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NBA Injury Prediction
Peter Wen
petwen1027@gmail.com
github.com/rayal34/Predicting_NBA_Injuries
MOTIVATION
 Warriors offensive rating with Steph Curry: 119.1
 Warriors offensive rating without Steph Curry: 105.3
105.3 = not good!
MOTIVATION
 Increased awareness of player health.
PROCESS
 Collected data by web scraping.
Data
PROCESS
 Used a three week aggregation moving window.
Predict if an injury
will occur in the next
3 games
Aggregate box score
statistics in the three
weeks leading up to the
prediction
Time
RESULTS
Winner!
AUC = 0.549
INSIGHTS
 Important features to the model.
INSIGHTS
 Important features to the model.
INSIGHTS
 Important features to the model.
INSIGHTS
 Speed: slower running speed might signal an injury.
 Distance: greater distance ran might also signal an injury.
FUTURE WORK
 Investigate hustle stats.
 Ex: charges drawn, loose balls recovered.
 Diving head-first into the stands = higher injury risk!
Thank you!
Any questions?
Peter Wen
petwen1027@gmail.com
github.com/rayal34/Predicting_NBA_Injuries
NBA Injury Prediction
NBA Injury Prediction

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