Next generation satellite services are experiencing massive transformation, with the number of satellites launched each year skyrocketing. Several mega-constellation systems are being developed that will launch thousands of satellites to provide global broadband internet coverage. This represents both opportunities and challenges for regulators. Opportunities include bridging the digital divide, domestic industry development, and funding from government agencies. However, open issues remain around the economic sustainability of these systems, interference management, and addressing global challenges as space becomes increasingly crowded.
4. Satellites/year:
1967: 143
2020: 1200
2021: 1778
Similar average for 10 years
Satellites skyrocketing
Source: Edison Group. Euroconsult.
5. Satellite manufacturing and launch revenues: very long tail
Manufacturing and launch revenues
Satellites
per
company
5 companies will launch 58% of
new satellites until 2030
6. System Amazon
Kuiper
Guowang OneWeb SpaceX
Starlink
Telesat
Lightspeed
Planned satellites 3,276 12,992 648 12,000
30,000
298
Spectrum bands Ka Ka, V Ku, Ka V
Ku, Ka, E
Ku, Ka
Orbital height (km) 590-630 1100 1200 335-570
328-614
1015-1325
Manufacturer ABL Space
System
(start-up)
China SpaceSat
(R&D and
manufacturing)
JV with Airbus Space X Thales-Alenia
Space
Approx. life 5-10 years
Approx. data rates 100-400 Mbps
Approx. costs LEO: US$ 10,000-20,000 per Kg
Examples of mega-constellations
7. Downstream
Upstream
e.g. Airbus
e.g. SpaceX
GROUND TECHNOLOGY
e.g. Echostar
MANUFACTURING
LAUNCH SERVICES
e.g. SES
SERVICE PROVIDERS
Non-terrestrial Terrestrial
e.g. AT&T
End
customers
Industry
verticals,
enterprise
customers,
etc.
Satellites value chain
8. Business models: relationship with telecoms operators
Wholesale Retail
Greenfield
Brownfield - Distribution agreements
(e.g. retail broadband)
- Intermediate services
(e.g. backhaul LTE and 5G;
backup to navigation
systems)
Shareholder
JSTL j.v.
10. Amount Description
Covered
period
US US$24.00bn Proposed funding for NASA in FY 2022. (But only US$224m for
NASAs commercial LEO development programme). SpaceX
(supplier of NASA).
Proposed
FY 2022
EU US$15.44bn Total budget of the EU Space Programme. (Proposed: US$2.69bn to
be allocated for the Secure Connectivity Programme)
2021-2027
Japan US$4.50bn Total space-related budget (of these, US$71.4m are for satellite
quantum cryptography R&D projects)
2022
China US$3.15bn First phase of deployment of the Hongyan constellation.
(No information available on other constellations)
20162021
Canada US$1.14bn (69% repayable loan and 31% equity) for Telesat Lightspeed 2021
UK US$1.00bn Equity stake in OneWeb 2020
Korea US$530.90m Space-related budget 2022
South Africa US$293.52m Government funding for the National Space Agencys space
infrastructure hub
2020
Singapore US$110.92m Flagship space technology development programme 2022
Relationships with governments
11. Key issues in satellite services regulation
Licensing
Interference
and
coexistence
Satellite capacity and satellite services
providers (concession/ licence/
authorisation)
Earth stations (permit)
Duration: 3-5-10-20 years, satellite lifespan
Fees: per terminal or blanket licensing
Regulators impose technical rules to
avoid interference
Service providers must avoid
interferences/ report if existent
Migration
Each country has own coexistence
parameters
Varies per spectrum band
Per spectrum band
13. Technical characteristics & performance of new generation
satellites present opportunities and challenges
Some governments see new opportunities in this field. Direct
funding, equity investor, as clients, or a combination of the above.
Bridge coverage gaps, development opportunities for the domestic
industry, competitive advantage.
New dynamism in the industry. Incumbent groups, start-ups, new
partnerships of different sizes. Vision and business models vary.
Long-term promises: R&D on quantum cryptography for enhanced
security, and on hybrid networks (combination of terrestrial and
satellite in view of 6G).
Main takeaways - opportunities
14. Main takeaways open issues
Due to the current high CAPEX requirements,
revenue uncertainties and short lifespan of LEO
satellites, concerns over the economic
sustainability of many of these systems.
Capability to address "global" challenges
(accidents, space debris, liabilities, how to
collaborate, relations among governments) in an
increasingly crowded satellite space.