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Performing Hypothesis Tests
Dr. Monica Brussolo
Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing
 Population Mean:  Known
 Population Mean:  Unknown
Method 1: p-value
One-tailed hypothesis test
 The p-value is the probability, computed using the test statistic, that
measures the support (or lack of support) provided by the sample
for the null hypothesis.
 If the p-value is less than or equal to the level of significance , we
reject the null hypothesis.
 Reject H0 if the p-value < 
3
Suggested Guidelines for Interpreting
p-values
 Interpreting the p-value when we are not give an 留-value
11-4
Method 2: Critical Value
One-tailed hypothesis test
5
 We can use the standard normal probability distribution table to find the  
p with an area of  in the lower (or upper) tail of the distribution.
 The value of the test statistic that established the boundary of the rejection
region is called the critical value for the test. The rejection rule is:
 Lower Tail: Reject 0 if   ю
 Upper Tail: Reject 0 if   ю
6
Lower-Tailed Test About a Population
Mean:  Known
p-value
緒72
0
-z =-1.28
 = .10
z
z =-1.46
Sampling
distribution
of n
/
x
z 0
7
Upper-Tailed Test About a Population
Mean:  Known
p-Value
緒11
0 z =
1.75
 = .04
z
z =
2.29
Sampling
distribution
of
n
/
x
z 0
Steps of Hypothesis Testing
8
1. Develop the null and alternative hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance .
3. Collect the sample data and compute the value of the test statistic.
Method 1: -value
4. Use the value of the test statistic to compute the -value.
5. Reject 0 if the   p <
Steps of Hypothesis Testing
9
Method 2: Critical Value
4. Use the level of significance to determine the critical value and the
rejection rule.
5. Use the value of the test statistic and the rejection rule to determine
whether to reject 0.
Example: Metro EMS
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Known
10
The response times for a random sample of 40 medical
emergencies were tabulated. The sample mean is 13.25 minutes.
The population standard deviation is believed to be 3.2 minutes.
The EMS director wants to perform a hypothesis test, with a .05
level of significance, to determine whether the service goal of 12
minutes or less is being achieved.
Example: Metro EMS
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Known
11
Both Methods:
1. Develop the hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance .
3. Compute the value of the test statistic.
12
Method 1: -value
4. Compute the -value. For z =
cumulative probability = pvalue =
5. Determine whether to Reject 0
Because pvalue =  = .05
There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that Metro EMS_____
meeting the response goal of 12 minutes.
Example: Metro EMS
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Known
13
Method 2: Critical Value
4. Determine the critical value and the rejection rule. For  = .05, z.05 =
Reject H0 if z >
5. Determine whether to Reject 0
There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that Metro EMS_____
meeting the response goal of 12 minutes.
Example: Metro EMS
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Known
Method 1: p-Value
Two-Tailed Hypothesis Testing
14
Compute the -value using the following three steps:
1. Compute the value of the test statistic .
2. If  is in the upper tail ( > 0), find the area under the standard normal
curve to the right of .
If  is in the lower tail ( < 0), find the area under the standard normal
curve to the left of .
3. Double the tail area obtained in step 2 to obtain the  value.
Rejection rule: Reject 0 if the   p
Method 2: Critical Value
Two-Tailed Hypothesis Testing
15
1. The critical values will occur in both the lower and upper tails of the
standard normal curve.
2. Use the standard normal probability distribution table to find ю/2
(the -value with an area of /2 in the upper tail of the
distribution).
Rejection rule: Reject 0 if   ю/2 or   ю/2
Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Known
16
The production line for Glow toothpaste is designed to fill tubes with a mean
weight of 6 . Periodically, a sample of 30 tubes will be selected in order to
check the filling process.
Quality assurance procedures call for the continuation of the filling process if
the sample results are consistent with the assumption that the mean filling
weight for the population of toothpaste tubes is 6 .; otherwise the process
will be adjusted.
Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Known
17
Assume that a sample of 30 toothpaste tubes provides a sample mean of
6.1 . The population standard deviation is believed to be 0.2 .
Perform a hypothesis test, at the .03 level of significance, to help determine
whether the filling process should continue operating or be stopped and
corrected.
Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Known
18
Both Methods:
1. Determine the hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance.
3. Compute the value of the test statistic.
Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Known
19
Method 1: -value
4. Compute the -value.
5. Determine whether to Reject 0
There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that the alternative
hypothesis is _____________(i.e. the mean filling weight _______6
ounces).
Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Known
20
Method 2: Critical Value
4. Determine the critical value and the rejection rule.
5. Determine whether to Reject 0
There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that the alternative
hypothesis is ________
(i.e. the mean filling weight _______6 ounces).
21
Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Known
/2 =
.015
0
z/2 = 2.17
z
/2 =
.015
-z/2 = -2.17
z = 2.74
z = -2.74
1/2
p -value
= .0031
1/2
p -value
= .0031
Do Not Reject H0
Tests About a Population Mean:
 Unknown
22
 Test Statistic
 =
  0
/ 
This test statistic has a  distribution with   1 degrees of
freedom.
Tests About a Population Mean:
 Unknown
23
 Rejection Rule: Critical Value Approach
 0:   0 Reject 0 if   $ (lower tail)
 0:   0 Reject 0 if   $ (upper tail)
 0:  = 0 Reject 0 if   $/2 or   $/2
Example: Highway Patrol
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Unknown
24
A State Highway Patrol periodically samples vehicle speeds at various
locations on a particular roadway. The sample of vehicle speeds is used to
test the hypothesis 0:   65.
The locations where 0 is rejected are deemed the best locations for radar
traps. At Location F, a sample of 64 vehicles shows a mean speed of
66.2  with a standard deviation of 4.2 . Use 留 = .05 to test the
hypothesis.
Example: Highway Patrol
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Unknown
25
METHOD: Critical Value (the only method discussed for t-test)
1. Determine the hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance.
3. Compute the value of the test statistic.
26
Method: Critical Value
4. Determine the critical value and the rejection rule.
For  = and d.f. = t.05 = Reject H0 if t >
5. Determine whether to Reject 0
Because > we reject H0.
We __________95% confident that the mean speed of vehicles at Location
F__________ than 65 mph. Location F is a good candidate for a radar trap.
Example: Highway Patrol
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Unknown
27
¥緒逸
0 t =
1.669
Reject H0
Do Not Reject H0
t
Example: Highway Patrol
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:  Unknown

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Hypothesis

  • 2. Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing Population Mean: Known Population Mean: Unknown
  • 3. Method 1: p-value One-tailed hypothesis test The p-value is the probability, computed using the test statistic, that measures the support (or lack of support) provided by the sample for the null hypothesis. If the p-value is less than or equal to the level of significance , we reject the null hypothesis. Reject H0 if the p-value < 3
  • 4. Suggested Guidelines for Interpreting p-values Interpreting the p-value when we are not give an 留-value 11-4
  • 5. Method 2: Critical Value One-tailed hypothesis test 5 We can use the standard normal probability distribution table to find the p with an area of in the lower (or upper) tail of the distribution. The value of the test statistic that established the boundary of the rejection region is called the critical value for the test. The rejection rule is: Lower Tail: Reject 0 if ю Upper Tail: Reject 0 if ю
  • 6. 6 Lower-Tailed Test About a Population Mean: Known p-value 緒72 0 -z =-1.28 = .10 z z =-1.46 Sampling distribution of n / x z 0
  • 7. 7 Upper-Tailed Test About a Population Mean: Known p-Value 緒11 0 z = 1.75 = .04 z z = 2.29 Sampling distribution of n / x z 0
  • 8. Steps of Hypothesis Testing 8 1. Develop the null and alternative hypotheses. 2. Specify the level of significance . 3. Collect the sample data and compute the value of the test statistic. Method 1: -value 4. Use the value of the test statistic to compute the -value. 5. Reject 0 if the p <
  • 9. Steps of Hypothesis Testing 9 Method 2: Critical Value 4. Use the level of significance to determine the critical value and the rejection rule. 5. Use the value of the test statistic and the rejection rule to determine whether to reject 0.
  • 10. Example: Metro EMS One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Known 10 The response times for a random sample of 40 medical emergencies were tabulated. The sample mean is 13.25 minutes. The population standard deviation is believed to be 3.2 minutes. The EMS director wants to perform a hypothesis test, with a .05 level of significance, to determine whether the service goal of 12 minutes or less is being achieved.
  • 11. Example: Metro EMS One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Known 11 Both Methods: 1. Develop the hypotheses. 2. Specify the level of significance . 3. Compute the value of the test statistic.
