How software is eating the world
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亠亰亠仆舒亳 仗仂 舒亰于亳亳亠 亠仆仂仍仂亞亳亠从仂亞仂 仗仂亞亠舒 亳 仗仂 仂, 仂 亟亠仍舒 弍亳亰仆亠, 仂弍 于亢亳 于 仂仄 亠仄亳亠仍仆仂 仄亠仆ﾑ亠仄 仄亳亠. 仗亠亰亠仆舒亳亳 亳仗仂仍亰仂于舒仆 仄舒亠亳舒仍 Singularity Univercity 亳 Peter Dimandis, 弍仂仍仂亠 仗舒亳弍仂 亳仄 亰舒 于亟仂仆仂于亠仆亳亠 亳 亳亰于亳仆亠仆亳亠, 亠仍亳 从仂仗亳舒亶 弍仍 仆舒亠仆.
How software is eating the world
- 1. Why So'ware Is Ea/ng The World 亳从仂仍舒亶 舒仍亳亠仆从仂, CEO Prom.ua
- 2. Why So'ware Is Ea/ng The World Essay by MARC ANDREESSEN August 20, 2011
- 3. Peter H. Diamandis, MD
- 4. 亟亠亠 仍亠 亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠 - 仂亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠, 仂 于亠 仗仍仂仂? - 亠 仄仂亳亠 仆仂于仂亳
- 5. 亢亳于亠仄 于 仗仂 亳亰仂弍亳仍亳 仍仂弍舒仍仆亶 仂亟仂仍亢亳亠仍仆仂 亢亳亰仆亳 亟舒 亅仆亠亞亳 弌于磶 丐舒仆仗仂
- 6. 仂亟于亠亢亟亠仆亳亠 亠从亠亞仂 亳亰仂弍亳仍亳 - 仂亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠, 仂 于亠 仗仍仂仂? - 亠 仄仂亳亠 仆仂于仂亳
- 7. Source: TheEconomist 亠亟仆仂 亳亠亰舒亠PopulationinBillions 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 0 1 2 People Living on $1.25 or Less a Day
- 8. -于仂 舒仆 亟亠仄仂从舒亳亠从亳仄亳 亠亢亳仄舒仄亳 #ofDemocratic Regimes 1800 1900 1950 2000 20101850 100 80 60 40 20 00
- 9. Source: Human Security Report Project, The Peace Research Institute ofOslo 仂亠仆仆亠 仗仂亠亳World-Wide BattleDeaths 1940 2000 25 20 15 10 5 0 1950 Colonial 1960 Interstate 1970 Civil 1980 1990 Civil (with foreign intervention)
- 10. 仂仍亳亠于仂 亟亠亠亶 于 亠仄亠NumberofCountries 1950 1990 0 200 1970 50 100 150 6+ 5.0 5.9 Source: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Analitiytical-Figures/htm/fig_9.htm 2010 4.0 4.9 2030 3.0 3.9 2050 2.1 2.9 2070 2090 Under 2.1
- 11. Source: United Nations Development Program 弌亠亟仆亠仄亳仂于舒 仗仂亟仂仍亢亳亠仍仆仂 亢亳亰仆亳 Years 1820 2010 0 80 1900 40 1950 20 60 67 Years (+18 Years) 49 Years (+18 Years) 31 Years (+5 Years)26 Years
- 12. Source: Angus Maddison, The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective (Paris: OECD, 2001). 弌亠亟仆亠亞仂亟仂于仂亠 亳仍仂 舒弍仂亳 舒仂于 Hours(1000s) WorkedperPerson 1850 2000 3.0 2.5 2.0 1900 United States France 1950 Japan Brazil 1.5 50% Reduction 1.0
- 13. Source: National Highway Traffic SafetyAdministration 弌仄亠仆仂 于 舒于仂 亳 舒于亳舒从舒舒仂舒Deathsper100MillionMilesTraveled 1900 1920 20101910 1980 20001930 1970 1990 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1940 1950 Automobile 1960 Airline
- 14. 弌仄亠仆仂 仂 亳亳亶仆 弍亠亟于亳亶 (per 100K) from Natural Catastrophes DeathRateper100,000 1900 1960 20101910 1980 20001920 1930 1940 1950 1970 1990 50 40 30 20 10 0 Flood Storm Epidemic Earthquake Drought
- 15. Source: Deloitte University Press 弌仂亳仄仂 亳仆亠仆亠 从舒仆舒仍仂于(1999-2012)$perGigabit/Sec(Gbps) 1999 2012 0 1400 2005 1200 20082002 200 1000 800 600 400 $1,245 <$10
- 16. Source: Deloitte University Press 弌仂亳仄仂 仗仂亠仂仂于(1992-2012)$per1MillionTransistors 1992 2012 0 200 2004 100 20081996 2000 $222 <$0.06
- 17. Source: Deloitte University Press 弌仂亳仄仂 舒仆亠仆亳 亟舒仆仆(1992-2015)$perGigabtye(GB) 1992 2012 0 600 2004 200 20081996 2000 400 $569 $0
- 18. Source: Mark Suster 弌仂亳仄仂 仂亰亟舒仆亳 亳仆亠仆亠 弍亳亰仆亠舒CostsofCreation 2000 0 $5M $4M $3M $2M $1M 2005 Open Source + Horizontal Scaling $5M 2009 Cloud + AWS 2011 Developers Start Companies $500K $50K $5K
- 19. 仂亠仄? 仂亠仄 亠亶舒?
