Lesson Learned from a forgotten Pandemic
"This paper represents the preliminary result from an ongoing research project. The purpose of the project is to map the geographical and temporal development of the 1918 flu in at a local community. In this case, the Danish provincial marked town Holb脱k. By including a variety of concurrent records, the patterns of infection will be analyzed from a socioeconomic perspective by using different kinds of graph theory and methods. For example, social networks analy-sis (SNA). The overall aim of the project is to contribute to our understanding of the preconditions for the route of pandemics and annually epidemics. In particular, provide results and methods that can be further developed and included in real time surveillance (the loop) and evaluations on wherever a seasonal epidemic has the potential to go pandemic. "
Lesson Learned from a forgotten Pandemic
- 1. Lesson Learned from a forgotten Pandemic S淡ren K. Poder, Aarhus City Archives
- 3. 5-15% of the entire population in the developed world are affected by respiratory tract infections. Between three and five million are severe cases of illness, usually severe pneumonia 250.000 and 500.000 cases are lethal. In industrialized countries, most deaths currently are associated with influenza among the elderly over 65 years of age. In the USA alone it is estimated that the cost of seasonal influenza epidemics recent to the economy at US$ 71-167 billion per year. But what would happen in case of a world wide pandemic?
- 6. Born in Vordingborg, Jan. 27. 1887 Married and lived in Horsens Died in Odense 1918 Aurelia Marie Claudia Nielsen 7. november 1918 Connected
- 9. 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 Jan Feb mar apr maj jun jul aug sep okt nov dec jan feb mar apr maj jun jul aug sep okt nov dec INCIDENS number Infected pr district, 1918 - 1919 K淡benhavn By K淡benhavns A, By Roskilde By Frederiksborg By Holb脱k By Sor淡 By Pr脱st淡 By Lolland-Falster By Svendborg By Odense By Assens By Vejle By Skanderborg By Aarhus By Randers By Aalborg By Hj淡rring By Thisted By Viborg By Ringk淡bing By Ribe By Bornholm By Total
- 10. Anti Spanish Anti Spanish (remedy against Spanish influenza) As a remedy, there is curative or otherwise effective against disease
- 11. Acc. incidents, Roskilde county %
- 12. The Case: Holb脱k 1918
- 13. -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 1801 1834 1840 1845 1855 1860 1870 1880 1890 1901 1906 1911 1916 1921 1925 1930 1935 1940 POPULATION Increase in population, Holb脱k 1801 - 1940 Population Fluctuation (%) Procent
- 14. 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Jan Feb mar apr maj jun jul aug sep okt nov dec FATALITY Total number of Flu lncidens and total number of Death, Holb脱k 1918 D淡de Insidens
- 15. Data a lot it Medical Incident Rapports, 1917 - 1919 Death certificate, 1917 - 1919 Death certificate 1917 - 1919 National Census 1916 Church records, 1910 - 1920
- 16. Name : Gudrun Fransen Jensine Hansen Not Married Born: 25 Jan. 1900 in Holb脱k Occupation: Servant Address: Holb脱k Rolighedsvej 7 Date of death: 5. Nov. 1918 age: 18 Place of the death: Holb脱k Rolighedsvej 7 Cause of Death: Infuenza pneumonia disease last for: 4 days
- 17. Census, 1916
- 18. Parish Register
- 19. Cadastral Map
- 20. Name Enrollment number Date of birth Father's name (mother's name if the person was born out of wedlock) Place of birth and residence Height Any physical disabilities How, when and where theconscription was completed. Any exemption or enlistment the year of death if the conscripts died before enrollment in military service Military Penalty (if any)
- 21. www.denspanskesyge.dk Danish Family Search (AU) Basecrowd.dk Danish Demographic Database Daren C. Brabham
- 22. Thank you
Editor's Notes
- Why The Spanish Flu
- The Regional Level