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1   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Prospering In 2011
Henry H. Harteveldt, Vice President, Principal Analyst
Twitter: @hharteveldt

December 10, 2010




2   息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
      2010
We depend on the kindness of strangers
                         but by better understanding our customers and their
                         use of technology, we can be more independent and
                         successful.

        3     息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited

Source: Warner Bros.
Agenda


What is the 2011 outlook for leisure travel?
How do different generations of leisure travelers interact
 with technology to plan and shop for travel online?
What affects the decision making of different generations
when planning a tripand what should you do to
succeed?




4   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Agenda


What is the 2011 outlook for leisure travel?
How do different generations of leisure travelers interact
 with technology to plan and shop for travel online?
What affects the decision making of different generations
when planning a tripand what should you do to
succeed?




5   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Numerous factors can affect economic recovery and
         consumers willingness to travel




        6     息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Sources: Google Images
College grads are twice as likely to be employed as
          people with only a high-school degree




         7     息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Q3 2010 Customer Confidence -3 Points from Q3 09




8   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
2010 consumer retail sales are ahead of 2009,
creating hope for 2011
    $ millions
    $450,000
    $400,000
    $350,000
    $300,000
    $250,000                                                                        2008
    $200,000                                                                        2009
    $150,000                                                                        2010

    $100,000
     $50,000
               $0
                          Jan.Feb.Mar. Apr. May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
       Source: US Dept. Of Commerce, US Census Bureau Monthly Retail Trade Report
9     息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
        2010
Most travelers intend to spend about the same on
 travel in 2011 as they did in 2010
       How do you and members of your household expect your travel-related spending
                         will change in the NEXT 12 MONTHS?

                        Seniors (66+)            13% 10%                       57%                    8% 12%
         Older Boomers (55-65)                    16% 11%                          58%                   4%10%
     Younger Boomeers (45-54)                   12% 11%                        56%                    6% 14%
                       Gen X (31-44)             15% 8%                         58%                    6%11%
                       Gen Y (18-30)            13% 13%                         54%                  4% 15%

                                             0%           20%           40%          60%           80%          100%
                                  Spend at least 10% more
                                  Spend 5% to 10% more
                                  No change in travel spending
                                  Spend 5% to 10% less
                                  Spend at least 10% less
                                  My household spends no money on leisure travel
                                                              Base: US online leisure travelers
         Source: North American Technographics Retail, Travel, Customer Experience, And Financial Services Benchmark
10     息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Survey, Q3 2010 (US, Canada)
         2010
Forecast: $840 million of tours and packages to be booked
 online in 2011 in the US, up from $790 million in 2010


     $120

     $100

      $80
                                                                                     Tours/packages
                                                                                     Cruises
      $60
                                                                                     Rental cars
      $40                                                                            Hotel
                                                                                     Air
      $20

       $0
         2010                      2011                         2012   2013   2014
       Source: Forresters US Online Leisure Travel Forecast, 2009-2014
11    息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
        2010
Travelers embrace neoFrugal Chic

             Saving as a point of pride
             Every major purchase is
              heavily researched and
              considered
             Travel is a reward, not an
              entitlement




       12     息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited

Source: Google Images
Agenda


 What is the 2011 outlook for leisure travel?
 How do different generations of leisure travelers
  interact with technology to plan and shop for
  travel online?
 What affects the decision making of different generations
 when planning a tripand what should you do to
 succeed?




