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Preventing strategic surprises through utilize of scenario analysis

Dr. Avner Barnea
Dr. Avner Barnea

looking into the issue of preventing strategic surprises through the interrelations between national intelligence and intelligence in business

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Preventing Strategic Surprises Through Utilize of Scenario Analysis On the 3rd . May 2018 the Israel Political Science Association (ISPSA) had its annual conference. I have presented my recent paper (written together with Professor Avi Meshulach from the Business School of the Hebrew University): "Preventing Strategic Surprises Through Utilize of Scenario Analysis." The full paper will be published (in Hebrew) in a few months, in a new book about national intelligence. The presentation has looked into the issue of preventing strategic surprises through the interrelations between national intelligence and intelligence in business. It is an original paper aspiring to propose a new direction which may vastly create discussions, which can pave the way to improve the intelligence methodology.

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Preventing strategic surprises through utilize of scenario analysis

  • 1. Preventing Strategic Surprises Through Utilize of Scenario Analysis On the 3rd . May 2018 the Israel Political Science Association (ISPSA) had its annual conference. I have presented my recent paper (written together with Professor Avi Meshulach from the Business School of the Hebrew University): "Preventing Strategic Surprises Through Utilize of Scenario Analysis." The full paper will be published (in Hebrew) in a few months, in a new book about national intelligence. The presentation has looked into the issue of preventing strategic surprises through the interrelations between national intelligence and intelligence in business. It is an original paper aspiring to propose a new direction which may vastly create discussions, which can pave the way to improve the intelligence methodology.