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WHEN EXPERIMENTALAND COMPUTATIONAL
RESEARCH MEET:
THE PARTICIPATORY EXTENSION MODULE V2.0
Richard O. Legendi, Tam叩s M叩hr, L叩szl坦 Guly叩s,
Rajmund Bocsi, Vilmos Kozma, Peter Rieger
{rlegendi, tmahr, lgulyas, rbocsi, vkozma, prieger}@aitia.ai
AITIA International, Inc.
41st World Congress of the International Institute of Sociology (IIS)
Social Interaction: Experimental and Computational Analysis
9-10 June, 2013, Uppsala, Sweden, http://www.iisoc.org/iis2013
The research leading to these results has received funding from the
European Union, Seventh Framework Programme FP7/2007-2013
under grant agreement no. CRISIS-ICT-2011-288501.
DEMO
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 2
The El Farol Bar Problem
 Agents are researchers (N=100)
 They visit a popular but small bar in Santa F辿
 If attendance > 60   (overcrowded)
 Who hasnt come  
 If attendance <= 60  
 Who hasnt come  
 Each day agents decide individually and in the same time
W. Brian Arthur, Inductive Reasoning and Bounded Rationality, American Economic Review
(Papers and Proceedings), 84,406411, 1994.
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 3
The El Farol Bar Problem
 MASON implementation of a NetLogo variant
 Artifical agents:
 ARMA-based prediction with history
 Players have two actions: No go / go
 If   +1 Score!
 Goal: get max score
Rand, W. and Wilensky, U. (2007). NetLogo El Farol model. Center for Connected Learning and
Computer-Based Modeling, Northwestern Institute on Complex Systems, Northwestern
University, Evanston, IL. http://ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/models/ElFarol
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 4
Lets play!
http://demo1.aitia.ai/
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 5
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 6
Model List
Create
Experiments
Additional Info
Admin Page (Admins are subjects too)
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 7
Subject list
(joined)
Admin tools
In-experiment Admin Page
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 8
Player status
(moved/waiting)
In-experiment Subject Page
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 9
Status messages
Post-experiment Scores
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 10
Outline
 Background
 The CRISIS project
 CRISIS Game
 PET v2.0
 Requirements
 Future works
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 11
Background: The CRISIS Project
The CRISIS project addresses building a next generation
macroeconomic and financial system policymaking model:
a bottom-up agent-based simulation that fully accounts for the
heterogeneity of households, firms, and government actors. The
model will incorporate the latest evidence from behavioral
economics in portraying agent behavior, and the CRISIS team
will also collect new data on agent decision making using
experimental economics techniques. While any model must
make simplifying assumptions about human behavior, the
CRISIS model will be significantly more realistic in its portrayal of
relevant agent behavior than the current generation of
policymaking models.
Crisis project description: https://www.crisis-economics.eu/
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 12
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 13
Web-based Game
(Participatory Experiments)
Economic Simulator
(Cloud-Based Parameter
Sweep Execution)
Modelling
Framework
Models
CRISIS Game
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 14
(Planned design)
http://game.crisis-economics.eu
The Model Under the CRISIS Game
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 15
Source: Domenico Delli Gatti, personal communications
(Single player mode)
Gatti, Domenico Delli, Saul Desiderio, Edoardo Gaffeo, Pasquale Cirillo, and Mauro Gallegati.
Macroeconomics from the Bottom-up. 1st ed. Springer, 2011.
Architecture
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 16
PET v2.0
 Idea came from AITIA's PET Software
 Participatory Extension
 Generalized components behind the CRISIS Game
 Modern, scalable infrastructure
 Previous version is 5+ years old
 Components may run on (several) different machines
 Software already available for any experiment
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 17
PET v2.0
 Can be used:
 Locally
 Laboratory experiments
 Policy makers (scenario analysis with a proper model)
 On any webserver to run constantly
 Gather data (scores from model and all user actions  replay)
 Dissemination
 Questionnaire module
 Verify if subjects understood the rules
 Software is already in use by Universiteit van Amsterdam
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 18
REQUIREMENTS?
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 19
What is required to use?
1. An ABM model
 PET is a generic framework
 Currently Java and MASON models are supported
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 20
What is required to use?
1. An ABM model
 PET is a generic framework
 Currently Java and MASON models are supported
2. Development of the web interface
 No restriction on tools (HTML5, GWT, ...)
 Communication to server by standardized tools (AJAX)
 Config files to map incoming messages to model actions
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 21
Future Works
 Tools to support front-end creation
 JavaScript library (WIP)
 User-friendly editor (flexible, easy to use)
 UI, questionnaire
 Tutorials, docs to be developed
 Additional platforms
 +Your ideas? 
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 22
Interested?
 A New Set of Tools Supporting Agent-Based Economic
Modeling, EPIA 2013 (under publication, ~Sept.)
 Statistical and Behavioral Model Analysis Tools.
 Hands-on workshop @ ESSA 2013
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 23
THANK YOU!
 Questions?
 Will be available soon from http://iaws.aitia.ai/
 Download the software:
 http://www.crisis-economics.eu/software
 Try the CRISIS Game
 http://game.crisis-economics.eu
 Take a look on the El Farol model:
 http://github.com/rlegendi/mason-examples
Richard O. Legendi
rlegendi@aitia.ai
http://people.inf.elte.hu/legendi/
June 10., 2013.
2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 24
The research leading to these results has received funding from the
European Union, Seventh Framework Programme FP7/2007-2013
under grant agreement no. CRISIS-ICT-2011-288501.
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When Experimental and Computational Research Meet: The Participatory Extension Module v2.0

