The document analyzes the global environment through a SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) analysis. It identifies several strengths, like increasing human intelligence and lifespan, as well as opportunities such as renewable energy and distributed production, but also weaknesses such as political and economic failures and threats including climate change, pandemics, and cyberwarfare.
2. Human evolution and the techno-economic paradigm
The most evolved species in the known universe
Adaptive / resilient to disruptive changes
Increasing life span, increasing intelligence
International trade / interconnected markets
Free flow of information / Internet
Nano-cogno-biotechnologies
Plausible Futures Newsletter
3. Economic structural and systemic failures
Political corruption / oligarchies
Democratic deficit / economic interests vs. policy
Financial crime / economic warfare
Demographic tension / pensions/ welfare collapse
Dependence on non-renewable energy sources
Intra-generational / racial tension
Geopolitical disputes / economic lawfare
Outdated 3G military combatting 4G terrorists
Antibiotic resistant bacteria and potential pandemics
Plausible Futures Newsletter
4. Renewable energy / solar / wind / wave / geothermal / synthetic biology
Infotech / ecommerce / apps / electronics
Effecient living / green infrastructure / smart cities
Distributed production / 3D printing
Automation / AI / open source governance
Cognitive enhancement / biohacking
Economic reform / luxleaks / bitcoins
Secession / micro-states
Plausible Futures Newsletter
5. Economic recession / unemployement / riots
Ukraine / Russia / EU / WW4
Syria / Iraq / ISIS / 束Clash of Civilizations損
West Africa / Ebola / Antibiotic resistant bacteria
Cyberwar / private & state surveillance
Economic warfare / espionage / tradewars
Climate change / freak weather / food shortages
5G solo-terror
Plausible Futures Newsletter