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deanvlamis
                                                                             MARKET NEWS
                                                                              2936 W. Belmont Avenue Chicago 60618

                                                                              773.612.2666 | dean@perlmortgage.com

                                                                              www.deanvlamis.com




It’s the economy, stupid!
I was truly hoping that I could write about      and to avoid a slow-down. Subsequently         action and success. (Success is vilified and
something new in this edition, but it            throughout the past decade the Fed has         class warfare has become the norm).
appears that for the last few years there is     become the savior of all things, making
a constant theme. It’s the economy stupid!       money incredibly cheap and continuing          What is focused on then is not living in a
So it appears that once again I will have to     to pump or print money to try and create       fashion that creates wealth, but rather the
stick with the basic underlying theme.           growth. In the past two years the Fed has      concrete material products of those who
                                                 taken unprecedented action in this case to     live well. (It now matters what you have,
Things are challenging in today’s economy        no avail.                                      rather than what is earned or created).
to say the least, and it has been going
on for over three years now and it is            This brings me back to my original theme       This was the problem with the mortgage
understandable why people are getting            of America and American exceptionalism,        policies that lead to our present financial
impatient. In years past the US has hit          or what has happened to it.                    collapse. It was observed that people
recessions and economic slowdowns, but                                                          who owned their own homes were more
has always bounced back, pulling out of          Before I start reminiscing again about         successful than those who did not. So
it and coming out stronger and for the           yesteryear and the days when America           the busybodies in government decided
better. Traditionally this growth will take      and Americans took care of themselves,         that more people should own their own
a few years and although recessions can          let’s break down the current climate in this   homes, and then more people would be
be tough, at times they are necessary.           country and how the perception of success      more successful!
                                                 and wealth has changed.
Yes, necessary.                                                                                 Banks were then “encouraged” to make
                                                 Instead of focusing on past success and        easier loans to people who could not really
All a recession is doing is letting the market   how America and the American people            manage that debt, so that they could own
correct itself from bad investments or           have been able to prosper and withstand        homes, too. The government implored
over exuberance. Remember the late 90’s          hard times, we now focus on material           Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to loosen
when everyone was buying .com stocks             possessions as a measure of success.           guidelines so more people would qualify
of companies that made no money, but                                                            for a home (a New York Times article from
it was all the craze? It was easy money          There is a connection between the              1998 states the dangers of easing Fannie
and the mass investors, just like a herd of      discipline of thrift and earned achievement    Mae and Freddie Mac guidelines and the
cattle, followed the lead. When this didn’t      that is vital to the creation of wealth, and   potential horrific fallout that would occur
pan out the market simply corrected itself,      to overall success in life; but these are      in a downturn…very prophetic). So, by
slowing things down a bit and dipping            virtues that require acts of will. One has     becoming homeowners they were now
into a recession. Banks restricted their         to actually go out and stake a claim and       successful.
lending to make sure that any companies          earn what they want.
they lent to could actually turn a profit.                                                      Divorced from this wacky idea is any
This, coupled with the shock of 9/11 a           It’s very important to understand this:        appreciation that it is not the home itself
few years later, triggered the Fed to take                                                      that makes a person more successful, but
actions never before seen. Not leaving           The cultural disconnection between             the habits and practices that create a life
market forces to fix things, they decided        willpower and success has been a constant      and a lifestyle which enables a person to
that they would make money cheap and             theme in the past years.                       accumulate enough wealth that they can
basically free. What the Fed was doing was                                                      afford to buy and maintain a home.
basically taking the stance that recessions      The very idea of “spreading the wealth
are no longer tolerable or should not be         around” denies any relation between wealth     The home, or any material possession, is
allowed to ever happen. They lowered the         and human action. (Who is spreading the        not the virtue - the home or any material
Federal Funds rates in order to “avert” a        wealth and how?) The ethical behavior that     possession is a byproduct of the virtues
recession. In doing this they were making it     leads to wealth should be applauded and        which lead to it.
cheap for banks to borrow from the Fed in        emulated, but instead they are sidelined as
hopes that these large banks would in turn       insignificant background noise. Thus the       What actually leads to success is not
continue to lend to “spur” the economy           disconnect between achievement, taking         the stuff you have, but the capacity of