  • 1. WHEN EXPERIMENTALAND COMPUTATIONAL RESEARCH MEET: THE PARTICIPATORY EXTENSION MODULE V2.0 Richard O. Legendi, Tam叩s M叩hr, L叩szl坦 Guly叩s, Rajmund Bocsi, Vilmos Kozma, Peter Rieger {rlegendi, tmahr, lgulyas, rbocsi, vkozma, prieger}@aitia.ai AITIA International, Inc. 41st World Congress of the International Institute of Sociology (IIS) Social Interaction: Experimental and Computational Analysis 9-10 June, 2013, Uppsala, Sweden, http://www.iisoc.org/iis2013 The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union, Seventh Framework Programme FP7/2007-2013 under grant agreement no. CRISIS-ICT-2011-288501.
  • 2. DEMO 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 2
  • 3. The El Farol Bar Problem Agents are researchers (N=100) They visit a popular but small bar in Santa F辿 If attendance > 60 (overcrowded) Who hasnt come If attendance <= 60 Who hasnt come Each day agents decide individually and in the same time W. Brian Arthur, Inductive Reasoning and Bounded Rationality, American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings), 84,406411, 1994. 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 3
  • 4. The El Farol Bar Problem MASON implementation of a NetLogo variant Artifical agents: ARMA-based prediction with history Players have two actions: No go / go If +1 Score! Goal: get max score Rand, W. and Wilensky, U. (2007). NetLogo El Farol model. Center for Connected Learning and Computer-Based Modeling, Northwestern Institute on Complex Systems, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. http://ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/models/ElFarol 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 4
  • 5. Lets play! http://demo1.aitia.ai/ 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 5
  • 6. 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 6 Model List Create Experiments Additional Info
  • 7. Admin Page (Admins are subjects too) 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 7 Subject list (joined) Admin tools
  • 8. In-experiment Admin Page 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 8 Player status (moved/waiting)
  • 9. In-experiment Subject Page 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 9 Status messages
  • 10. Post-experiment Scores 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 10
  • 11. Outline Background The CRISIS project CRISIS Game PET v2.0 Requirements Future works 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 11
  • 12. Background: The CRISIS Project The CRISIS project addresses building a next generation macroeconomic and financial system policymaking model: a bottom-up agent-based simulation that fully accounts for the heterogeneity of households, firms, and government actors. The model will incorporate the latest evidence from behavioral economics in portraying agent behavior, and the CRISIS team will also collect new data on agent decision making using experimental economics techniques. While any model must make simplifying assumptions about human behavior, the CRISIS model will be significantly more realistic in its portrayal of relevant agent behavior than the current generation of policymaking models. Crisis project description: https://www.crisis-economics.eu/ 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 12
  • 13. 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 13 Web-based Game (Participatory Experiments) Economic Simulator (Cloud-Based Parameter Sweep Execution) Modelling Framework Models
  • 14. CRISIS Game 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 14 (Planned design) http://game.crisis-economics.eu
  • 15. The Model Under the CRISIS Game 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 15 Source: Domenico Delli Gatti, personal communications (Single player mode) Gatti, Domenico Delli, Saul Desiderio, Edoardo Gaffeo, Pasquale Cirillo, and Mauro Gallegati. Macroeconomics from the Bottom-up. 1st ed. Springer, 2011.
  • 16. Architecture 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 16
  • 17. PET v2.0 Idea came from AITIA's PET Software Participatory Extension Generalized components behind the CRISIS Game Modern, scalable infrastructure Previous version is 5+ years old Components may run on (several) different machines Software already available for any experiment 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 17
  • 18. PET v2.0 Can be used: Locally Laboratory experiments Policy makers (scenario analysis with a proper model) On any webserver to run constantly Gather data (scores from model and all user actions replay) Dissemination Questionnaire module Verify if subjects understood the rules Software is already in use by Universiteit van Amsterdam 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 18
  • 19. REQUIREMENTS? 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 19
  • 20. What is required to use? 1. An ABM model PET is a generic framework Currently Java and MASON models are supported 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 20
  • 21. What is required to use? 1. An ABM model PET is a generic framework Currently Java and MASON models are supported 2. Development of the web interface No restriction on tools (HTML5, GWT, ...) Communication to server by standardized tools (AJAX) Config files to map incoming messages to model actions 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 21
  • 22. Future Works Tools to support front-end creation JavaScript library (WIP) User-friendly editor (flexible, easy to use) UI, questionnaire Tutorials, docs to be developed Additional platforms +Your ideas? 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 22
  • 23. Interested? A New Set of Tools Supporting Agent-Based Economic Modeling, EPIA 2013 (under publication, ~Sept.) Statistical and Behavioral Model Analysis Tools. Hands-on workshop @ ESSA 2013 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 23
  • 24. THANK YOU! Questions? Will be available soon from http://iaws.aitia.ai/ Download the software: http://www.crisis-economics.eu/software Try the CRISIS Game http://game.crisis-economics.eu Take a look on the El Farol model: http://github.com/rlegendi/mason-examples Richard O. Legendi rlegendi@aitia.ai http://people.inf.elte.hu/legendi/ June 10., 2013. 2013.06.10. 41st IIC World Congress, Social Interaction track 24 The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union, Seventh Framework Programme FP7/2007-2013 under grant agreement no. CRISIS-ICT-2011-288501.

Editor's Notes

  • #13: Harmonized library, Game,policymaking model