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Digital Technology & Content Licensing Trends in 2010And Why We Should CareLicensing Committee Conference CallCalifornia Bar AssociationDecember 3, 2009James C. Roberts III, Esq.(in conjunction with Larry Gerbrandt, Media Valuation Partners)GLOBAL  CAPITAL  LAW  GROUPPC
Summary:  Cloudy with Chance of Continued Change (and no meatballs).Continued Weak Economy. The Media Industry:  Creative Destruction. Technology:  Platform Changes & Convergence.International:  Privacy Matters.Hollywood Wants More:  Ownership & SAG, et al.Other Legal Matters:  Bilski, Patent Exhaustion, etc.
1.	Continued Weak Economy.No Rest for the Wicked:
US economy may be technically in a recovery but employment will not rebound and little money will be available for investments.
Private equity and venture capital will look elsewheree.g., cleantech and biotech.
Europe and ROW no better off:
Strong Euro will continue to hurt their exports, but EU is in a big push for broadband uptake and new programming initiatives. So What?Probable international M&A activity (Europeans and Chinese buying US assets).
Probable BK and restructuring and difficult issues of IP rights.
Multi-platform deals with Europe possible.2.	The Industry:  Creative Destruction.Broken Business Model:  Fractionating Audiences?

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Ppt Global Capital Liceng Comm 2010 Trends 120209

  • 1. Digital Technology & Content Licensing Trends in 2010And Why We Should CareLicensing Committee Conference CallCalifornia Bar AssociationDecember 3, 2009James C. Roberts III, Esq.(in conjunction with Larry Gerbrandt, Media Valuation Partners)GLOBAL CAPITAL LAW GROUPPC
  • 2. Summary: Cloudy with Chance of Continued Change (and no meatballs).Continued Weak Economy. The Media Industry: Creative Destruction. Technology: Platform Changes & Convergence.International: Privacy Matters.Hollywood Wants More: Ownership & SAG, et al.Other Legal Matters: Bilski, Patent Exhaustion, etc.
  • 3. 1. Continued Weak Economy.No Rest for the Wicked:
  • 4. US economy may be technically in a recovery but employment will not rebound and little money will be available for investments.
  • 5. Private equity and venture capital will look elsewheree.g., cleantech and biotech.
  • 6. Europe and ROW no better off:
  • 7. Strong Euro will continue to hurt their exports, but EU is in a big push for broadband uptake and new programming initiatives. So What?Probable international M&A activity (Europeans and Chinese buying US assets).
  • 8. Probable BK and restructuring and difficult issues of IP rights.
  • 9. Multi-platform deals with Europe possible.2. The Industry: Creative Destruction.Broken Business Model: Fractionating Audiences?
  • 10. The Cable Model to save the day?
  • 12. Metrics Matter (Nielsen announcement 12/2/09).
  • 13. Ad sales still in silos (though changing).
  • 14. Pay for online/digital content? The new model?
  • 15. Big Players: Google, Facebook & Apps
  • 16. Casual games will continue to grow. Serious gaming may be mature market. So What?Acquisition and contractual license revocation.
  • 17. Risks of derivative works with new licensees?
  • 18. Rewrite metrics and rights to data?
  • 19. App Store may require simpler licenses.
  • 20. Google Book Settlement a harbinger?
  • 21. See bold initiatives on paid online/digital content that will work.3. Technology: Platform Changes & Convergence.Google Chrome OS, Wave, etc.
  • 22. Faster, cheaper machines (e.g., netbooks) & true collaboration.
  • 24. Apps, the Cloud and Chrome will reduce software prices.
  • 25. True Convergence: Multi-platform now available and in-home convergence on its way, but
  • 26. GUI still an impediment to true convergence and ease-of-use (who really wants to use a remote control to enter text?).So What?Do underlying licenses permit multi-platform distribution?
  • 27. Do underlying licenses impede Cloud migration?
  • 28. Impact of Google Chrome on content deals with, e.g., Microsoft?
  • 29. Security issues with Cloud? (No.)4. International: Privacy Matters.EU will continue to strengthen privacy laws & regulations, etc.
  • 30. Expect transnational application (across the Pond).
  • 31. EULAs will be scrutinized (much as with FTC).
  • 32. Trademark and related IP rights clarified (or muddied).
  • 33. China will do something about piracy but not enough.So What?Privacy policies and EULAs will have to comply with EU laws and regulations.
  • 34. EU trademarks will increase in importance.
  • 35. If Google book settlement accepted then will conflict with EU law.5. Hollywood Wants More: Ownership & SAG.With convergence, Hollywood model will be pushed.
  • 36. Hollywood owns it all will be pushed to acquire technology rights (Hollywood v. Silicon Valley model).
  • 37. Downstream/cross-stream Claims of Royalties/Payments?
  • 38. With multi-platform distribution, will SAG, et al., seek payments?So What?Expect licensing fights with Hollywood on underlying/developed technology.
  • 39. Will claimants file suits v. downstream/cross-stream parties to obtain portions of revenue stream and pressure studios, et al?6. Other Legal Matters: Bilski, etc.Supreme Court decision could reshape software/Internet revenue models.
  • 40. Patent Exhaustion opinions clarifying (and weakening?) downstream licenses?
  • 41. Recent decisions weaken licensors control of patents in downstream licenses.So What?Bilski: Prepare for opinion to go either way. (Not sure what this means for licenses.)
  • 42. Ways around limits on licenses from patent exhaustion doctrine?Thank You.James C. Roberts III, Esq.GLOBAL CAPITAL LAW GROUPPCGLOBAL CAPITAL STRATEGIC GROUPjcr@globalcaplaw.comwww.globalcaplaw.comwww.globalcapstrat.comCopyright 2009, Global Capital Law Group PC. All rights reserved.