  • 12. 12 Method 1: -value 4. Compute the -value. For z = cumulative probability = pvalue = 5. Determine whether to Reject 0 Because pvalue = = .05 There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that Metro EMS_____ meeting the response goal of 12 minutes. Example: Metro EMS One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Known
  • 13. 13 Method 2: Critical Value 4. Determine the critical value and the rejection rule. For = .05, z.05 = Reject H0 if z > 5. Determine whether to Reject 0 There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that Metro EMS_____ meeting the response goal of 12 minutes. Example: Metro EMS One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Known
  • 14. Method 1: p-Value Two-Tailed Hypothesis Testing 14 Compute the -value using the following three steps: 1. Compute the value of the test statistic . 2. If is in the upper tail ( > 0), find the area under the standard normal curve to the right of . If is in the lower tail ( < 0), find the area under the standard normal curve to the left of . 3. Double the tail area obtained in step 2 to obtain the value. Rejection rule: Reject 0 if the p
  • 15. Method 2: Critical Value Two-Tailed Hypothesis Testing 15 1. The critical values will occur in both the lower and upper tails of the standard normal curve. 2. Use the standard normal probability distribution table to find ю/2 (the -value with an area of /2 in the upper tail of the distribution). Rejection rule: Reject 0 if ю/2 or ю/2
  • 16. Example: Glow Toothpaste Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Known 16 The production line for Glow toothpaste is designed to fill tubes with a mean weight of 6 . Periodically, a sample of 30 tubes will be selected in order to check the filling process. Quality assurance procedures call for the continuation of the filling process if the sample results are consistent with the assumption that the mean filling weight for the population of toothpaste tubes is 6 .; otherwise the process will be adjusted.
  • 17. Example: Glow Toothpaste Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Known 17 Assume that a sample of 30 toothpaste tubes provides a sample mean of 6.1 . The population standard deviation is believed to be 0.2 . Perform a hypothesis test, at the .03 level of significance, to help determine whether the filling process should continue operating or be stopped and corrected.
  • 18. Example: Glow Toothpaste Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Known 18 Both Methods: 1. Determine the hypotheses. 2. Specify the level of significance. 3. Compute the value of the test statistic.
  • 19. Example: Glow Toothpaste Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Known 19 Method 1: -value 4. Compute the -value. 5. Determine whether to Reject 0 There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that the alternative hypothesis is _____________(i.e. the mean filling weight _______6 ounces).
  • 20. Example: Glow Toothpaste Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Known 20 Method 2: Critical Value 4. Determine the critical value and the rejection rule. 5. Determine whether to Reject 0 There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that the alternative hypothesis is ________ (i.e. the mean filling weight _______6 ounces).
  • 21. 21 Example: Glow Toothpaste Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Known /2 = .015 0 z/2 = 2.17 z /2 = .015 -z/2 = -2.17 z = 2.74 z = -2.74 1/2 p -value = .0031 1/2 p -value = .0031 Do Not Reject H0
  • 22. Tests About a Population Mean: Unknown 22 Test Statistic = 0 / This test statistic has a distribution with 1 degrees of freedom.
  • 23. Tests About a Population Mean: Unknown 23 Rejection Rule: Critical Value Approach 0: 0 Reject 0 if $ (lower tail) 0: 0 Reject 0 if $ (upper tail) 0: = 0 Reject 0 if $/2 or $/2
  • 24. Example: Highway Patrol One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Unknown 24 A State Highway Patrol periodically samples vehicle speeds at various locations on a particular roadway. The sample of vehicle speeds is used to test the hypothesis 0: 65. The locations where 0 is rejected are deemed the best locations for radar traps. At Location F, a sample of 64 vehicles shows a mean speed of 66.2 with a standard deviation of 4.2 . Use 留 = .05 to test the hypothesis.
  • 25. Example: Highway Patrol One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Unknown 25 METHOD: Critical Value (the only method discussed for t-test) 1. Determine the hypotheses. 2. Specify the level of significance. 3. Compute the value of the test statistic.
  • 26. 26 Method: Critical Value 4. Determine the critical value and the rejection rule. For = and d.f. = t.05 = Reject H0 if t > 5. Determine whether to Reject 0 Because > we reject H0. We __________95% confident that the mean speed of vehicles at Location F__________ than 65 mph. Location F is a good candidate for a radar trap. Example: Highway Patrol One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Unknown
  • 27. 27 ¥緒逸 0 t = 1.669 Reject H0 Do Not Reject H0 t Example: Highway Patrol One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: Unknown