly loss absorbing) rules emphasize common equity requirements (or equivalent for non-stock entities) Definition of capital should be more uniform in all countries deductions from capital harmonized internationally The requirements should be higher 7% minimum common equity ratio; 10.5% total capital 9
  • 10. Better Risk Assessment Another lesson from the crisis has been the need to strengthen the risk coverage of the capital framework Trading book and securitization rules already strengthened in 2009 (stressed VAR; higher capital requirements for resecuritizations) Counterparty Credit Risk rules to be improved incentives the use of central counterparties to reduce counterparty credit risk 10
  • 11. Supervisory Concerns 1. Enterprise Risk Management 2. Stress Testing 3. Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment 11
  • 12. Enterprise Risk Management Continued emphasis on ERM A framework for risk management which involves: identifying particular events or circumstances relevant to the institution's objectives (risks and opportunities), assessing them in terms of likelihood and magnitude of impact determining a response strategy monitoring progress 12
  • 13. Enterprise Risk Management A way to aggregate similar risks or exposures across the organization and get a good understanding of what the risks, based on historical experience that produces the benefit of: Apples to apples comparison of risk adjusted returns Manage a complex web of risks against an enterprise wide risk appetite (the risks may be greater or less than the sum of the parts) Need to do more/better stress testing Challenge historical experience Anticipate impact of sea change in markets 13
  • 14. Stress Testing A key risk management tool Used to evaluate the potential effects on an institutions financial condition of a set of specific changes in risk factors, corresponding to exceptional but plausible events Financial crisis underlined the importance of stress testing and also shortcomings of stress testing practices OSFI Guideline on Stress Testing December 2009 14
  • 15. Expectations for Stress Testing Commensurate with the nature and complexity of the institution and with its risk profile Embedded in enterprise wide risk management Actionable Feed into the institutions decision making process 15
  • 16. ICAAP Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process Capital requirements set out in the Basel Framework and in OSFIs CAR guideline for banks are regulatory minimums that assume a highly granular and widely diversified portfolio of risks Guideline issued October 2010 sets out expectations for banks 16
  • 17. ICAAP Through ICAAP, an institution sets its internal capital target and develops strategies for achieving the target that are consistent with its business plan, risk profile and operating environment ICAAP is a vital component of a strong risk management process 17
  • 18. ICAAP Stress testing is a key part of ICAAP The results of rigorous, forward-looking stress testing should be considered when looking at the adequacy of an institutions capital OSFI assesses institutions ICAAPs as part of the supervisory review process 18
  • 19. Proportionality in Stress Testing and ICAAP Formalization and sophistication of ICAAPs will differ, depending on the institutions complexity, range of business activities risk profile, and operating environment The board has ultimate responsibility for the overall stress testing program and should be aware of the key findings from stress tests. Senior management is accountable for the programs implementation, management and oversight and for ensuring that the institution has adequate plans to deal with remote but plausible stress scenarios. 19
  • 20. Rules vs. Supervisory Review Capital and Liquidity Rules are not a safe harbor, they are minimums OSFI Supervisory review assesses Inherent risk of significant businesses and the direction of those risks. (analog of rules quantitative standards) Quality of risk management and whether it mitigates or amplifies inherent risk Rules could be seen as a sort of baseline for inherent risk and risk management assessments 20
  • 21. Summary The financial crisis has prompted regulators to review the regulatory framework to: Address macro economic concerns Improve risk measurement Require more and better quality capital Reduce counterparty credit risk Introduce liquidity and leverage standards Improve internal risk management and controls (ERM, ICAAP, Stress testing) How will this impact provincially regulated Credit Unions? 21

Editor's Notes

  • #15: The guideline sets out OSFIs expectations with respect to the use of stress testing by all federally regulated financial institutions banks, insurers and credit union centrals.
  • #16: Actionable playing an important role in facilitating the development of risk mitigation or contingency plans across a range of stressed conditions Feed into the institutions decision making process, including setting risk appetite, setting exposure limits and evaluating strategic choices in longer term business planning
  • #17: ICAAP guideline does not apply to credit union centrals federal test is a leverage test - not a risk based capital test
  • #18: .
  • #19: An institutions capital planning process should incorporate rigorous, forward-looking stress testing that identifies possible events or changes in market conditions that could adversely impact the institutions. In their ICAAPs, institutions should examine future capital resources and capital requirements under adverse scenarios. The results of forward-looking stress testing should be considered when evaluating the adequacy of an institutions capital.