This document discusses limitations of current customer satisfaction models and proposes a new "make or break" model. The current models use linear regression to assign attribute importance weights, but may miss non-compensatory effects where one attribute alone causes (dis)satisfaction. The new model incorporates rewards and penalties based on attributes identified as alone making or breaking the experience. A test study collected customer satisfaction data on mobile phone retailers using the new approach and found it generated attribute weights along with bonuses and penalties that provide additional insights over traditional models.
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Make Or Break Customer Satisfaction
1. Make or Break Customer Satisfaction
Improving Customer Satisfaction Measurement With New Methods
Keith Chrzan
Chief Research Officer, Maritz Research
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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2. Current practice for customer satisfaction modeling
Driver analysis using linear, compensatory customer
satisfaction models (regression, correlation, PLS, SEM)
Each attribute has an importance weight
Sum of attribute importances times their respective performance
scores reflects overall satisfaction
When done well, we account for the multicollinearity thats
pervasive in customer satisfaction research (e.g. Theils
information-theoretic averaging-over-orderings regression model)
Entered the marketing and economics fields in the 1950s and
1960s and never left
Fits well with statistical models
But how realistic is this model?
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3. A visit to <NAME REMOVED> hotel
Accurate reservation
Quick check in process
Nice room, upgraded bath
Larger TV than most movie theater screens
Easy internet access
Excellent workout room
Tasty room service
Comfortable bed, neatly folded
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4. A visit to <NAME REMOVED> hotel
Accurate reservation
Quick check in process
Nice room, upgraded bath
Larger TV than most movie theater screens
Easy internet access
Excellent workout room
Tasty room service
Comfortable bed, neatly folded with dead cockroaches
between the sheets
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6. Non-compensatory effects
Sometimes performance on an attribute is so bad that, all by
itself, it causes dissatisfaction
It doesnt matter how well the brand performs on other attributes,
poor performance on just one ruins the entire experience
This is a non-compensatory effect because adding the good
effects still cant overcome the effect of the poor performance on
overall satisfaction
Of course the opposite is also possible great performance on
one attribute outweighs shortcomings on others
Standard regression models miss these kinds of effects
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7. A non-compensatory model
Joffre Swait (1997) developed a questionnaire method that
allowed analysts to incorporate non-compensatory effects to
conjoint modeling
His method created better-fitting models, models that explain
brand choice better
His models generated additional insights not otherwise available
Which are must have attribute levels and for which and how many
people?
Which are dealbreakers for which and how many people?
Within three years, however, the advent of HB analysis made this
model obsolete, for conjoint studies
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8. A non-compensatory customer satisfaction model
Adapting Swaits approach to customer satisfaction modeling
creates a non-compensatory model featuring rewards and
penalties
The result is Make or Break customer satisfaction
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9. Test case
Online survey, May 2010
599 respondents rating a recent trip to a mobile phone retail
store
Overall satisfaction
Nine attributes identified as drivers of retailer satisfaction in
qualitative research
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10. Sample design
Two cells
Control cell (n=305): Standard customer sat survey
Test cell (n=294): Penalty/Reward approach
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11. Questionnaire Outline
First respondents rate their overall satisfaction
We ask of satisfied respondents
If any attributes were so wonderful that, all by themselves, they
made the experience great
We use a checklist, to make this easy for respondents
We ask dissatisfied respondents to check any attributes that
were so terrible as to ruin, by themselves, the overall
experience
We ask respondents to rate only the attributes not checked
above
Thus there are no additional keystrokes required from
respondents
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12. Questionnaire
Q1. Please indicate how satisfied you were with your mobile phone shopping experience at <INSERT MOBILE PHONE RETAIL STORE> using the scale below.
[ ] Completely satisfied [ ] Somewhat satisfied [ ] Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied [ ] Somewhat dissatisfied [ ] Completely dissatisfied
Q2c. ASK IF Q1< 3. Was the performance on any of these aspects so good as, all by itself, to make your overall mobile phone shopping experience satisfactory?