13   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
More than half of online travelers are under age 45


                                                   US leisure online travelers


                                      10%                                                Gen Y (18-20)
                                                               22%
                                                                                         Gen X (31-44)
                   19%
                                                                                         Younger Boomers (45-
                                                                                         54)
                                                                                         Older Boomers (55-65)
                                                               30%
                           19%                                                           Seniors (66+)




                                                  Base: US online leisure travelers
                                Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
14   息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
       2010
Boomers spend the most on leisure travel
                    Index of reported 2010 annual leisure travel spending
                                                                        Average

                            Seniors (66+)                                                                    95

                                                                 Boomers and Seniors account
       Older Boomers (55-65)                                       for 51% of leisure travel                       109
                                                                          spending

     Younger Boomers (45-54)                                                                                       110


                          Gen X (31-44)                                                                       99


                          Gen Y (18-30)                                                                 88

                                                    Base: US online leisure travelers
                                  Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
15     息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
         2010
Technology is a means to an end


          The younger the traveler, the more open
           they are to technology
          Travelers may like technology, but

          Most dont see technology as being
           important to them
          Put customer benefits at the forefront of
           any technology solution you offer  dont
           let technology get in the way




      16      息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Source: Google Images
Travelers may find digital channels easy to use, but most
 dont enjoy the online travel planning and booking process
                                     Percent who agree with the following statements
                            (4 or 5 on scale of 1 (disagree completely) to 5 (agree completely)


                                                                                 70%
                    Gen Y (18-30)
                                                                         51%

                                                                                  72%
                    Gen X (31-44)
                                                                        49%    It's easy to use the
                                                                               Internet to plan and buy
     Younger Boomers (45-                                                  70% travel
             54)                                                      45%      I enjoy planning and
                                                                               buying travel on the
                                                                          67% Internet
     Older Boomers (55-65)
                                                                      46%

                                                                          55%
                      Seniors (66+)
                                                                 35%
                                                    Base: US online leisure travelers
                                  Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
17     息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
         2010
We make it increasingly confusing for our customers
         to buy our products and get the value they seek

           Do I have to pay to                                           Is it a nice hotel? Is it
            check my bags?                                                    safe? Which is
           How much? Are you                                              better, a superior or
              kidding me?                                                     deluxe room?

                                                                          Would I save money
           When is the weather                                            if I went on another
                 best?                                                     day? Or a different
                                                                                 month?

            Where are some
            nice places to eat
                                                                          How can I trust what
            and shop? What
                                                                           youre telling me?
           else is there to do?

                                Should I buy the cheapest fare or something else?
                                   Remember, this is your inheritance were talking
      18      息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited about.
Source: Google Images
Compared to 2008, 22% more US leisure travelers in
         2010 would use a travel agent if they could find one




                                                   Base: US online leisure travelers
   Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010; North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2008
      19      息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Source: Google Images
Were not setting ourselves up for success in 2011


  Most leisure travelers in 2010 dont feel that travel Web sites allow them to
   obtain the information they need to make well-informed decisions about
   what to buy
  Boomers and Seniors dont feel theyre able to obtain the value they seek
   and expect from travel Web sites

  A critical mass of travelers dont trust the Internet to give them accurate
   travel information




20   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
The majority of US online leisure travelers buy at
 least some portion of their travel online


                          Gen Y (18-30)                            70%                   14% 16%


                         Gen X (31-44)                              75%                     14%11%

                                                                                                        Bookers
     Younger Boomers (45-54)                                        73%                    14% 13%      Lookers
                                                                                                        Sideliners

       Older Boomers (55-65)                                       71%                    14% 15%


                           Seniors (66+)                         57%                21%        23%


                                                    Base: US online leisure travelers
                                  Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
21     息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
         2010
Bookers buy both online and offline, so you need a
 multichannel selling presence
                  Percent of leisure travel researched and booked online


                                                                              66%
                          Gen Y (18-30)
                                                                                          72%

                                                                                        71%
                          Gen X (31-44)
                                                                                                   76%

                                                                                        71%                Book
     Younger Boomers (45-54)
                                                                                                     77%   Research

                                                                                67%
       Older Boomers (55-65)
                                                                                            73%

                                                                           65%
                            Seniors (66+)
                                                                           65%
                                                     Base: US online leisure Bookers
                                   Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
22     息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
         2010
No two generations of traveler uses exactly the same
 mix of channels to research their trips

