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Moneyball
for Votes
1787
Article the ?rst... After the ?rst enumeration required by
the ?rst article of the Constitution, there shall be one
Representative for every thirty thousand, until the
number shall amount to one hundred, after which the
proportion shall be so regulated by Congress, that there
shall be not less than one hundred Representatives, nor
less than one Representative for every forty thousand
persons, until the number of Representatives shall
amount to two hundred; after which the proportion
shall be so regulated by Congress, that there shall not
be less than two hundred Representatives, nor more
than one Representative for every ?fty thousand persons.
Article the ?rst... After the ?rst enumeration required by
the ?rst article of the Constitution, there shall be one
Representative for every thirty thousand, until the
number shall amount to one hundred, after which the
proportion shall be so regulated by Congress, that there
shall be not less than one hundred Representatives, nor
less than one Representative for every forty thousand
persons, until the number of Representatives shall
amount to two hundred; after which the proportion
shall be so regulated by Congress, that there shall not
be less than two hundred Representatives, nor more
than one Representative for every ?fty thousand persons.
Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_congressional_apportionment
Source: nationalatlas.gov
1
33,000
1
709,760
Source: Wikipedia
1793 2008
Source: why435.org
6,000 — 10,000
Article I
435
Today
Source: why435.org
1
90,000
1
709,760CONGRESS
HOUSE of
COMMONS
PROBLEM
Intermediaries necessary
Source: opensecrets.org
PROBLEM
Too easy for moneyed
interests to buy votes
Source: opensecrets.org
$3.55B
Total lobbying spending in 2010
For every dollar spent on lobbying, the
companies got $220 in tax bene?ts... a return
of 22,000%.”
Alex Blumberg
Source: npr.com
“
PROBLEM
Winning votes to be
elected is very expensive
Source: opensecrets.org
$6.5M
Cost to win Senate race in 2008
$1.1M
Cost to win Congressional race in 2008
1948
Moneyball for Votes
1964
Moneyball for Votes
1988
Moneyball for Votes
2004
Source: theatlantic.com
Moneyball for Votes
What do we have?
Moneyball for Votes
The new intermediaries
SOLUTION
Moneyball for Votes
SOLUTION
Disrupt mass media by
using a cheaper channel
to deliver votes
Mass media
? Top-down, one-to-
many
? Expensive, self-
reinforcing
? Message concentrated
in few hands
? Command-and-control
organization
Social media
? Many-to-many
? Cheap, accessible
? Message can evolve
? New blocs can form
based on shared
interest
? Self-organization
SOLUTION
Use their tools
to your advantage
Before
? Voter data kept
hidden by political
parties
? Consumer data
expensive, locked
away
? TV watching high
? Phone, location,
transit limits message
Now
? Voter roll data available
to the public
? Data is being shared on
Facebook
? TV on the decline; cell
phones, internet
increasing
? Messages can spread
virally
Moneyball for Votes
SOLUTION
“I’ll deliver my votes
to you if...”
Still Happening
? Donors and their
agendas most
important
? Negative ads
dominate
? Politicians forced to
satisfy donors to be
re-elected
? Outspending
Future
? New power-brokers on
social media are the
most important
? Positive messages
dominate
? Politicians need to hold
support of engaged
citizenry
? Outfriending
“the person who brings in the most online voters
between now and September 10 will win coffee
with the Congresswoman”
IN CONCLUSION
Apathy is out,
engagement is in
Moneyball for Votes
putorti
Thank you

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Moneyball for Votes