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Information, Knowledge and Prognostic Criteria of Scientific Fundamental Research Estimations

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Valentyna Andrushchenko

"GRANT-2015" Conference Round table 'SCIENTOMETRICS THE WAY OF RESULTS ASSESSMENT OR SPECULATION ON QUANTITY' presentation

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Information, Knowledge and Prognostic Criteria of Scientific Fundamental Research Estimations Dr. Bohdan Kyiak Valentyna Andrushchenko Kyiv, 1-2 October, 2015
Problems: 1.The ways to solve the existing problems of the objective system of scientific search estimation. 2.The ways to control scientific research to provide the rational combination of centralized science management with the realization of all the research teams and every investigator creative opportunities. These are the problems, which scientometrics is trying to solve.
The sources for it are the developed knowledge bases and publications data bases, their citation indexes. All these indexes are used to provide scientometric research of grant projects in The State Fund For Fundamental Research of Ukraine The used scientometric indicators have the advantages and restrictions and that is the reason to use these indexes gently and not to assume them as the absolute ones.
Let us make a critical view on the common ways of researchers to increase their personal rate:
1. Self-Citations Countries leaders in self-citation (according to SCImago Journal and Country Rank) Country Documents Citable documents Citations Self- Citations 1. United States 8.626.193 7.876.234 177.434.935 83.777.658 2. China 3.617.355 3.569.652 19.110.353 10.462.121 10 50000000 100000000 150000000 200000000 1 Documents Citetions Self-Citations Series4 Series5 10 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 1 10 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 25000000 30000000 35000000 40000000 45000000 1 USA China UK
2. Frequentative publications of the results in different journals 3. Results Falsification 4. Dissemination of low-quality informa
5. The usage of knowledge and skills difficult for reconstitution 6. Second investigations (the need to fix the recrudescent research to prove the reliability of results) Establishment of specialized fund ? 7. Cooperation indicators for dozen (hundred) authors publications
8. Criteria of authenticity of received knowledge to determine the scientific thought form the other (for example, metaphysics) superstructures 9. The antiscience ostents (counteraction the expert evaluation of products and resources)
To create the scientific picture of the world the fundamental definitions and indexes were implemented, such as: - space, - time, - matter, - weight, - energy - information, the quantity of which is connected with the probability of its acquiring. The measure of the systems disorder is the entropy, which was defined by Ludvig Boltzman as a logarithm from the number of probable system states. Claude Shenon suggested the formula to calculate the quantity of information: p(a) the probability of acquiring the message, and information is measuring as a logarithm of the quantity of the experiments held. O.M. Kolmogorov suggested the algorithmic measure of information, which is defined by the length of the program. One more approach the sematic information measure.
10. The quality, the novelty and the value of information. The correlation of valuable of non- valuable (the information noise) information defines the coefficient of its value.
The entropy (S) is connected with the probability of system state, but information (I) about the process of receiving the data of this state. And the law of the safeness of entropy and information, which gives an opportunity to estimate the order and the chaos The raise of S The raise of I
The information-criteria estimation of the knowledge certainty (the transfer of the Zommerfeld and Blokh theoretical physical model for creating the areas energetic scheme of information streams) The injection of information Information actions area The tunneling of information The innovation barrier The innovation implementation area The level of innovation risk The non-scientific knowledge The proven scientific knowledge area The 1st demarcation level The 2nd demarcation level
11. The evaluation of information cost as odds between the expected results in terms of the whole awareness and the results of these actions or the decision when the awareness is not whole
12. The efficiency of the function system realization (as a correlation of the amount of energy used usefully for the realization of exact function and the general energy exes)
The instruments to control and forecast the Science e quantitative indexes for publications and citations high rate journals allows to define the scientific areas, hich are developing rapidly and to make a decision out stimulating this or that competitive scientific ection. s possible to forecast the publication potential and sult and also to make a decision about the visability of cooperation.
The mind into future is the move ahead, is the alternative of utopia and illusion, but we are to underline: Futurology, the prediction of future, based on the huge scientific assumption, the risk science Futurology is so primitive science because our mind is thinking linearly, but the knowledge develops exponentially.. But, even our measured intellect gives us an opportunity to penetrate into the deepest mysteries of the nature. Isnt it the sense of our life? (Michio Kaku Hyperspace)
Thank you for your attention!