     70%
                                                                                               Offline travel agency
     60%
                                                                                               Call supplier directly

     50%                                                                                       Offline travel agency Web
                                                                                               site
     40%                                                                                       Metasearch site

     30%                                                                                       Travel sales & specials site

     20%                                                                                       Opaque travel agency site

     10%                                                                                       Online travel agency


     0%                                                                                        Supplier Web site
             Gen Y (18- Gen X (31- Younger                         Older    Seniors
                30)        44)     Boomers                       Boomers     (66+)             General search
                                    (45-54)                       (55-65)
                                                     Base: US online leisure Bookers
                                   Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
23     息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
         2010
Younger travelers tend to use online intermediaries,
 older travelers tend to book directly with suppliers

     50%
     45%
     40%
                                                                                                Offline travel agency
     35%
     30%                                                                                        Call supplier directly

     25%                                                                                        Offline travel agency Web
                                                                                                site
     20%
                                                                                                Opaque travel agency site
     15%
     10%                                                                                        Online travel agency

     5%                                                                                         Supplier Web site
     0%
             Gen Y (18- Gen X (31- Younger                         Older     Seniors
                30)        44)     Boomers                       Boomers      (66+)
                                    (45-54)                       (55-65)
                                                     Base: US online leisure Bookers
                                   Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
24     息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
         2010
Prepare for new channels and entrants to affect the
 way you distribute and sell your products




25   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Agenda


 What is the 2011 outlook for leisure travel?
 How do different generations of leisure travelers interact
  with technology to plan and shop for travel online?
 What affects the decision making of different
 generations when planning a tripand what should
 you do to succeed?




26   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
How we sell




                                                           When do    When do     How
      Where                      Where
                                                           you want   you want   many in
      are you                    are you                                                   (Etc.)
                                                               to         to      your
     starting?                   going?
                                                            leave?     return?   party?




27   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
How travelers buy


  How much do I want to spend?                                                    What else do I want
                                                                                    included in the trip?
   What do things look and feel like?
                                                                            How long do I want to
         How do I want to feel                                                stay away for?
            when I return?
                                                                       What do my friends think/know?
     Whos traveling with me?
                                                                            Whats the nightlife like?
What do I want included in the price?
                                                                            Will the hotel be clean?
          How long do I want to be
                 away for?                                             How much comfort will I pay for?


   How do I know this place is safe?                              What do I feel like doing?

    28    息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Were retailers  to prosper, we cant push things to
         our customers, we have to tempt them




      29      息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Source: Google Images
Travelers dont always know where they want to go




      30      息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Source: Google Images
Many travelers are focused on saving money

                                     Percent who agree with the following statements
                            (4 or 5 on scale of 1 (disagree completely) to 5 (agree completely)


        I will accept some                                           39%
     inconveniences in order                                          42%
                                                                       47%
      to save money when I                                             46%                  Gen Y (18-30)
                travel                                                    61%
                                                                                            Gen X (31-44)
                                                                   36%
      In general, I select the                                     37%                      Younger Boomers (45-
        lowest-priced travel                                        39%
                                                                     43%                    54)
          options available
                                                                       54%                  Older Boomers (55-65)
       Staying within my                                             42%                    Seniors (66+)
        budget is more                                              38%
     important than going to                                          48%
         my first-choice                                              48%
           destination                                                 51%
                                                     Base: US online leisure travelers
                                   Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
31     息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
         2010
Yet some travelers will consider trading up  given
 the right mix of rational and emotional reasons
                                    Percent who agree with the following statements
                           (4 or 5 on scale of 1 (disagree completely) to 5 (agree completely)
     45%
     40%
     35%                                                                                   Travel is an area in which
     30%                                                                                   I'm willing to indulge
                                                                                           myself
     25%
                                                                                           I will pay above-average
     20%
                                                                                           prices for noticeably
     15%                                                                                   better quality travel
                                                                                           products or service
     10%
                                                                                           I will pay above-average
     5%                                                                                    prices for travel products
                                                                                           that save me time and
     0%                                                                                    hssle
                Gen Y              Gen X Younger Older Seniors
               (18-30)            (31-44) Boomers Boomers (66+)
                                           (45-54) (55-65)
                                                    Base: US online leisure travelers
                                  Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
32    息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
        2010
How to view traveler brand loyalty as we enter 2011




