OODA.MODELS.CODE.VELOCITY - Velocity 2015
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The document discusses the OODA loop (Observe, Orient, Decide, Act) framework developed by military strategist John Boyd and its application in various fields, highlighting the importance of building models based on observations. It emphasizes that models can create fragility and risk if taken too seriously and advocates for the continuous invalidation of models through real-time data analytics. The text underscores that while models are inherently biased and limited, they can also provide value in decision-making processes when contextualized appropriately.
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![A KNOB AFFORDSTWISTING,AND PERHAPS PUSHING,WHILE A CORD
AFFORDS PULLING.
AN AFFORDANCE [IS]THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME ACTION,AND IS NOT A
PROPERTY OF EITHER AN ORGANISM OR ITS ENVIRONMENT ALONE.](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/velocity15-sc-aneel-ooda-pdf-150530160816-lva1-app6891/85/OODA-MODELS-CODE-VELOCITY-Velocity-2015-6-320.jpg)
![WE [TENDTO] IGNORE OBSERVATIONS
THAT DONT FIT OUR MODELS](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/velocity15-sc-aneel-ooda-pdf-150530160816-lva1-app6891/85/OODA-MODELS-CODE-VELOCITY-Velocity-2015-14-320.jpg)
![WE MAKE DECISIONS [ONLY] WITHIN
THE FRAMEWORKS OF OUR MODELS](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/velocity15-sc-aneel-ooda-pdf-150530160816-lva1-app6891/85/OODA-MODELS-CODE-VELOCITY-Velocity-2015-16-320.jpg)
![FASTER!!!
[CARGO CULTVERSION]](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/velocity15-sc-aneel-ooda-pdf-150530160816-lva1-app6891/85/OODA-MODELS-CODE-VELOCITY-Velocity-2015-18-320.jpg)
![OPERATE INSIDETHE
[ADVERSARYS]
TIME SCALE](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/velocity15-sc-aneel-ooda-pdf-150530160816-lva1-app6891/85/OODA-MODELS-CODE-VELOCITY-Velocity-2015-19-320.jpg)
![[IMMOVABLE]
MODELS CREATE
FRAGILITY](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/velocity15-sc-aneel-ooda-pdf-150530160816-lva1-app6891/85/OODA-MODELS-CODE-VELOCITY-Velocity-2015-32-320.jpg)
![ORIENTATION AND DECISION CAN BE
SHORT-CIRCUITED [FOR KNOWN MODELS]
SCALED BEYOND HUMAN CAPACITY](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/velocity15-sc-aneel-ooda-pdf-150530160816-lva1-app6891/85/OODA-MODELS-CODE-VELOCITY-Velocity-2015-39-320.jpg)
![CAUTION:ALL MODELS ARE WRONG,
SOME ARE USEFUL [IN SOME CONTEXT]](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/velocity15-sc-aneel-ooda-pdf-150530160816-lva1-app6891/85/OODA-MODELS-CODE-VELOCITY-Velocity-2015-41-320.jpg)
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OODA.MODELS.CODE.VELOCITY - Velocity 2015
- 2. NOT QUALIFIEDTO GIVETHISTALK Marketing Analyst Product Infra Arch Net Eng Sys Admin NOC Op Tech Support
- 3. HE IS USAF Colonel & Military Strategist John Richard Boyd
- 6. A KNOB AFFORDSTWISTING,AND PERHAPS PUSHING,WHILE A CORD AFFORDS PULLING. AN AFFORDANCE [IS]THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME ACTION,AND IS NOT A PROPERTY OF EITHER AN ORGANISM OR ITS ENVIRONMENT ALONE.
- 9. OODA : COGNITION-ACTION :: __ :AFFORDANCE
- 10. HOW DO WE GO FROM OBSERVATION TO ORIENTATION?
- 11. HOW DO WE GO FROM ORIENTATION TO DECISION?
- 12. WE BUILD MODELS
- 13. WE PUT OBSERVATIONS INTO MODELS
- 14. WE [TENDTO] IGNORE OBSERVATIONS THAT DONT FIT OUR MODELS
- 15. WE ORIENT WITH ANDTO MODELS
- 16. WE MAKE DECISIONS [ONLY] WITHIN THE FRAMEWORKS OF OUR MODELS
- 20. 1 Adversary 1: OODA 2 Adversary 1: OODA 3 Adversary 1: OODAOODAOODA 4 Adversary 1: OODA^X Adversary 2: OOD_ Adversary 2: OO__ Adversary 2: OOD_OO_O_ Adversary 2: OOD_O_D_A_O
- 22. PARTS OFTHE LOOP ARE NOT EQUAL
- 23. OBSERVE & ACT VS ORIENT & DECIDE
- 24. FIRST-ORIENTER DISADVANTAGE Law & Finance Professor Frank Portnoy
- 26. MAPPING WONDER, PEACE,WAR BUSINESS CYCLES Researcher of Strategy & Mapmaker Simon Wardley
- 28. CAUSING AN ADVERSARYS MODELTO BE INVALID ISTHE PRIMARY MEANS OF WINNING
- 29. TAKING OUR MODELSTOO SERIOUSLY IS A RISK WAITINGTO BE EXPLOITED (OR BLOWN UP)
- 30. BLACK SWANS ANTIFRAGILITY Professor of Risk Engineering N. N.Taleb
- 31. BLACK SWANS LIE OUTSIDE OUR MODELS
- 33. SCALES OF ABSTRACTION PROMISETHEORY Architect of CFEngine Mark Burgess
- 34. EVERY MODEL HAS A HALF LIFE
- 35. SO WHAT?
- 36. THERES AN INHERENT ADVANTAGE WHEN EVERYTHING IS CODE
- 37. OBSERVATION CAN BE INSTRUMENTED SCALED BEYOND HUMAN CAPACITY
- 38. ACTION CAN BE AUTOMATED SCALED BEYOND HUMAN CAPACITY
- 39. ORIENTATION AND DECISION CAN BE SHORT-CIRCUITED [FOR KNOWN MODELS] SCALED BEYOND HUMAN CAPACITY
- 40. TIME CAN BE REALLOCATEDTO ORIENTING AND DECIDING IN NOVEL CONTEXTS SCALING TO HUMAN CAPACITY
- 41. CAUTION:ALL MODELS ARE WRONG, SOME ARE USEFUL [IN SOME CONTEXT]
- 42. CAUTION: OUR MODELS ARE BIASED BY OUR BIASES
- 43. CAUTION: MODELS ARE NOT SCALE-INVARIANT Scales: number, size, resolution, frequency, dimensionality, time, rate of change
- 44. CAUTION: SAFE MODELS BECOME RISKY AT DIFFERENT SCALES / CONTEXTS
- 45. KNOW THE CONTEXT
- 47. ORIENTATION AND DECISION Through streaming analytics, exploring metrics in real time, as theyre created, building meaningful (composite) signals, creating leverage for Orient and Decide. Invalidating models daily.
- 48. READ PRIMARY SOURCES (OR FEWEST DEGREES FROM)
- 51. ADVANCED MONITORING PLATFORM FOR MODERN APPLICATIONS https://signalfx.com
- 52. IMAGE CREDITS J.J. Gibson: Cornell University Library Frank Partnoy: Startup Grind N.N.Taleb: NYTimes Mark Burgess: markburgess.org Book cover images from Amazon Coffee: me Me: not me