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Innovation, Marketing and New
               Technology Foresight
                                Dr. Stephen Flinter, Science Foundation Ireland




Research for Irelands Future
Innovation, Marketing and New Technology Foresight 2011
About SFI
 Founded in 2000

 Statutory body in 2003

 Annual budget 161m (2011), 156m (2012)

 Three core areas:
   ICT
   Life Sciences
   Energy
SFI Programmes
 Research Frontiers (>500 awards)
   50k-150k (p.a.)

 Principal Investigator (>100 awards)
   150-500k (p.a.)

 Strategic Research Cluster (19 awards)
   1m-1.5m (p.a.)

 Centres for Science Engineering and Technology (9
  awards)
   2m-3.5m (p.a.)
SFI Process
 Open calls

 Investigator-driven

 Bottom-up selection

 Expert, international peer review panels
Innovation, Marketing and New Technology Foresight 2011
Watts Steam Engine (1775)
Stephensons Rocket
      (1829)
Bells Telephone (1876)
Edisons Light Bulb (1878)
Benzs Internal Combustion
      Engine (1896)
Marconis Transatlantic
 Transmission (1901)
Broadcast Television (1936)
Powered Flight (1903)
Supersonic Flight (1947)
Space Flight (1957)
Commercial Supersonic
      (1969)
Commercial Bulk Carriers
       (1969)
Apollo 11  Moon Landing
          (1969)
Low Cost Airlines (1985-)
Innovation, Marketing and New Technology Foresight 2011
Platform Technologies
 Processing

 Storage

 Display

 Communications

 Sensing
Moores Law
 The number of transistors on an integrated circuit
  doubles every 2 years

 The processor speed doubles every 18 months
Moores Law
Clock Speed
Multicore Processors




      Intel Core i7 Processor
Storage
Reducing Cost of Storage




  http://www.mkomo.com/cost-per-gigabyte
Samsung EcoGreen F2
         HD103SI 1TB (2009)
 1TB capacity

 69
Samsung Spinpoint F4EG 
      2TB (2010)
 2TB capacity

 89.95
Samsung Spinpoint F4EG 
      2TB (2011)
 2TB capacity

 179.95
Flash Memory
iPod
 Introduced October
  2001

 5 & 10 GB capacities
iPod Touch
 Introduced September
  2007

 8, 32, 64GB
The Innovators Dilemma
 Clayton M. Christensen
  (2000)
Displays: from CRT to LCD
Touch Sensitive Displays
Electronic Paper




Amazon Kindle 3   Sony Prototype Flexible EPD
Guesture-based Interaction
Communications
 7.2mbps wireless (HSDPA)

 ~7mbps (WiMAX)

 20mbps wired broadband

 75-300mbps wireless (3G LTE)

 100mbps WiFi (802.11n)

 100-1000mbps wireless (4G)

 1000mbps LAN
Photonics
 Used to support
  backbone networks

 40 gbps  1.5 tbps
Cognative Radio
 Ultra wide band

 Multiple frequencies

 Software defined radio
Positional Sensors




GPS Sensor             In-car Sat Nav
Chemical/Environmental
                Sensors




Microfluidics array & phosphate sensor package  NCSR & Clarity CSET
Home/Building Sensors
Body Sensors




An Post cycle team at being fitted with Foster Miller sensor vest (Clarity Centre)
Innovation, Marketing and New Technology Foresight 2011
Internet & World Wide Web


                         Web 1.0                                        Web 2.0

Pre-92   1992   1993   1994   1995   1996   1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009
Web 3.0  Semantic Web
 Ascribing meaning to
  data

 Linked Data
   Connecting disparate
    data sources




                           DERI sig.ma semantic search engine
Internet of Things
 Billions or even trillions
  of connected devices

 Both wired & wireless

 Sensor web & semantic
  web
Assisted Living
 Using sensor web to
  monitor well being

 Fall detection

 Variations in daily
  routine
Medical Devices
 Advanced signal
  processing

 Real-time data analysis

 Connected devices




                            Neonatal brain monitoring at UCC
Location Awareness
 Mobile devices

 Multiple sensors

 Layer additional
  information based on
  location




                         Layar augmented reality
Data Analytics
 Measuring your
  website

 personal finances

 business

 warehouse

 retail centre
Data Mining & Visualisation
 Enormous growth in
  volume of data

 Growing need to
  analyse and visualise
  data




                          Data visualisation  SFI Clique SRC
Conclusions
 Platform technologies continue to develop at
  exponential pace

 New applications emerging to exploit platform
  technologies

 Innovation happening at the integration points

 Analyzing the data becoming increasingly harder

 Sensor-based technologies next big thing
Contact
stephen.flinter@sfi.ie

@sflinter (Twitter)

http://flinter.com/contact

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Innovation, Marketing and New Technology Foresight 2011

Editor's Notes

  • #8: Grazebrook Engine, 1817, Birmingham EnglandOldest steam engine still capable of doing its original job.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Grazebrook_Beam_Engine.jpg
  • #9: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Stephenson%27s_Rocket_drawing.jpg
  • #10: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:1876_Bell_Speaking_into_Telephone.jpg
  • #12: Replica of Benz Patent Motorwagen Engine, 1896http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Benz_Patent_Motorwagen_Engine.jpg
  • #13: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Marconi_at_newfoundland.jpg
  • #14: First regular, scheduled broadcasts of TV in November 1936 by BBC.
  • #15: Wright brothers, December 17, 1903Kitty Hawk, North Carolinahttp://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/imagegallery/image_feature_976.html
  • #16: Bell X-1, flown by Captain Charles Chuck Yaeger, 14 October 1947http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bell_X-1
  • #17: Soviet Semyorka R7 Rockethttp://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Semyorka_Rocket_R7_by_Sergei_Korolyov_in_VDNH_Ostankino_RAF0540.jpgSputnik 1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Sputnik_asm.jpg
  • #18: ConcordeMaiden flight 1969, introdued into commercial service in 1976http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concorde
  • #25: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore's_law
  • #28: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:5.25_inch_MFM_hard_disk_drive.JPG5.25 hard drive has 110MB
  • #29: Matt Komorowski
  • #30: http://www.networkworld.com/news/2008/022508-1988-vs-2008-a-tech.html
  • #35: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Ipod_Touch_1st_Generation.JPG
  • #38: Microsoft Surface & Apple iPhone
  • #39: On the left, Amazon Kindle 3On the right, Sony Prototype Flexible Electronic Paper Displayhttp://www.sonyinsider.com/2010/09/14/sony-shows-off-prototype-flexible-electronic-paper-display/
  • #40: On the left, Nintendo Wii controllerOn the right, Microsoft Xbox360 Kinect
  • #49: Arpanet started in 1969