      33      息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Source: Google Images
Adding to your challenges: Its tough for marketing
 messages to reach an increasingly self-directed traveler
                                    Percent who agree with the following statements
                           (4 or 5 on scale of 1 (disagree completely) to 5 (agree completely)
     45%
     40%
     35%                                                                                 Travel advertisements help
     30%                                                                                 me decide what to buy

     25%
                                                                                         I'm annoyed by the
     20%
                                                                                         amount of travel
     15%                                                                                 advertising today
     10%
                                                                                         I rely a lot on
     5%                                                                                  recommendations from my
                                                                                         friends/family when
     0%                                                                                  making travel purchases
                Gen Y              Gen X Younger Older Seniors
               (18-30)            (31-44) Boomers Boomers (66+)
                                           (45-54) (55-65)
                                                    Base: US online leisure travelers
                                  Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
34    息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
        2010
Social media can help travel sellers get around and
 through travelers resistance to formal marketing

                 Percent of US online leisure travelers who participate in
                                       social media
                                                                                                       72%
                                                               63%
                      58%




                     2008                                      2009                                    2010
                                                   Base: US online leisure travelers
                                 Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
35   息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
       2010
Social media may have been created for younger
 consumers, but everyone now uses it


                          Percent of US online leisure travelers who do not
                                     participate in social media
                                                                                                        43%
                                                                    35%                36%


                                             21%
            16%




     Gen Y (18-30) Gen X (31-44)                                  Younger    Older Boomers Seniors (66+)
                                                                Boomers (45-    (55-65)
                                                                    54)
                                                    Base: US online leisure travelers
                                  Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
36    息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
        2010
37   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Social commerce, just starting now, will be expected
 by the next generation of customers




38   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Video engages travelers of all ages  and can lead to
 more sales




                           Travelers are 3X more likely to watch a
                            brands video than a video posted by
                                       another traveler
39   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
A typical Smartphone in 2010 has the same amount
         of computing power as Apollo 11




                                                                        =

      40      息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Source: Google Images
Devices are evolving  its time to rethink mobile




      41      息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Source: Google Images
Gen X travelers lead in Smartphone ownership  for
 now
                                  Percent who own a Smartphone device
     25%
                                                      21%
     20%                18%

     15%                                                             13%

     10%                                                                                   8%

     5%                                                                                                 3%

     0%
                 Gen Y (18-                    Gen X (31-   Younger       Older     Seniors (age
                    30)                           44)     Boomers (45- Boomers (55-    66+)
                                                              54)          65)
                                        Base: US online leisure travelers who own a mobile phone
                                  Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010
42    息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
        2010
Augmented reality overlays on mobile devices will enhance a travelers
journey, and create sponsorship or advertising opportunities for smart
                          travel companies
 43   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
What should you do to prosper in 2011?




44   息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
       2010
You have multiple opportunities and channels in
 which to sell  create your story arc


                                                               Story arc




Planning                  Purchase                      Departure          Trip   Return   Next Trip




45   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Take steps to make your digital channels as flexible
 and comprehensive as your offline channels




46   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Create new ways to help travelers find the value you
 offer




47   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Make it easy for travelers to open their wallets




48   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Make sure you offer the right written and visual content 
 and enable to traveler to configure it to her needs




49   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Let travelers share your content in their social
 networks




50   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Plan to become mobile-friendly




51   息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
Thank you


Henry H. Harteveldt
+1 415.206.0889
hharteveldt@forrester.com
Twitter: @hharteveldt
www.forrester.com




