1) By 2020, mobile networks will need to support 1000 times more traffic than 2010 levels through advancements in spectral efficiency, available spectrum, network densification, and new technologies.
2) New radio technologies aim to reduce latency by 10 times to 1ms and improve spectral efficiency 10 times through techniques like coordinated multipoint and interference cancellation.
3) Ten times more spectrum could be made available through initiatives to drive spectrum availability and technologies like cognitive radio.
4) The number of base stations is expected to grow to over 50 million by 2020, 80% being micro, pico or femtocells, to support 1000 times more network capacity through densification.
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Mark Neild Nsn Beyond 4 G
1. Mobile Broadband Beyond 4G
Mark Neild
Head of Business Transformation West Europe
11.07.2012
Customer presentation
1 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
2. What will the world want from wireless by 2020?
Mobile data traffic
Support up to Rock solid,
1000 times 1000 EB
ubiquitous
more traffic 1000x connectivity
1 EB
2010 2015 2020
息2011 Intuitive Surgical, Inc.
Apps bandwidth demand Millisecond
Gbps peak
3D HD speeds latency for
Ultra HD true local
3D SDTV feel
Super HD
HD
0Mbps 100Mbps 200Mbps 300
2 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
3. By 2020 radio can reduce latency 10x
Latency in radio networks Radio latency can be
pushed to 1 ms by
20 ms
2020 by using a
shorter frame length
15 ms
The main benefit is
10 ms
realized when content
is close. 1 ms limits
fiber length to 100 km.
5 ms
0 ms Enable low-latency
HSPA LTE B4G M2M solutions
Base station Air interface UE
3 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
4. By 2020 - radio can improve in spectral efficiency 10x
Spectral efficiency [bps/Hz/cell] Spectral efficiency can
be improved by
managing inter-cell
8
interference.
6
Efficiency is not
limited by Shannon
4 law but by inter-cell
interference.
2
Cell edge data rates
0 improve twice as
HSPA LTE LTE + CoMP + UE + further
today 2x2 Advanced interference innovations much
4x4 cancelation
4 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
5. By 2020 - there can be 10x more spectrum available
Evolution of available radio spectrum
Unlic 5GHz
1500MHz
Unlic 2.4GHz
3700 MHz
3400 MHz 10 times more
2600 MHz spectrum can be
1000MHz 2300 MHz made available if we
2100 MHz TDD drive for it.
2100 MHz
1800 MHz
500MHz
900 MHz Cognitive radio
800 MHz enables optimized
700 MHz spectrum usage over
450 MHz multiple operators
2010 2012 2015 2020
5 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
6. By 2020 - there will be 10x more base stations
Global base station forecast Number of cellular
base stations grows
50 Mn to over 50 Million
40 Mn
80% will be microcell
30 Mn
or smaller
20 Mn
10 Mn
Additionally more than
0 Mn 500 M WiFi APs
2010 2015 2020
Micro, Pico, Femto BTS Macro BTS
6 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
7. Up to 1000 times more capacity
10x 10x 10x 1000x
Performance Spectrum Base stations capacity
7 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
8. How about the old radios in 2020
GSM will still be HSPA and LTE Carrier WiFi will Spectral efficiency [Bps/Hz]
around driven e.g. networks will deliver carry up to 50% of
by installed M2M the ubiquitous total traffic . 8
base and billions of mobile broadband 5
legacy devices experience. 2
1
HSPA LTE B4G
Latency [ms]
20
10
1
HSPA LTE-A B4G
8 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
9. How can we build this?
Radio frequency bandwidth System on Chip enables Laws of physics determine
capability of basestations small radios, low power antenna size
consumption & integration
200MHz of intelligent functions.
SDR is no problem for
digital processing!
60MHz
2MHz 20MHz Continous growth of
1990 2000 2010 2020
1990 2000 2010 2020
computing power with
Moores law
60Bn
Switched mode power For same performance,
amplifier, high-voltage GaAs antenna size does not get
HBT and GaN technologies smaller. Size even increases
for wideband radios with 2Bn if beamforming is required
2Mn 60Mn
multicarrier capabilities
1990 2000 2010 2020
9 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
10. What will a macro site look like?
Bulky shelters have RF module is
disappeared - base integrated with the
stations installed on antenna
mast tops
Baseband New antenna form
processing is factors emerge:
integrated with the panels, arrays,
antenna, or pooled irregular shapes
at central site
10 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
11. What will a small base station look like?
Pico/Micro size is Femto module
dictated by shrinks to finger
required antenna tip size
performance
11 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
12. How can we deploy, commission and maintain
all the radios, frequency bands and layers?
All cells and frequency Multi-technology
layers automatically
managed by advanced SON
All spectrum under unified
RRM for instant capacity
and coverage optimization
Cognitive networks will
reduce errors, improve
quality and lower operation
and energy costs
12 息 Nokia Siemens Networks
13. Gigabit Experience
Reliable, Efficient and Personal
Ubiquitous
Connectivity
Unified Radio Cognitive
Resource Networks
Management
Active Wideband Liquid Radio
Antennas Multiradio
Multi- Multi- Heterogenous Self Organized
Carrier Standard Networks Networks
13 息 Nokia Siemens Networks