- 21. 丐亠仆仂仍仂亞亳 仂 舒 亳仍舒, 从仂仂舒 弍亠亠 仂-仂, 仂 于 亠亳亳亠 亳 亟亠仍舒亠 亠亞仂 亰仂弍亳仍亳亠仄
- 22. Calculations/Secper$1000computer Moores Law 5th Paradigm of Exponential Growth
- 23. The exponential growth of computing on a Logarithmic Plot Calc./second for a $1000 laptop vs. Time CalculationsperSecondper $1000 Year 24 2050 2023 2010
- 25. 5 Mbytes - $120,000 128 Mbytes - $99 128 Gbytes - $99 1,000x 30,000,000x
- 26. 1976 1st Digital Camera 0.01 MP/ 3.75 lbs / $10K Sensor Explosion 1000x Resolu/on 1000x Lighter 1000x Cheaper 1,000,000,000 x better 2014 Digital Camera >10 MP/ 0.03 lbs / $10 1 BILLION TIMES BETTER 1,000x Resolution & 1,000 lighter & 1,000 cheaper Steven Sasson
- 27. Sensor Explosion Early ICBM Navigation Inertial Measurement Unit 1960s $ Millions 50 lbs Velocity/Orientation/Accel. Accelerometer:$1 Gyroscope:$3 Molecular Machines Free & embedded
- 28. Sensor Explosion 1st commercial GPSReceiver in 1981 Weight: 53 lbs; Cost:$119,900 SingleChip GPSReceiver 2010; <$5each
- 30. Robotics - Googles Autonomous Car Paradigm Change: Robotics
- 31. Moonshots Thinking 弌舒 弍仂仍亠 于 10 舒亰, 舒 仆亠 仆舒 10%
- 32. 仂亠仄 仂 于舒亢仆仂 仂亞亟舒 于 亠仍亳亠 于 10 仂, 于 仗舒亠亠 仗仂亟仂亶亳 从 仗仂弍仍亠仄亠 舒亟亳从舒仍仆仂 仗仂 亟亞仂仄
- 33. 仂亠仄 仂 于舒亢仆仂 ≒ 10X vs 10% 仍亠仆亳亠 于 100 舒亰 仍亠. ≒ 仆仂 仆亠 于 100 舒亰 礀亠仍亠亠 于 亟仂亳亢亠仆亳亳
- 34. 亳仄亠 Moonshots - 仂亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠, 仂 于亠 仗仍仂仂? - 亠 仄仂亳亠 仆仂于仂亳
- 36. - 仂亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠, 仂 于亠 仗仍仂仂? - 亠 仄仂亳亠 仆仂于仂亳
- 37. - 仂亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠, 仂 于亠 仗仍仂仂? - 亠 仄仂亳亠 仆仂于仂亳