Q2d. ASK IF Q1> 3. Was the performance on any of these aspects so bad as, all by itself, to make your overall mobile phone shopping experience satisfactory?
Aspect Yes (for the good) Yes (for the bad)
Store location [] []
Speed of service [] []
Friendliness of sales representative [] []
Professionalism sales representative [] []
Information the sales representative had for me [] []
Phone prices [] []
Network coverage [] []
Availability of the phone I wanted [] []
Price of the calling plans [] []
None of these CANNOT BE CHOSEN WITH ANY OTHER [] []
Q2e. Please indicate how much you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about your mobile phone shopping experience at <MOBILE
PHONE RETAIL STORE>. SHOW ONLY ATTRIBUTES NOT CHECKED IN 2C OR 2D. RANDOMIZE ORDER.
Neither
Strongly agree nor Strongly
Agree Agree disagree Disagree Disagree
The store was conveniently located [] [] [] [] []
I was waited on quickly [] [] [] [] []
The sales representative was friendly [] [] [] [] []
The sales representative was professional [] [] [] [] []
The sales representative had the information I needed [] [] [] [] []
The phones were reasonably priced [] [] [] [] []
The network has adequate coverage [] [] [] [] []
The phone I wanted was available [] [] [] [] []
The calling plans were reasonably priced [] [] [] [] []
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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13. Results
We get these results
Basic coefficients (weights) for each attribute
An additional bonus weight for those people saying each attribute
was wonderful and made their experience great
An additional penalty, a negative weight, that detracts from the
overall rating for those people reporting attributes that ruined their
experience
Patterns of which attributes were particularly wonderful or terrible
vary
Not all respondents get the same attribute weights
The model accommodates respondent heterogeneity
This test case study uses regression analysis and shows the
statistically significant attribute coefficients
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14. Standard regression model
Attribute Coefficient
Rep had info I needed -
My phone was available -
Price of phone .13
Price of plan -
Coverage .15
Rep friendly .38
Rep professionalism -
Quick service -
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15. Base of Make or Break model
Attribute Coefficient
Rep had info I needed .18
My phone was available .07
Price of phone .15
Price of plan
Coverage
Rep friendly
Rep professionalism
Quick service
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16. Adding in penalties
%
reporting
attribute
ruined the
overall
Attribute Coefficient experience Penalty
Rep had info I needed .18 5 -.40
My phone was available .07 5 -.68
Price of phone .15
Price of plan 4 -.48
Coverage 1 -.64
Rep friendly
Rep professionalism
Quick service 6 -.96
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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17. Topping it off with gains
% %
reporting reporting
attribute attribute
ruined the perfected
overall the overall
Attribute Coefficient experience Penalty experience Reward
Rep had info I needed .18 5 -.40
My phone was available .07 5 -.68 31 .26
Price of phone .15
Price of plan 4 -.48
Coverage 1 -.64 30 .25
Rep friendly 39 .22
Rep professionalism 34 .17
Quick service 6 -.96
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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18. Correcting for multicollinearity
Using Theils model (True Driver Analysis) shows the impact of
all the penalties and gains, taking into account shared
variance among the scale questions, the penalties and the
rewards
-10% -5% 0% 5% 10%
Represenative - had
info I needed
Representative -
professional
Representative -
friendly
Waited on quickly
Phone i wanted was
Reward 32%
available
Phones were
Scale Questions 42%
reasonably priced Penalty 26%
Calling plans were
reasonably priced
Network has
adequate coverage
Conveniently located
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19. Evaluation
The non-compensatory Make or Break model yields additional
insights
The model incorporates respondent heterogeneity
Different respondents can have different patterns of penalties and
rewards
In this case, 47 distinct patterns
The model VASTLY improves prediction
Control cell with standard customer sat questions: R2 = 30%
Above plus non-compensatory penalties/rewards for ruining/making
my experience: R2 = 65%
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20. Maybe that was too easy?
Experiences at mobile phone retailers vary quite a bit (long
waits for service, phone availability, etc.)
