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Understanding Sustainability
         Trends
        Errol Goetsch
        errol@xe4.org
       www.xmentors.us
Key trends in development .
(1) Donor Fatigue Donor expectations rising when NPO performance is falling


                                                                  Donor Expectations
           Falling NGO                        Rising donor
                                                                  Initially na誰ve,
           capacity                           expectations
                                                                  trusting NPOs will deliver;
                                                                  impose few reporting and
                                                                  proof requirements.
                                                                  Sullivan Code made CSI
                                                                  cosmetic; no investment in
                                                                  back-office design, funding
                           Increasing donor                       field-office delivery instead.
                           frustration and
                                                                  NPO Performance
                           NGO anxiety at
                                                                  Initially well-run,
                           cross-over
                                                                  in regulated environment,
                                                                  then heavily funded from
                                                                  abroad with weak auditing,
                                                                  with little investment in
                                                                  institutional capacity,
                                                                  loss of talent and diversion
           Rising social                         Falling NGO      of money since 1994
           needs                                 performance

           70s            80s           90s             00s
                                                                   2
Key trends in development .
(2) Downspend Donors hold back when NGOs cant deliver


                                                              Richer NGOs
          Richer NGOs
                                                              Have the resources to
          market
                                                              market themselves and
          themselves well
                                                              maintain relationships with
                                                              donors.




Income                       Donors struggle to
                             see visibility and               NPO Performance
                             impact for their                 Initially well-run,
                             funds                            in regulated environment,
                                                              then heavily funded from
                                                              abroad with weak auditing,
                                                              with little investment in
                                                              institutional capacity,
                                                              loss of talent and diversion
                                        Poorer NGOs market   of money since 1994
                                        themselves poorly

                            Number                             3
Key trends in development .
(3) Flight to Quality Donors prefer NGOs who promise visibility and show impact


                                                                 Richer NGOs
           Richer NGOs
                                                                 Have the resources to
           market
                                                                 market themselves and
           themselves well
                                                                 maintain relationships with
                                                                 donors.




Income                         Donors shift to
                               richer NGOs                      NPO Performance
                                                                 Initially well-run,
                                                                 in regulated environment,
                                                                 then heavily funded from
                                                                 abroad with weak auditing,
                                                                 with little investment in
                                                                 institutional capacity,
                                                                 loss of talent and diversion
                                           Poorer NGOs market   of money since 1994
                                           themselves poorly

                             Number                               4

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NPO Sustainability Trends

  • 1. Understanding Sustainability Trends Errol Goetsch errol@xe4.org www.xmentors.us
  • 2. Key trends in development . (1) Donor Fatigue Donor expectations rising when NPO performance is falling Donor Expectations Falling NGO Rising donor Initially na誰ve, capacity expectations trusting NPOs will deliver; impose few reporting and proof requirements. Sullivan Code made CSI cosmetic; no investment in back-office design, funding Increasing donor field-office delivery instead. frustration and NPO Performance NGO anxiety at Initially well-run, cross-over in regulated environment, then heavily funded from abroad with weak auditing, with little investment in institutional capacity, loss of talent and diversion Rising social Falling NGO of money since 1994 needs performance 70s 80s 90s 00s 2
  • 3. Key trends in development . (2) Downspend Donors hold back when NGOs cant deliver Richer NGOs Richer NGOs Have the resources to market market themselves and themselves well maintain relationships with donors. Income Donors struggle to see visibility and NPO Performance impact for their Initially well-run, funds in regulated environment, then heavily funded from abroad with weak auditing, with little investment in institutional capacity, loss of talent and diversion Poorer NGOs market of money since 1994 themselves poorly Number 3
  • 4. Key trends in development . (3) Flight to Quality Donors prefer NGOs who promise visibility and show impact Richer NGOs Richer NGOs Have the resources to market market themselves and themselves well maintain relationships with donors. Income Donors shift to richer NGOs NPO Performance Initially well-run, in regulated environment, then heavily funded from abroad with weak auditing, with little investment in institutional capacity, loss of talent and diversion Poorer NGOs market of money since 1994 themselves poorly Number 4