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PROBABILITY
THEORETICAL PROBABILITY
Lesson objectives:
 Define the important concepts in probability
 Work out the probability of certain events using
the formula for probability
 Apply the probability formula
 Represent probability using Venn diagrams
 Conditions for mutually exclusive
Revision
 Probability is the study of HOW likely it is that an event will happen.
The following are typical probability questions
 What is the chance of getting a head when flipping a coin
 What is the chance of getting a 2 when rolling dice NB:ONE DIE
TWO DICE
Important concepts in probability
 An Event is a happening or an activity that has outcomes or results
example: Rolling an even number is an event with certain
outcomes
 An outcome is the possible results of an event
example: possible outcomes of rolling a die are: 1;2;3;4;5;6
 Sample space is the set of all possible outcomes.
probability representation
 Probability formula
Probability=
  p $
   $
 Probability always lie between 0 and 1, measured as fraction or as decimal
example: The probability of getting a head when flipping a coin is
1
2
/0.5
 If probability is shown as a percentage, then it lies between 0% and 100%
Venn diagrams
 We use Venn diagrams to help us rep[resent different events.(Venn diagrams
consist of circles and a rectangle)
 The rectangle (S) represents the sample space(all the possible outcomes)
 Each circle inside the rectangle represent different events
 If the circle intersects, the intersection shows which outcomes belong to both
events
(S)
Mutually exclusive events
 Mutual: applies to two or more people or events
 Exclude: To keep out, not allow in
 Mutually exclusive: Both events keep the other out, so there is no outcome
that can in both events at the same time
YOU CANNOT BE MALE AND FEMALE AT THE SAME TIME
CONDITIONS FOR MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE
EVENTS
 P(A and B)= 0
THANK YOU
References
 /Qwizdom/qwizdom-maths-
probability?qid=6a6158b2-be7f-4ca1-80be-
3019a51f4a10&v=&b=&from_search=2
 /charliechen9883/maths-presentation-on-
probability-distribution?qid=6a6158b2-be7f-4ca1-80be-
3019a51f4a10&v=&b=&from_search=5
 /svsonwalkar/maths-probability?qid=64fcc2f1-
70f3-4eae-a0fa-613ee3b926d4&v=&b=&from_search=8

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Probability