  息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
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TRAVEL TRENDS 2011, presented at USTOA by Forrester

  • 1. 1 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 2. Prospering In 2011 Henry H. Harteveldt, Vice President, Principal Analyst Twitter: @hharteveldt December 10, 2010 2 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 3. We depend on the kindness of strangers but by better understanding our customers and their use of technology, we can be more independent and successful. 3 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Source: Warner Bros.
  • 4. Agenda What is the 2011 outlook for leisure travel? How do different generations of leisure travelers interact with technology to plan and shop for travel online? What affects the decision making of different generations when planning a tripand what should you do to succeed? 4 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 5. Agenda What is the 2011 outlook for leisure travel? How do different generations of leisure travelers interact with technology to plan and shop for travel online? What affects the decision making of different generations when planning a tripand what should you do to succeed? 5 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 6. Numerous factors can affect economic recovery and consumers willingness to travel 6 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Sources: Google Images
  • 7. College grads are twice as likely to be employed as people with only a high-school degree 7 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 8. Q3 2010 Customer Confidence -3 Points from Q3 09 8 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 9. 2010 consumer retail sales are ahead of 2009, creating hope for 2011 $ millions $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 2008 $200,000 2009 $150,000 2010 $100,000 $50,000 $0 Jan.Feb.Mar. Apr. May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: US Dept. Of Commerce, US Census Bureau Monthly Retail Trade Report 9 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 10. Most travelers intend to spend about the same on travel in 2011 as they did in 2010 How do you and members of your household expect your travel-related spending will change in the NEXT 12 MONTHS? Seniors (66+) 13% 10% 57% 8% 12% Older Boomers (55-65) 16% 11% 58% 4%10% Younger Boomeers (45-54) 12% 11% 56% 6% 14% Gen X (31-44) 15% 8% 58% 6%11% Gen Y (18-30) 13% 13% 54% 4% 15% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Spend at least 10% more Spend 5% to 10% more No change in travel spending Spend 5% to 10% less Spend at least 10% less My household spends no money on leisure travel Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics Retail, Travel, Customer Experience, And Financial Services Benchmark 10 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Survey, Q3 2010 (US, Canada) 2010
  • 11. Forecast: $840 million of tours and packages to be booked online in 2011 in the US, up from $790 million in 2010 $120 $100 $80 Tours/packages Cruises $60 Rental cars $40 Hotel Air $20 $0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Forresters US Online Leisure Travel Forecast, 2009-2014 11 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 12. Travelers embrace neoFrugal Chic Saving as a point of pride Every major purchase is heavily researched and considered Travel is a reward, not an entitlement 12 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Source: Google Images
  • 13. Agenda What is the 2011 outlook for leisure travel? How do different generations of leisure travelers interact with technology to plan and shop for travel online? What affects the decision making of different generations when planning a tripand what should you do to succeed? 13 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 14. More than half of online travelers are under age 45 US leisure online travelers 10% Gen Y (18-20) 22% Gen X (31-44) 19% Younger Boomers (45- 54) Older Boomers (55-65) 30% 19% Seniors (66+) Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 14 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 15. Boomers spend the most on leisure travel Index of reported 2010 annual leisure travel spending Average Seniors (66+) 95 Boomers and Seniors account Older Boomers (55-65) for 51% of leisure travel 109 spending Younger Boomers (45-54) 110 Gen X (31-44) 99 Gen Y (18-30) 88 Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 15 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 16. Technology is a means to an end The younger the traveler, the more open they are to technology Travelers may like technology, but Most dont see technology as being important to them Put customer benefits at the forefront of any technology solution you offer dont let technology get in the way 16 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Source: Google Images