                                   www.deanvlamis.com                | www.perlmortgage.com
Dean Vlamis                 | 773.612.2666                                                                   page 2




willpower, self-control, and self-regulation                   It was none other than Rocky Balboa.                             that it is not OK to work out in spandex
that allows you to earn that stuff.                            Yes, I know that there have been so many                         shorts!), Joanie Loves Chachi, Boy George,
                                                               Rocky movies that it has diluted the                             The Love Boat, mood rings (wore one
The whole premise of throwing money at                         original meaning. Surprisingly enough this                       proudly in 6th grade), disco, Dirty Dancing,
problems is based on the idea that people                      quote is actually from the very last entry,                      Vanilla Ice…you get the idea, we let this
need stuff, and if people have stuff, they                     Rocky Balboa. In this movie, Rocky, now                          happen!!!
will be better off. And this is the basis for                  nearing 70 years old or something like
most of the government’s actions.                              that comes out of retirement to fight the
                                                               current champ…and almost wins!!! Yes,
Liberty requires the capacity for self-                        very believable. So before you laugh, try
regulation. It is the freedom to live as                       and remember the first time you actually
you choose, without imposition by the                          saw the first Rocky. If you were in the
state. When you abandon your own                               theaters back in 1976 when this came
willpower and self-responsibility, you are                     out then you could easily remember a
surrendering yourself to the control and                       packed audience cheering wildly as Rocky
custody of others.                                             fought back against the unbeatable Apollo
                                                               Creed. An underdog from nowhere with a
                                                                                                                                Seriously?
Production, not consumption, drives the                        chance to make it for himself, he took his
economy; risk-taking creates growth, not                       opportunity and used his own action and                          But we fixed it and moved on, and didn’t
subsidies. These were basics concepts that                     willpower to succeed. People were literally                      take any of it seriously. Hopefully we can
America understood in the past.                                jumping out of their seats. So if we skip                        get back to the basics and realize that
                                                               the middle five Rocky’s and simply use the                       we have been here before and relied on
Whew…                                                          first and last, you can see that this is truly                   ourselves to get us through these times.
                                                               an inspirational great American story.
When I was young and impressionable I
was always inspired by people of action,                       This is what America loves; why? Not
people who overcame the odds to make                           because we are underdogs and the “little
their mark. Who wasn’t?                                        guy” winning. No, it is the will, strength
                                                               and determination to succeed that we
Of all my childhood heros I came across                        have always appreciated. Think Steve
this inspiring quote; can you guess who                        Jobs, Hank Reardon, or John Galt. That
this is?                                                       is why as far back as 1937, the race horse
                                                               Seabiscuit was a national phenomenon.
“Let me tell you something you already                         Seabiscuit was the Rocky of his time. A
know. The world ain’t all sunshine and                         horse no one thought could run. But when
rainbows. It is a very mean and nasty place                    left to his own competitive nature, it was
and it will beat you to your knees and keep                    said that never was a horse so competitive
                                                                                                                                Parachute pants
you there permanently if you let it. You,                      and determined to succeed. This is what
me, or nobody is gonna hit as hard as life.                    America gravitates to.
But it ain’t how hard you hit; it’s about
how hard you can get hit, and keep moving
forward. How much you can take, and
keep moving forward. That’s how winning
is done. Now if you know what you are
worth, then go out and get what you are
worth. But you gotta be willing to take the
hit, and not pointing fingers saying you
ain’t where you are because of him, her or
anybody. Cowards do that and that ain’t
you. You’re better than that!”                                 Seabiscuit

                                                               Don’t get me wrong, America has made                             Joanie Loves Chachi
                                                               mistakes before, plenty of them, and I
                                                               would have to admit that I fell for a lot of
                                                               these. Who can forget the following?

