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06/10/2010




A strategic look at the emergence of the
low-cost gym sector
FIA Seminar October 2010
Ray Algar
                                                                                                                                       My perspective

                                                                                                                                          neutral
                                                                                                                                        towards the
                                                                                                                                           sector

                                                           www.oxygen-blog.blogspot.com




                     MINIMUM OF
                     50% LOWER
                        THAN                                                SIMPLICITY                                    SIMPLICITY
                      INDUSTRY
                        PRICE
                                                           SUPPORTING                                    SUPPORTING
                                                             INFRA-                                        INFRA-
                                                           STRUCTURE                     AFFORDABILITY   STRUCTURE                        AFFORDABILITY
      SCOPE TO                                  HEAVY
     OPERATE 24                              TECHNOLOGY
       HOURS                                 AND WEB USE
                              MY                                             MARKET                                        MARKET
                          DEFINITION                                         DRIVERS                                       DRIVERS
                           OF A LOW-
                           COST GYM
                                                                                           CONSUMER                                         CONSUMER
                                                            CONSUMERS ARE                                 CONSUMERS ARE
                                                                                           SENTIMENT                                        SENTIMENT
                                                              CHANGING                                      CHANGING
                                                                                         TOWARDS CLUBS                                    TOWARDS CLUBS

           ABILITY TO
          OPERATE CLUB                  GYM-ONLY                             SPORADIC                                      SPORADIC
          WITH A SINGLE                PROPOSITION                          ATTENDANCE                                    ATTENDANCE
             PERSON




                                                                                                                                                                  1
06/10/2010




I Care




           Consumers now have
         considerable experience
            of low-cost services




                                       2
06/10/2010




                                                                         More of our shoppers
                                                                          are using us for their
                                                                         whole shop instead of
                                                                            top-up shopping
Fly for the price                                                          Group MD Aldi UK & Ireland
of a pair of jeans
                                       Spend a little, live a lot
                                                                 14
  13




                                                                      Think of a sectoryou will
                                                                            find low-cost


                           Look good, pay less
                      16
                            17




                                                                                                                 3
06/10/2010




300
million units
annually by
2013
                Quality up, cost down
                 way down




                                     SIMPLICITY


                    SUPPORTING
                      INFRA-
                    STRUCTURE                     AFFORDABILITY



                                      MARKET
                                      DRIVERS


                                                    CONSUMER
                     CONSUMERS ARE
                                                    SENTIMENT
                       CHANGING
                                                  TOWARDS CLUBS


                                      SPORADIC
                                     ATTENDANCE




                                                                          4
06/10/2010




        5
06/10/2010




                 SIMPLICITY


SUPPORTING
  INFRA-
STRUCTURE                     AFFORDABILITY



                  MARKET
                  DRIVERS


                                CONSUMER
 CONSUMERS ARE
                                SENTIMENT
   CHANGING
                              TOWARDS CLUBS


                  SPORADIC
                                                           I can join online  no pushy
                 ATTENDANCE
                                                           sales staff to deal with!




                                                               SIMPLICITY


                                              SUPPORTING
                                                INFRA-
                                              STRUCTURE                     AFFORDABILITY



                                                                 MARKET
                                                                 DRIVERS


                                                                              CONSUMER
                                               CONSUMERS ARE
                                                                              SENTIMENT
                                                 CHANGING
                                                                            TOWARDS CLUBS


                                                                SPORADIC
                                                               ATTENDANCE




                                                                                                    6
06/10/2010




                                      SIMPLICITY


                     SUPPORTING
                       INFRA-
                     STRUCTURE                     AFFORDABILITY



                                       MARKET
                                       DRIVERS


                                                     CONSUMER
                      CONSUMERS ARE
                                                     SENTIMENT
                        CHANGING
                                                   TOWARDS CLUBS


                                       SPORADIC
                                      ATTENDANCE




     Word of mouth                        Word of mouth
     on steroids                          on steroids




40




                                                                           7
06/10/2010




                SIMPLICITY


  INFRA-
STRUCTURE                    AFFORDABILITY



                 MARKET
                 DRIVERS


                               CONSUMER
CONSUMERS ARE
                               SENTIMENT
  CHANGING
                             TOWARDS CLUBS


                 SPORADIC
                ATTENDANCE




   Why am I paying                          Why am I paying
       for a club I                           贈50 just to use   What do low-cost gym
   occasionally use ?                         a treadmill?    consumers say?