- 38. - 仂亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠, 仂 于亠 仗仍仂仂? - 亠 仄仂亳亠 仆仂于仂亳
- 39. - 仂亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠, 仂 于亠 仗仍仂仂? - 亠 仄仂亳亠 仆仂于仂亳
- 40. 丼仂 仂 亰仆舒亳 亟仍 于舒亠亞仂 弍亳亰仆亠舒
- 41. 仍亳 于 仆亠 亟亠仍舒亠亠 Moonshot -足 从仂-足仂 仂 亟亠仍舒亠 磲仂仄 于舒仄亳
- 42. 丼仂 亟亠仍舒亠仄 仄 亳仄 亰仆舒仆亳亠仄 - 仂亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠, 仂 于亠 仗仍仂仂? - 亠 仄仂亳亠 仆仂于仂亳
- 43. Alphabet-足亳亰舒亳 弌仂亰亟舒仆亳亠 仂仍亟亳仆亞仂于仂亶 从 亟仍 于仂亰仄仂亢仆仂亳 仆亠亰舒于亳亳仄 亳仆仆仂于舒亳亶 舒亰亟亠仍亠仆亳亠 仗仂亟从仂于, 舒亳 仆舒 10% 亳 仗亳仆仂亳 仗亳弍仍 亳 仗仂亠仆亳舒仍仆 Moonshots 从仂仂亠 仄仂亞 仗仂仄仂 仆舒仄 于舒亳 10
- 44. 亟亠 弍亟亠 仄亳 亠亠亰 10 仍亠? 仂亟亠仍亳仂于舒仆亳亠 仄舒从仂-足亳舒亳亳 舒亠 仂仗亳仄舒仍仆仂亠 仄亠仂 于 仂仄 弍亟亠仄 舒舒 舒亠亞亳 仗仂 亟仂亳亢亠仆亳 仂亞仂 亠亰仍舒舒
- 45. ﾐ莞 仂 舒仄亶 亠仆仆亶 亠 亳于舒 亰舒 舒仍舒仆 仂仂亠仆亳亠 亳仍仆仂亶 亠仆仂仍仂亞亳亠从仂亶 从仗亠亳亰
- 46. 丼仂弍 于亢亳 仆舒仄 仆亠仂弍仂亟亳仄仂 ≒ 仄亠 仗舒于亳仍仆仂亠 亟仂仍亞仂仂仆仂亠 于亳亟亠仆亳亠
- 47. 丼仂弍 于亢亳 仆舒仄 仆亠仂弍仂亟亳仄仂 ≒ 仄亠 仗舒于亳仍仆仂亠 亟仂仍亞仂仂仆仂亠 于亳亟亠仆亳亠 ≒ 亠仆仂仍仂亞亳亠从仂亶 从仂仄仗舒仆亳亠亶 (仗仂仂亠仆亳亠 亳仍仆仂亶 IT 仗仂亟从仂于仂亶 从仗亠亳亰)
- 48. 丼仂弍 于亢亳 仆舒仄 仆亠仂弍仂亟亳仄仂 ≒ 仄亠 仗舒于亳仍仆仂亠 亟仂仍亞仂仂仆仂亠 于亳亟亠仆亳亠 ≒ 亠仆仂仍仂亞亳亠从仂亶 从仂仄仗舒仆亳亠亶 (仗仂仂亠仆亳亠 亳仍仆仂亶 IT 仗仂亟从仂于仂亶 从仗亠亳亰) ≒ 弍仄亳
- 49. 丼仂弍 于亢亳 仆舒仄 仆亠仂弍仂亟亳仄仂 ≒ 仄亠 仗舒于亳仍仆仂亠 亟仂仍亞仂仂仆仂亠 于亳亟亠仆亳亠 ≒ 亠仆仂仍仂亞亳亠从仂亶 从仂仄仗舒仆亳亠亶 (仗仂仂亠仆亳亠 亳仍仆仂亶 IT 仗仂亟从仂于仂亶 从仗亠亳亰) ≒ 弍仄亳 ≒ 弌仂亰亟舒 亳仆仆仂于舒亳仂仆仆 舒仄仂亠 于仆亳
- 50. 丼仂弍 于亢亳 仆舒仄 仆亠仂弍仂亟亳仄仂 ≒ 仄亠 仗舒于亳仍仆仂亠 亟仂仍亞仂仂仆仂亠 于亳亟亠仆亳亠 ≒ 亠仆仂仍仂亞亳亠从仂亶 从仂仄仗舒仆亳亠亶 (仗仂仂亠仆亳亠 亳仍仆仂亶 IT 仗仂亟从仂于仂亶 从仗亠亳亰) ≒ 弍仄亳 ≒ 弌仂亰亟舒 亳仆仆仂于舒亳仂仆仆 舒仄仂亠 于仆亳 ≒ Disrupt 亳 Challenge 舒仄亳 亠弍
- 51. 弌仗舒亳弍仂 亰舒 于仆亳仄舒仆亳亠 - 仂亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠, 仂 于亠 仗仍仂仂? - 亠 仄仂亳亠 仆仂于仂亳
- 52. 亟亠亠 仍亠 亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠 - 仂亠仄 仆舒仄 从舒亢亠, 仂 于亠 仗仍仂仂? - 亠 仄仂亳亠 仆仂于仂亳
- 53. 舒亢亠 亠仗亠