                                                               Duran Duran, Right Said Fred, The Pet
                                                               Rock, stonewashed jeans (yep, had a pair),
                                                               parachute pants (never), perms for men,
                                                               Abba, flower power, spandex shorts for
                                                               men (can someone please help me on this
Rocky! Rocky!                                                  and come to my gym to let them know                              Nobody makes Baby sit in the corner.




                                             www.deanvlamis.com                            | www.perlmortgage.com

     Illinois Residential Mortgage Licensee MB0004358 and Equal Housing Lender. Licensed by Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act. NMLS #19186,
     194442 (IL, MI, WI), 31.0007455 (IL), 16882 (IN).

More Related Content

Nov 2011 Dean Vlamis Newsletter

  • 1. deanvlamis MARKET NEWS 2936 W. Belmont Avenue Chicago 60618 773.612.2666 | dean@perlmortgage.com www.deanvlamis.com It’s the economy, stupid! I was truly hoping that I could write about and to avoid a slow-down. Subsequently action and success. (Success is vilified and something new in this edition, but it throughout the past decade the Fed has class warfare has become the norm). appears that for the last few years there is become the savior of all things, making a constant theme. It’s the economy stupid! money incredibly cheap and continuing What is focused on then is not living in a So it appears that once again I will have to to pump or print money to try and create fashion that creates wealth, but rather the stick with the basic underlying theme. growth. In the past two years the Fed has concrete material products of those who taken unprecedented action in this case to live well. (It now matters what you have, Things are challenging in today’s economy no avail. rather than what is earned or created). to say the least, and it has been going on for over three years now and it is This brings me back to my original theme This was the problem with the mortgage understandable why people are getting of America and American exceptionalism, policies that lead to our present financial impatient. In years past the US has hit or what has happened to it. collapse. It was observed that people recessions and economic slowdowns, but who owned their own homes were more has always bounced back, pulling out of Before I start reminiscing again about successful than those who did not. So it and coming out stronger and for the yesteryear and the days when America the busybodies in government decided better. Traditionally this growth will take and Americans took care of themselves, that more people should own their own a few years and although recessions can let’s break down the current climate in this homes, and then more people would be be tough, at times they are necessary. country and how the perception of success more successful! and wealth has changed. Yes, necessary. Banks were then “encouraged” to make Instead of focusing on past success and easier loans to people who could not really All a recession is doing is letting the market how America and the American people manage that debt, so that they could own correct itself from bad investments or have been able to prosper and withstand homes, too. The government implored over exuberance. Remember the late 90’s hard times, we now focus on material Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to loosen when everyone was buying .com stocks possessions as a measure of success. guidelines so more people would qualify of companies that made no money, but for a home (a New York Times article from it was all the craze? It was easy money There is a connection between the 1998 states the dangers of easing Fannie and the mass investors, just like a herd of discipline of thrift and earned achievement Mae and Freddie Mac guidelines and the cattle, followed the lead. When this didn’t that is vital to the creation of wealth, and potential horrific fallout that would occur pan out the market simply corrected itself, to overall success in life; but these are in a downturn…very prophetic). So, by slowing things down a bit and dipping virtues that require acts of will. One has becoming homeowners they were now into a recession. Banks restricted their to actually go out and stake a claim and successful. lending to make sure that any companies earn what they want. they lent to could actually turn a profit. Divorced from this wacky idea is any This, coupled with the shock of 9/11 a It’s very important to understand this: appreciation that it is not the home itself few years later, triggered the Fed to take that makes a person more successful, but actions never before seen. Not leaving The cultural disconnection between the habits and practices that create a life market forces to fix things, they decided willpower and success has been a constant and a lifestyle which enables a person to that they would make money cheap and theme in the past years. accumulate enough wealth that they can basically free. What the