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Information, Knowledge and Prognostic Criteria of Scientific Fundamental Research Estimations

  • 1. Information, Knowledge and Prognostic Criteria of Scientific Fundamental Research Estimations Dr. Bohdan Kyiak Valentyna Andrushchenko Kyiv, 1-2 October, 2015
  • 2. Problems: 1.The ways to solve the existing problems of the objective system of scientific search estimation. 2.The ways to control scientific research to provide the rational combination of centralized science management with the realization of all the research teams and every investigator creative opportunities. These are the problems, which scientometrics is trying to solve.
  • 3. The sources for it are the developed knowledge bases and publications data bases, their citation indexes. All these indexes are used to provide scientometric research of grant projects in The State Fund For Fundamental Research of Ukraine The used scientometric indicators have the advantages and restrictions and that is the reason to use these indexes gently and not to assume them as the absolute ones.
  • 4. Let us make a critical view on the common ways of researchers to increase their personal rate:
  • 5. 1. Self-Citations Countries leaders in self-citation (according to SCImago Journal and Country Rank) Country Documents Citable documents Citations Self- Citations 1. United States 8.626.193 7.876.234 177.434.935 83.777.658 2. China 3.617.355 3.569.652 19.110.353 10.462.121 10 50000000 100000000 150000000 200000000 1 Documents Citetions Self-Citations Series4 Series5 10 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 1 10 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 25000000 30000000 35000000 40000000 45000000 1 USA China UK
  • 6. 2. Frequentative publications of the results in different journals 3. Results Falsification 4. Dissemination of low-quality informa
  • 7. 5. The usage of knowledge and skills difficult for reconstitution 6. Second investigations (the need to fix the recrudescent research to prove the reliability of results) Establishment of specialized fund ? 7. Cooperation indicators for dozen (hundred) authors publications
  • 8. 8. Criteria of authenticity of received knowledge to determine the scientific thought form the other (for example, metaphysics) superstructures 9. The antiscience ostents (counteraction the expert evaluation of products and resources)
  • 9. To create the scientific picture of the world the fundamental definitions and indexes were implemented, such as: - space, - time, - matter, - weight, - energy - information, the quantity of which is connected with the probability of its acquiring. The measure of the systems disorder is the entropy, which was defined by Ludvig Boltzman as a logarithm from the number of probable system states. Claude Shenon suggested the formula to calculate the quantity of information: p(a) the probability of acquiring the message, and information is measuring as a logarithm of the quantity of the experiments held. O.M. Kolmogorov suggested the algorithmic measure of information, which is defined by the length of the program. One more approach the sematic information measure.
  • 10. 10. The quality, the novelty and the value of information. The correlation of valuable of non- valuable (the information noise) information defines the coefficient of its value.
  • 11. The entropy (S) is connected with the probability of system state, but information (I) about the process of receiving the data of this state. And the law of the safeness of entropy and information, which gives an opportunity to estimate the order and the chaos The raise of S The raise of I
  • 12. The information-criteria estimation of the knowledge certainty (the transfer of the Zommerfeld and Blokh theoretical physical model for creating the areas energetic scheme of information streams) The injection of information Information actions area The tunneling of information The innovation barrier The innovation implementation area The level of innovation risk The non-scientific knowledge The proven scientific knowledge area The 1st demarcation level The 2nd demarcation level
  • 13. 11. The evaluation of information cost as odds between the expected results in terms of the whole awareness and the results of these actions or the decision when the awareness is not whole
  • 14. 12. The efficiency of the function system realization (as a correlation of the amount of energy used usefully for the realization of exact function and the general energy exes)
  • 15. The instruments to control and forecast the Science e quantitative indexes for publications and citations high rate journals allows to define the scientific areas, hich are developing rapidly and to make a decision out stimulating this or that competitive scientific ection. s possible to forecast the publication potential and sult and also to make a decision about the visability of cooperation.
  • 16. The mind into future is the move ahead, is the alternative of utopia and illusion, but we are to underline: Futurology, the prediction of future, based on the huge scientific assumption, the risk science Futurology is so primitive science because our mind is thinking linearly, but the knowledge develops exponentially.. But, even our measured intellect gives us an opportunity to penetrate into the deepest mysteries of the nature. Isnt it the sense of our life? (Michio Kaku Hyperspace)
  • 17. Thank you for your attention!