2. Introduction
PERT is a method of analyzing the task involved in completing a given
project, especially the time needed to complete each task, and to
identify the minimum time needed to complete the project.
PERT was developed primarily to simplify the planning and scheduling
of large and complex projects.
Developed by the US Navy for the planning and control of the Polaris
missile program. This emphasis was on completing the program in the
shortest possible time.
3. Definition
PERT is a work model devised to
complete the project work in
time. Analysis the actual work
time required to complete a
task.
4. Concept and meaning
PERT is a very famous project model that has found its use in
various professions, including nursing.
This model helps in judging the time required and completing an
activity.
Nurse administrators can use this model to delegate and assign
the work schedule to the Nurses in a hospital.
It not only evidence is the cost effectiveness of nursing care, but
also has great impact on reducing the expenditure by the patient.
This helps to reduce a patients hospital stay by judging before
hand the actual care time, manpower, money and the material
required.
5. Where we use PERT?
PERT is used when activity times are
uncertain.
determine the duration of the project.
Decision making under risk.
6. PERT INCLUDES:
The finished product or serviced desired.
The total time and budget needed to complete the project or program
The starting Date and completion date
The sequences of steps or activities
The Estimated time and cost of each step or activity
7. Components of PERT model
Every activity consumed time and needs adequate resources such as
man power, material, space and machinery to change or move one
event to other.
Predecessor Event : it is an event that preceedes some other event,
can be single or massive
Successor Event : it is an event that immediately follows some other
events, it can have single multiple successor events.
Optimistic Time (O) : is the minimum possible time required to
complete the task anticipating that every event has occurred better
than usually expected.
Pessimistic Time (P) : this means the maximum possible time
required to complete the task, expecting or resuming everything goes
wrong, except the main catastrophes.
8. Most likely time (M) : the action and the time required to complete the
task assuming Everything goes in as usual.
Expected time or the very best time (TH) : The accurate or the best
time required to complete the task, it is the most reliable and valid time
estimated to complete task. It can be calculated the following relation.
TH (O + 4M-P) / 6
Eg: TH = (5min + 4X 10min 15 min) /6 = 5min.
Float or slack time : it is the amount of time that can be floated with
without causing delay in the total completion of the work.
9. Critical paths : it is the longest possible, and the actual total time
required to complete the full task. It is otherwise called as total
calendar time.
Critical total float activity it is an activity that has total float equal
to zero. No float time is required in the critical path.
Lead time : this refers to the time taken by the predecessor to
complete the task. In this, there is sufficient time for the subsequent
activities that can follow the predecessor.
Lag time : the earliest time taken by the success event to take place,
which follows the specific PERT activity.
10. PERT CHART
A PERT chart is a graphical representation of the activities of a project,
showing the sequence that has to be performed continuously.
It has a critical path of tasks that has to be finished in time.
This chat helps to focus only the needed activity and omit the
unwanted ones, therefore it saves time, energy, and material.
11. Purposes
To schedule the project
To organize the project
To coordinate the task
To manage the time
To analyze the work
12. Step in the PERT planning processes
Specific activities and milestones
Sequence of the activities
Network diagram
Estimate the time
Critical path
Update the PERT chart Class
13. Identify the specific activities and
milestone
Activities
Milestones
It is helpful to list the task in a table
14. Determine the proper sequence of the
activity
Maybe combined with the activity identification step.
oSince the activity sequence is evident for some task
other tasks may require more analysis
oTo determine the exact order in which they must be performed.
15. Construct a network diagram
Activity sequence information
A network diagram can be drawn, showing the sequence of the serial
and parallel activities
Each activity represents: a node in the network.
The arrow represents: the relation between activities.
Software packages simplify this task: automatically converting tubular
activity information into a network diagram
16. Estimate the time required for each
activity
Weeks are commonly used to unit of time for activity completion.
A Distinguishing feature of PERT: its ability to deal with uncertainty in activity completion
time.
Optimistic time (O): the shortest time in which the activity can be completed
To specify optimistic dying to be three standards deviations from the main
most likely time(M): the completion time having the highest probability.
Pessimistic time(P): the maximum possible time required to accomplish a task, assuming
everything goes wrong(but excluding major catastrophes)
PERT assumes a beta probability distribution for the time estimates.
Estimated time (TE): the best estimate of the time required to accomplish a task,
accounting for the Things dont always proceed as normal.
TE= (O+4M+P)/6
17. Determine the critical path
The critical path is
Determined by adding the times per the activities in each sequence
Determining the longest path in the project
The critical path determine the total calendar time required for the project.
Is activities outside the critical path speed up or slow down (within limits), the
total project time does not change.
The amount of time that a non-critical path activity can be delayed without the
project is referred to as a slack time.
18. Critical path is helpful to determine
ES- earliest start time
EF earliest finish time
LS latest start time
LF latest finish time
The variance in the project completion time can be calculated by summing
the variances in the completion times of the activities in the critical path.
The project can be accelerated by adding the resources required to decrease
the time for the activities in the critical path.
Shortening of the project sometimes is referred to as Project Crashing.
19. Benefits of PERT
Expected project completion time
Probability of completion before a specified date
The critical path activities that directly impact the completion time
The activities that have stacked, and that can lend the resources to
critical path activities
Activities start, and end dates.
20. Uses
Nurse managers use the PERT system for controlling.
it forces planning and shows how pieces fit together
It does this for all nursing line managers
It establishes our system for periodic evaluation and control critical points in the
program
It reveals problems and is forward looking
It is generally used for complicated and extensive projects
Many records are used to control expenses and otherwise conserve the budget
These include
personal staffing reports
Overtime reports
Monthly financial report and others.
21. Advantages
Encourages logical discipline in planning, scheduling, and control of
project.
It provides a standard method of documenting and communicating
project plans, schedules, and time and cost performance.
It Facilities, identification of the critical path and make this visible.
It identifies the most critical elements in the plan, the focusing
management attention i.e. most constraining on the schedule
22. Disadvantages
There can be potentially hundreds or thousands of activities and
individual dependency relationship
The network charts tend to be large and widely requiring several
pages to print and requiring special size paper
The lack of a timeframe on most PERT/CPM charts makes it hard to
show status, although colors can help.
23. Steps
Identify the specific
activities and
milestones
Determine the proper
sequence of the
activities
Construct a network
diagram
Estimate the time
required for each
activity
Determine the critical
path
Update the Update the
PERT chart as the
Project progresses