  • 17. Travelers may find digital channels easy to use, but most dont enjoy the online travel planning and booking process Percent who agree with the following statements (4 or 5 on scale of 1 (disagree completely) to 5 (agree completely) 70% Gen Y (18-30) 51% 72% Gen X (31-44) 49% It's easy to use the Internet to plan and buy Younger Boomers (45- 70% travel 54) 45% I enjoy planning and buying travel on the 67% Internet Older Boomers (55-65) 46% 55% Seniors (66+) 35% Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 17 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 18. We make it increasingly confusing for our customers to buy our products and get the value they seek Do I have to pay to Is it a nice hotel? Is it check my bags? safe? Which is How much? Are you better, a superior or kidding me? deluxe room? Would I save money When is the weather if I went on another best? day? Or a different month? Where are some nice places to eat How can I trust what and shop? What youre telling me? else is there to do? Should I buy the cheapest fare or something else? Remember, this is your inheritance were talking 18 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited about. Source: Google Images
  • 19. Compared to 2008, 22% more US leisure travelers in 2010 would use a travel agent if they could find one Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010; North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2008 19 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Source: Google Images
  • 20. Were not setting ourselves up for success in 2011 Most leisure travelers in 2010 dont feel that travel Web sites allow them to obtain the information they need to make well-informed decisions about what to buy Boomers and Seniors dont feel theyre able to obtain the value they seek and expect from travel Web sites A critical mass of travelers dont trust the Internet to give them accurate travel information 20 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 21. The majority of US online leisure travelers buy at least some portion of their travel online Gen Y (18-30) 70% 14% 16% Gen X (31-44) 75% 14%11% Bookers Younger Boomers (45-54) 73% 14% 13% Lookers Sideliners Older Boomers (55-65) 71% 14% 15% Seniors (66+) 57% 21% 23% Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 21 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 22. Bookers buy both online and offline, so you need a multichannel selling presence Percent of leisure travel researched and booked online 66% Gen Y (18-30) 72% 71% Gen X (31-44) 76% 71% Book Younger Boomers (45-54) 77% Research 67% Older Boomers (55-65) 73% 65% Seniors (66+) 65% Base: US online leisure Bookers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 22 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 23. No two generations of traveler uses exactly the same mix of channels to research their trips 70% Offline travel agency 60% Call supplier directly 50% Offline travel agency Web site 40% Metasearch site 30% Travel sales & specials site 20% Opaque travel agency site 10% Online travel agency 0% Supplier Web site Gen Y (18- Gen X (31- Younger Older Seniors 30) 44) Boomers Boomers (66+) General search (45-54) (55-65) Base: US online leisure Bookers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 23 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 24. Younger travelers tend to use online intermediaries, older travelers tend to book directly with suppliers 50% 45% 40% Offline travel agency 35% 30% Call supplier directly 25% Offline travel agency Web site 20% Opaque travel agency site 15% 10% Online travel agency 5% Supplier Web site 0% Gen Y (18- Gen X (31- Younger Older Seniors 30) 44) Boomers Boomers (66+) (45-54) (55-65) Base: US online leisure Bookers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 24 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 25. Prepare for new channels and entrants to affect the way you distribute and sell your products 25 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 26. Agenda What is the 2011 outlook for leisure travel? How do different generations of leisure travelers interact with technology to plan and shop for travel online? What affects the decision making of different generations when planning a tripand what should you do to succeed? 26 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 27. How we sell When do When do How Where Where you want you want many in are you are you (Etc.) to to your starting? going? leave? return? party? 27 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 28. How travelers buy How much do I want to spend? What else do I want included in the trip? What do things look and feel like? How long do I want to How do I want to feel stay away for? when I return? What do my friends think/know? Whos traveling with me? Whats the nightlife like? What do I want included in the price? Will the hotel be clean? How long do I want to be away for? How much comfort will I pay for? How do I know this place is safe? What do I feel like doing? 28 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 29. Were retailers to prosper, we cant push things to our customers, we have to tempt them 29 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Source: Google Images
  • 30. Travelers dont always know where they want to go 30 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Source: Google Images
