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THE NEAR EARTH OBJECT THREAT: AN EFFECTIVE PUBLIC COMMUNICATION STRATEGY 
Matteo Emanuelli 
Bruno Sarli 
NielsVan Der Pas 
Lauren Lyons 
Behnoosh Meskoob 
Daniele Paglialunga 
Shripad Jagdale 
3 October, 2014 
International Astronautical Congress 
Toronto, Canada 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 2 
Introduction: Space Generation Congress 2014
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
Action Team 14 and IAWN 
Space Generation Congress 2013 Recommendations 
Communication Plan 
Education Program 
Case Study 
Asteroid Intensity Scale 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 3 
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
Action Team 14 and IAWN
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 5 
Action Team 14 and IAWN 
ActionTeamonNear-EarthObjects(AT-14)establishedin2001byUNCOPUOStoreviewcontent,structureandorganizationofeffortsonNEOsandmakeproposalstofosterinternationalcoordination. 
In2013UNendorsedthecreationofInternationalAsteroidWarningNetwork(IAWN)andSpaceMissionPlanningAdvisoryGroup(SMPAG)
Space Generation Congress Recommendations
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 7 
Space Generation Congress Recommendations 
Effectivecommunicationplan:long,mediumandshort-termactions 
NEOEducationProgram:Generalpublic/Policymakers/Students 
Identifyingcommunicatorsatnationallevel 
RecognizedimportanceofanImpactDisasterPlanningAdvisoryGroup 
NewNEOintensityscaletoconnectthreatandemergencyprocedures 
Incaseofdanger,internationalagreementondatasharing,emergencyaidsandcollaboration
Communication Plan
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 9 
Communication Plan 
Preservationoflives:communication,securityandimmediateaction 
Panictobeavoided,threatnottobeunderestimated.Informonpreventionandmitigationactions 
Target:Governments&Public.Starteducationprogram.FostertruthfuldepictionofNEOsandtheireffectsandassurereliableinformationtomedia.Avoidspreadingoffalseinformation
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 10 
Communication Plan 
MSN UK (16/08/2014)
Education Program
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 12 
Education Program
Case Study
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
Pretty important media coverage 
≒What if situation 
What ifthe 2013 observation by ESAs Herschel Space Observatory would have confirmed a possible impact in 2036? 
Torino Scale5 
Regional destruction, millions of casualties 
Governments to operate with IAWN 
Communication and transparency 
Movements of opinion (religion, conspiracy theories, economic lobbies etc.) opposing early preparations 
LONG-TERM is critical 
2029. New observations confirm the impact 
Global economic crisis 
General panic mitigated by communication plan and education program 
Actions to relocate population from danger areas 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 14 
Case Study: 99942 Apophis
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
NEO Intensity Scale (NIS) 
Events magnitude 
Position on the globe (population density, building structure) 
Only for 8,9,10 of Torino scale 
Future works: take into consideration other emergency scales and studies 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 15 
Asteroid Intensity Scale 
Tocategorizeimpacthazard:TorinoScale&PalermoTechnicalImpactHazardScale 
Differentscaletotakeintoconsiderationonlytheeffectonground,connectedtomitigationactions 
InspiredbyMercalliintensityscaleforearthquakes(distinctfromRichterscale,whichmeasurestheenergyreleased)
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 16 
Conclusions 
NecessityofCommunicationplan:recentalarmswith1950DAhasshowntraditionalandnon-traditionalmediaarenotready. 
Establishmentofinternationalandnationalemergencyservicestohavecommunicationslinesinplacebeforetheyareneeded 
NISbasedonconsequencesofimpacts. 
Special Thanks 
Ray&CarolWilliamson
IAC-14.E5.5.5 
The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 
10/3/2014 
IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 17 
Thank you! Questions?

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The Near Earth Object Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy

  • 1. THE NEAR EARTH OBJECT THREAT: AN EFFECTIVE PUBLIC COMMUNICATION STRATEGY Matteo Emanuelli Bruno Sarli NielsVan Der Pas Lauren Lyons Behnoosh Meskoob Daniele Paglialunga Shripad Jagdale 3 October, 2014 International Astronautical Congress Toronto, Canada IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS
  • 2. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 2 Introduction: Space Generation Congress 2014
  • 3. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy Action Team 14 and IAWN Space Generation Congress 2013 Recommendations Communication Plan Education Program Case Study Asteroid Intensity Scale 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 3 PRESENTATION OUTLINE
  • 4. Action Team 14 and IAWN
  • 5. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 5 Action Team 14 and IAWN ActionTeamonNear-EarthObjects(AT-14)establishedin2001byUNCOPUOStoreviewcontent,structureandorganizationofeffortsonNEOsandmakeproposalstofosterinternationalcoordination. In2013UNendorsedthecreationofInternationalAsteroidWarningNetwork(IAWN)andSpaceMissionPlanningAdvisoryGroup(SMPAG)
  • 6. Space Generation Congress Recommendations
  • 7. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 7 Space Generation Congress Recommendations Effectivecommunicationplan:long,mediumandshort-termactions NEOEducationProgram:Generalpublic/Policymakers/Students Identifyingcommunicatorsatnationallevel RecognizedimportanceofanImpactDisasterPlanningAdvisoryGroup NewNEOintensityscaletoconnectthreatandemergencyprocedures Incaseofdanger,internationalagreementondatasharing,emergencyaidsandcollaboration
  • 9. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 9 Communication Plan Preservationoflives:communication,securityandimmediateaction Panictobeavoided,threatnottobeunderestimated.Informonpreventionandmitigationactions Target:Governments&Public.Starteducationprogram.FostertruthfuldepictionofNEOsandtheireffectsandassurereliableinformationtomedia.Avoidspreadingoffalseinformation
  • 10. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 10 Communication Plan MSN UK (16/08/2014)
  • 12. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 12 Education Program
  • 14. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy Pretty important media coverage ≒What if situation What ifthe 2013 observation by ESAs Herschel Space Observatory would have confirmed a possible impact in 2036? Torino Scale5 Regional destruction, millions of casualties Governments to operate with IAWN Communication and transparency Movements of opinion (religion, conspiracy theories, economic lobbies etc.) opposing early preparations LONG-TERM is critical 2029. New observations confirm the impact Global economic crisis General panic mitigated by communication plan and education program Actions to relocate population from danger areas 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 14 Case Study: 99942 Apophis
  • 15. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy NEO Intensity Scale (NIS) Events magnitude Position on the globe (population density, building structure) Only for 8,9,10 of Torino scale Future works: take into consideration other emergency scales and studies 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 15 Asteroid Intensity Scale Tocategorizeimpacthazard:TorinoScale&PalermoTechnicalImpactHazardScale Differentscaletotakeintoconsiderationonlytheeffectonground,connectedtomitigationactions InspiredbyMercalliintensityscaleforearthquakes(distinctfromRichterscale,whichmeasurestheenergyreleased)
  • 16. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 16 Conclusions NecessityofCommunicationplan:recentalarmswith1950DAhasshowntraditionalandnon-traditionalmediaarenotready. Establishmentofinternationalandnationalemergencyservicestohavecommunicationslinesinplacebeforetheyareneeded NISbasedonconsequencesofimpacts. Special Thanks Ray&CarolWilliamson
  • 17. IAC-14.E5.5.5 The NEO Threat: An Effective Public Communication Strategy 10/3/2014 IN SUPPORT OF THE UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON SPACE APPLICATIONS 17 Thank you! Questions?