                                                                                               8
06/10/2010




                      I have never been to a
                      gym that is 贈15 before. I
It is almost free   thought I would walk in
                      and find a lot of
                      broken equipment




                                                  54




                                                          9
06/10/2010




55   56   57




58




                 10
06/10/2010




              McFit Financials 2007
                         Euros        % turnover
                       (millions)
Turnover                   86
Staff costs                3.4           3%
EBITDA                     28            32%
Interest charge            0.1            -
Net assets                 34
Clubs                               88
 61




                                                   Perhaps the biggest
                                                   threat we face is that
                                                   someone from outside
                                                   our sector, with a huge
                                                   war chest of cash and
                                                   proven customer-centric
                                                   business model, will
                                                   build 1,000 shiny new
                                                   facilities, and offers
                                                   budget-busting
                                                   membership deals


                                                   Fred Turok, Chairman, FIA
                                                   (statement from 2007)




                                                                                      11
06/10/2010




           Operational
           excellence


Customer                 Product
intimacy                 leadership


                                      budgetgymresearch.ning.com
                                      oxygen-blog.blogspot.com
                                      Google: Ray Algar




                                                                          12

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Ray Algar - Lowcost Gym Sector

  • 1. 06/10/2010 A strategic look at the emergence of the low-cost gym sector FIA Seminar October 2010 Ray Algar My perspective neutral towards the sector www.oxygen-blog.blogspot.com MINIMUM OF 50% LOWER THAN SIMPLICITY SIMPLICITY INDUSTRY PRICE SUPPORTING SUPPORTING INFRA- INFRA- STRUCTURE AFFORDABILITY STRUCTURE AFFORDABILITY SCOPE TO HEAVY OPERATE 24 TECHNOLOGY HOURS AND WEB USE MY MARKET MARKET DEFINITION DRIVERS DRIVERS OF A LOW- COST GYM CONSUMER CONSUMER CONSUMERS ARE CONSUMERS ARE SENTIMENT SENTIMENT CHANGING CHANGING TOWARDS CLUBS TOWARDS CLUBS ABILITY TO OPERATE CLUB GYM-ONLY SPORADIC SPORADIC WITH A SINGLE PROPOSITION ATTENDANCE ATTENDANCE PERSON 1
  • 2. 06/10/2010 I Care Consumers now have considerable experience of low-cost services 2
  • 3. 06/10/2010 More of our shoppers are using us for their whole shop instead of top-up shopping Fly for the price Group MD Aldi UK & Ireland of a pair of jeans Spend a little, live a lot 14 13 Think of a sectoryou will find low-cost Look good, pay less 16 17 3
  • 4. 06/10/2010 300 million units annually by 2013 Quality up, cost down way down SIMPLICITY SUPPORTING INFRA- STRUCTURE AFFORDABILITY MARKET DRIVERS CONSUMER CONSUMERS ARE SENTIMENT CHANGING TOWARDS CLUBS SPORADIC ATTENDANCE 4
  • 6. 06/10/2010 SIMPLICITY SUPPORTING INFRA- STRUCTURE AFFORDABILITY MARKET DRIVERS CONSUMER CONSUMERS ARE SENTIMENT CHANGING TOWARDS CLUBS SPORADIC I can join online no pushy ATTENDANCE sales staff to deal with! SIMPLICITY SUPPORTING INFRA- STRUCTURE AFFORDABILITY MARKET DRIVERS CONSUMER CONSUMERS ARE SENTIMENT CHANGING TOWARDS CLUBS SPORADIC ATTENDANCE 6
  • 7. 06/10/2010 SIMPLICITY SUPPORTING INFRA- STRUCTURE AFFORDABILITY MARKET DRIVERS CONSUMER CONSUMERS ARE SENTIMENT CHANGING TOWARDS CLUBS SPORADIC ATTENDANCE Word of mouth Word of mouth on steroids on steroids 40 7
  • 8. 06/10/2010 SIMPLICITY INFRA- STRUCTURE AFFORDABILITY MARKET DRIVERS CONSUMER CONSUMERS ARE SENTIMENT CHANGING TOWARDS CLUBS SPORADIC ATTENDANCE Why am I paying Why am I paying for a club I 贈50 just to use What do low-cost gym occasionally use ? a treadmill? consumers say? 8
  • 9. 06/10/2010 I have never been to a gym that is 贈15 before. I It is almost free thought I would walk in and find a lot of broken equipment 54 9
  • 10. 06/10/2010 55 56 57 58 10
  • 11. 06/10/2010 McFit Financials 2007 Euros % turnover (millions) Turnover 86 Staff costs 3.4 3% EBITDA 28 32% Interest charge 0.1 - Net assets 34 Clubs 88 61 Perhaps the biggest threat we face is that someone from outside our sector, with a huge war chest of cash and proven customer-centric business model, will build 1,000 shiny new facilities, and offers budget-busting membership deals Fred Turok, Chairman, FIA (statement from 2007) 11
  • 12. 06/10/2010 Operational excellence Customer Product intimacy leadership budgetgymresearch.ning.com oxygen-blog.blogspot.com Google: Ray Algar 12