How does the model perform when most respondents are
happy with their experiences?
Will a shortage of penalties allow the model enough to work
with?
Lets try retail banking
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21. Case studies 2-6
Web surveys fielded October 2010
Control groups doing standard ratings and test cells identifying
non-compensatory penalty/rewards
Five surveys of banking satisfaction
Branch satisfaction
ATM satisfaction
Call center satisfaction
Customer service representative satisfaction
Online banking satisfaction
Overall satisfaction and 3-11 attributes, depending on study
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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22. Sample sizes case studies 2-6
Control
Aspect Test Sample Sample
Branch 395 377
ATM 367 369
Call center 113 128
CSR 181 180
Online 363 363
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23. Bank branch satisfaction model
% reporting % reporting
attribute attribute
ruined the perfected
Standard overall the overall
Attribute regression Base experience Penalty experience Reward
Wait time in line .15 .10 2 -1.42
Staff courteous 41 .27
Speed of completing .19 .17
request
Staff knowledgeable .28 .22
Staff provides .18 .17 1 -.40
accurate answers
R2 .62 .68 .70
Significant effects for 4/10 attributes
Model improves with addition of penalties and then again with
addition of rewards
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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24. ATM satisfaction model
% reporting % reporting
attribute attribute
ruined the perfected
Standard overall the overall
Attribute regression Base experience Penalty experience Reward
Safe and secure .14 .14 71 .11
Ease of transaction .37 .19 2 -.99 42 .36
Wait time .13 .13 1 -1.61
R2 .51 .61 .64
Significant effects for all three attributes
Model improves with addition of penalties and rewards
Service failures are uncommon and catastrophic 1.61 points
on a 5 point scale!
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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25. Automated call satisfaction model
% reporting % reporting
attribute attribute
ruined the perfected
Standard overall the overall
Attribute regression Base experience Penalty experience Reward
Easy to get live rep 8 -.53
Easy to navigate .31 .13
Useful response .53 .42 5 -.72
options
Reasonable hold 4 -.85 37 .50
time
R2 .74 .81 .84
Significant effects for all four attributes
Model improves with addition of penalties and of rewards
Service failures are more common
Captures eight different varieties of customer experience
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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26. Phone rep satisfaction model
% reporting % reporting
attribute attribute
ruined the perfected
Standard overall the overall
Attribute regression Base experience Penalty experience Reward
Authority to address .22 .18 1 -.49
your issue
Explains things 2 -.80
clearly
Takes responsibility .28 .22 4 -.58
to resolve your issue
Handles call quickly 43 .31
Provides complete .27 .19
answers
R2 .71 .75 .77
Significant effects for 5/11 attributes
Three significant and injurious penalties
Improved model fit
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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27. Online banking satisfaction model
% reporting % reporting
attribute attribute
ruined the perfected
Standard overall the overall
Attribute regression Base experience Penalty experience Reward
Safe and secure 1 -1.45
Easy to navigate .21 .19
Easy to complete .15 .14 50 .17
tasks
Able to conduct .19 .13 1 -1.22
desired transactions
Helps you manage .11 .11
your finances
R2 .57 .61 .62
Significant effects for 5/10 attributes
Rewards are less good than penalties are bad (but more common)
Improved model fit
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28. Location of penalty/reward questions
If before attribute ratings, as in Study 1, an adaptive survey
flow can keep the amount of respondent effort (in terms of
number of keystrokes) the same as standard customer
satisfaction studies
If after, we require additional work from respondents
We split respondents, half with penalty/reward questions
before and half with after
Similar models, same R2 either way
Adaptive set-up doesnt seem to hurt the resulting data
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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29. Summary
In all six cases tested, the Make or Break model significantly
outperforms the standard customer satisfaction ratings
measurements
Higher R2 explains more variance on overall satisfaction
Additional insight about non-linear penalties and boosts for
excellent/poor performance
Additional insight about respondent heterogeneity
These benefits remain even if we only use the penalties part
of the model
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL, MARITZ COPYRIGHT 2010
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