Fed was doing was afford to buy and maintain a home. basically taking the stance that recessions The very idea of “spreading the wealth are no longer tolerable or should not be around” denies any relation between wealth The home, or any material possession, is allowed to ever happen. They lowered the and human action. (Who is spreading the not the virtue - the home or any material Federal Funds rates in order to “avert” a wealth and how?) The ethical behavior that possession is a byproduct of the virtues recession. In doing this they were making it leads to wealth should be applauded and which lead to it. cheap for banks to borrow from the Fed in emulated, but instead they are sidelined as hopes that these large banks would in turn insignificant background noise. Thus the What actually leads to success is not continue to lend to “spur” the economy disconnect between achievement, taking the stuff you have, but the capacity of www.deanvlamis.com | www.perlmortgage.com
  • 2. Dean Vlamis | 773.612.2666 page 2 willpower, self-control, and self-regulation It was none other than Rocky Balboa. that it is not OK to work out in spandex that allows you to earn that stuff. Yes, I know that there have been so many shorts!), Joanie Loves Chachi, Boy George, Rocky movies that it has diluted the The Love Boat, mood rings (wore one The whole premise of throwing money at original meaning. Surprisingly enough this proudly in 6th grade), disco, Dirty Dancing, problems is based on the idea that people quote is actually from the very last entry, Vanilla Ice…you get the idea, we let this need stuff, and if people have stuff, they Rocky Balboa. In this movie, Rocky, now happen!!! will be better off. And this is the basis for nearing 70 years old or something like most of the government’s actions. that comes out of retirement to fight the current champ…and almost wins!!! Yes, Liberty requires the capacity for self- very believable. So before you laugh, try regulation. It is the freedom to live as and remember the first time you actually you choose, without imposition by the saw the first Rocky. If you were in the state. When you abandon your own theaters back in 1976 when this came willpower and self-responsibility, you are out then you could easily remember a surrendering yourself to the control and packed audience cheering wildly as Rocky custody of others. fought back against the unbeatable Apollo Creed. An underdog from nowhere with a Seriously? Production, not consumption, drives the chance to make it for himself, he took his economy; risk-taking creates growth, not opportunity and used his own action and But we fixed it and moved on, and didn’t subsidies. These were basics concepts that willpower to succeed. People were literally take any of it seriously. Hopefully we can America understood in the past. jumping out of their seats. So if we skip get back to the basics and realize that the middle five Rocky’s and simply use the we have been here before and relied on Whew… first and last, you can see that this is truly ourselves to get us through these times. an inspirational great American story. When I was young and impressionable I was always inspired by people of action, This is what America loves; why? Not people who overcame the odds to make because we are underdogs and the “little their mark. Who wasn’t? guy” winning. No, it is the will, strength and determination to succeed that we Of all my childhood heros I came across have always appreciated. Think Steve this inspiring quote; can you guess who Jobs, Hank Reardon, or John Galt. That this is? is why as far back as 1937, the race horse Seabiscuit was a national phenomenon. “Let me tell you something you already Seabiscuit was the Rocky of his time. A know. The world ain’t all sunshine and horse no one thought could run. But when rainbows. It is a very mean and nasty place left to his own competitive nature, it was and it will beat you to your knees and keep said that never was a horse so competitive Parachute pants you there permanently if you let it. You, and determined to succeed. This is what me, or nobody is gonna hit as hard as life. America gravitates to. But it ain’t how hard you hit; it’s about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That’s how winning is done. Now if you know what you are worth, then go out and get what you are worth. But you gotta be willing to take the hit, and not pointing fingers saying you ain’t where you are because of him, her or anybody. Cowards do that and that ain’t you. You’re better than that!” Seabiscuit Don’t get me wrong, America has made Joanie Loves Chachi mistakes before, plenty of them, and I would have to admit that I fell for a lot of these. Who can forget the following? Duran Duran, Right Said Fred, The Pet Rock, stonewashed jeans (yep, had a pair), parachute pants (never), perms for men, Abba, flower power, spandex shorts for men (can someone please help me on this Rocky! Rocky! and come to my gym to let them know Nobody makes Baby sit in the corner. www.deanvlamis.com | www.perlmortgage.com Illinois Residential Mortgage Licensee MB0004358 and Equal Housing Lender. Licensed by Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act. NMLS #19186, 194442 (IL, MI, WI), 31.0007455 (IL), 16882 (IN).