  • 31. Many travelers are focused on saving money Percent who agree with the following statements (4 or 5 on scale of 1 (disagree completely) to 5 (agree completely) I will accept some 39% inconveniences in order 42% 47% to save money when I 46% Gen Y (18-30) travel 61% Gen X (31-44) 36% In general, I select the 37% Younger Boomers (45- lowest-priced travel 39% 43% 54) options available 54% Older Boomers (55-65) Staying within my 42% Seniors (66+) budget is more 38% important than going to 48% my first-choice 48% destination 51% Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 31 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 32. Yet some travelers will consider trading up given the right mix of rational and emotional reasons Percent who agree with the following statements (4 or 5 on scale of 1 (disagree completely) to 5 (agree completely) 45% 40% 35% Travel is an area in which 30% I'm willing to indulge myself 25% I will pay above-average 20% prices for noticeably 15% better quality travel products or service 10% I will pay above-average 5% prices for travel products that save me time and 0% hssle Gen Y Gen X Younger Older Seniors (18-30) (31-44) Boomers Boomers (66+) (45-54) (55-65) Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 32 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 33. How to view traveler brand loyalty as we enter 2011 33 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Source: Google Images
  • 34. Adding to your challenges: Its tough for marketing messages to reach an increasingly self-directed traveler Percent who agree with the following statements (4 or 5 on scale of 1 (disagree completely) to 5 (agree completely) 45% 40% 35% Travel advertisements help 30% me decide what to buy 25% I'm annoyed by the 20% amount of travel 15% advertising today 10% I rely a lot on 5% recommendations from my friends/family when 0% making travel purchases Gen Y Gen X Younger Older Seniors (18-30) (31-44) Boomers Boomers (66+) (45-54) (55-65) Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 34 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 35. Social media can help travel sellers get around and through travelers resistance to formal marketing Percent of US online leisure travelers who participate in social media 72% 63% 58% 2008 2009 2010 Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 35 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 36. Social media may have been created for younger consumers, but everyone now uses it Percent of US online leisure travelers who do not participate in social media 43% 35% 36% 21% 16% Gen Y (18-30) Gen X (31-44) Younger Older Boomers Seniors (66+) Boomers (45- (55-65) 54) Base: US online leisure travelers Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 36 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 37. 37 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 38. Social commerce, just starting now, will be expected by the next generation of customers 38 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 39. Video engages travelers of all ages and can lead to more sales Travelers are 3X more likely to watch a brands video than a video posted by another traveler 39 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 40. A typical Smartphone in 2010 has the same amount of computing power as Apollo 11 = 40 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Source: Google Images
  • 41. Devices are evolving its time to rethink mobile 41 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited Source: Google Images
  • 42. Gen X travelers lead in Smartphone ownership for now Percent who own a Smartphone device 25% 21% 20% 18% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 3% 0% Gen Y (18- Gen X (31- Younger Older Seniors (age 30) 44) Boomers (45- Boomers (55- 66+) 54) 65) Base: US online leisure travelers who own a mobile phone Source: North American Technographics速 Travel Online Study, Q1 2010 42 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 43. Augmented reality overlays on mobile devices will enhance a travelers journey, and create sponsorship or advertising opportunities for smart travel companies 43 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 44. What should you do to prosper in 2011? 44 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 2010
  • 45. You have multiple opportunities and channels in which to sell create your story arc Story arc Planning Purchase Departure Trip Return Next Trip 45 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 46. Take steps to make your digital channels as flexible and comprehensive as your offline channels 46 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 47. Create new ways to help travelers find the value you offer 47 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 48. Make it easy for travelers to open their wallets 48 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 49. Make sure you offer the right written and visual content and enable to traveler to configure it to her needs 49 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 50. Let travelers share your content in their social networks 50 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 51. Plan to become mobile-friendly 51 息 2010 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited
  • 52. Thank you Henry H. Harteveldt +1 415.206.0889 hharteveldt@forrester.com Twitter: @hharteveldt www.forrester.com 息 2009 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited